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1984Echoes

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Everything posted by 1984Echoes

  1. And Ukraine is also back to capturing Russian colonels and generals... https://www.yahoo.com/news/ukrainian-troops-capture-russian-army-175100801.html
  2. He could arrest Garland, Hillary and Dr. Fauci... You know... The Trifecta...
  3. I think those two do not purchase the same amount as Europe. I could be wrong but... And they certainly cannot replace EU purchases of gas as the infrastructure is just not there... although most of the money is in oil so Russia may not even care... Too many unknown factors to get a good read on what all the impacts will end up being... but I don't think the sanctions and the EU turning off the Russian oil spigot are helpful. Other unknown factors: whether a recession is in the works, or can be avoided. The US might escape that but I doubt Europe does. Also: The other thing that may hurt Russia but only if it happens is if we get back into agreement with Iran on the nuclear deal. They're sitting on 95 mill barrels that they can dump on the market quickly, and even if it takes 6 months to ramp up to full production, once they do it's going to loosen up market supply. Lots of unknown factors adding up to some serious gray area over the next year.
  4. They're obviously full of shit and Putin (or Lavrov or whomever, I forget...) already stated clearly and unequivocally that they will not restart Nord 1 until sanctions are dropped. It has nothing to do with maintenance and everything to do with desperation. I think sanctions are going to drop the hammer on the Russian economy. The slow burn so far is going to jump up into a conflagration soon enough. Oil will be shut out of Europe in December, and price-capped wherever the US and EU can hold sway outside of Europe. That's their money maker. Russia knows their economy is going to be screwed soon so... This is their panic/ power play to try to get the sanctions dropped. Shut off gas to Europe.
  5. Very well could be...
  6. Maybe so... But his comments are still maximum grotesquery... especially with regards to his "smell".
  7. So in other words... He was going to blackmail that country for a big payoff...
  8. I have no interest in Blough, whatsoever. The interest in Boyle is that he has the arm, but can't get past his mistakes. They're hoping to "coach him up"... because you can't teach NFL arm strength to Blough, he just doesn't have it. I understand the reasoning for choosing Boyle over Blough perfectly... but, you know, still... ewww! The correct solution is to find a developmental QB that can develop at least into a backup QB, if not an actual starter. I have no problem with Boyle if the team thinks they can actually coach him up to that level. I just don't think Boyle is that guy. I'd like them to find someone better. Sudfeld is at least a competent backup QB. That's the level of practice squad QB I'd like to see, a young raw guy who can actually be coached up to at least that level (I do NOT believe that that is Boyle).
  9. More of this please. Much, much, much more of this. In fact, everyone identified on Jan 6th as participating in the coup attempt should be barred from holding any U.S. political position (meaning both Federal, State, OR Local...) for life. Even including School Council. In fact, bar them for life from holding any government paid position at all. That immediately affects the PA Governor's race... doesn't it?!?!
  10. Nothing to see here... Move along... These are not the droids you are looking for...
  11. PS: She needs to be impeached. Tomorrow. Immediately. And her judgement tossed out. IMO.
  12. BOUGHT and F'ing PAID FOR by Trump. EXACTLY what he wanted. A corrupted judiciary specifically loyal to HIM. Democracy in the U.S. is DEAD and replaced by Trump-centric kleptocracy. Now, if he can only figure out how top force his way back to President (Dictator-for-Life...).
  13. Putin would absolutely LOVE that!!!
  14. The new Ambassador to Russia: Hillary Clinton
  15. Aaah, yeah, gotcha. The only issue is: even commodity markets are not immune to investor sentiment. Media and any other talking head, may not be attuned to markets as well as they think, so I can see the case for not reacting to their every (or ANY) statement. But Putin/ Iran/ EU/ OPEC or OPEC+ actually making a statement on what they are going to do in the oil markets is enough to move the needle. As it should be, they have real effects in the oil market. And analysts are looked at as the experts (which doesn't guarantee they are correct) at trying to decipher all the tea leaves related to this market, which means that investors will usually follow their consensus. At least until, as you say, the Actual cuts or production numbers come to light.
  16. GFY Putin: https://www.yahoo.com/news/putin-approves-foreign-policy-doctrine-185136774.html Are you now going to invade Brooklyn/ Brighton Beach because, you know, we have at least a couple of Russian speakers in that area too? GFY Putin.
  17. If market sentiment is that oil purchasing will become tighter based on supply/ demand (free market capitalism) then the price goes up. If more oil production comes on line than demand or there is demand destruction, the price comes down. This should be true both for spot and futures. If you are arguing that the "political outcome" itself is enough to move the markets adverse to that outcome, based on the removal of a "gray area" so to speak on that outcome...? I don't see it that way. If the market sentiment is that OPEC+ will cut production 500,000 barrels per day, prices will go up accordingly. If they actually only cut (surprise!) or agree to cut 100,000 bpd instead of the expected 500,000 then prices will come down. If Russian oil is excluded from Europe but makes the rest of the oil market tighter (by the exclusion of Urals, etc.), prices go up. If we get back on board in the Iranian agreement and drop the sanctions, they have 95 mill barrels sitting in storage right now that will hit the market almost immediately, but their full ramp-up to daily 4 mill bpd will take into mid-2023 (rough guess) again, prices will come down. It's pure supply and demand and the market reaction to those factors, even if they are future actions. So I went in and took an actual look at the article. They were not expecting a 500K production reduction and got only 100K. I haven't been paying attention to oil as much as I usually do recently so still had my mind wrapped around OPEC+ wanting to make a larger production cut. But that was at least a month or two ago. Recently that sentiment had changed to: they were actually not going to do ANY production cut.. that was the expectation. But they instead did a 100K bpd cut. So there IS a rise in price based exactly on what I outlined... The only problem, personally, me... was my lack of attentiveness. HAH!
  18. Which makes her much much worse than a putz. Did Trump pay her off somehow, or threaten her life? That's the first question I ask.
  19. Outside help is worthless if all they give is crappy advise. And there's no guarantee that you get the "right" advise versus "crappy". Didn't the Lions use an "outside voice" to determine that Bob Quinn would be the best hire to make as their new GM? And how did that work out...? It doesn't matter where the "right" answer comes from, whether that's from Hinch, Ilitch, organizational consensus, the new analytics guys getting to make the call, or an "outside voice", it only matters getting to the correct answer.
  20. A lot of sports pubs have NFL Ticket... but usually not Detroit volume. You can always ask for Closed Captioned so you can at least read along with what they are saying. Not too many Lions games here in Jersey. But both national (Buffalo Wild Wings/ Brickhouse Bar & Grille/ etc.) and local pubs (just call or check) have the Sunday Ticket. Good excuse for me to run out of the house and grab a burger or something different to eat... I have a list of 69 (not joking) local and national pubs from south Jersey to north Jersey to choose to go see a game. More often than not, since they've been losers, I leave at halftime or shortly thereafter. But it's not hard to stay the full game either by ordering an extra appy or beer or dessert...
  21. The trick with Buchelnikov is, how do we get him out of Russia? Without endangering his family from Putin's thugs? Going to be very, very tricky.
  22. Why would Brent Crude be up on a smaller than expected cut in crude output by OPEC+ ? They've either got that backwards or they are pointing to the wrong evidence.
  23. So what does the Special Master do about empty folders? Press charges?
  24. Don't want to declare yet... But definitely Milly is doing good... I was starting to lose faith with all the petulance but stabbing the boar to death has renewed my faith in her... which says nothing about her acting ability but the plot/ character arc was starting to drag me down/ the boar fight (and her acting) and a glimpse of the white hart brought me back up.
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