So we've reached the February break, at roughly the 2/3 mark of the season. Tampa at 5 points up on the Wings and the Leafs at 7 points up on the Wings are not completely out of reach if the Wings stay hot, but I'd say catching either is highly unlikely. Nor does it really matter, IMO - 3rd place in the Atlantic to face a 2nd place team isn't going to be much tougher than facing a division winner from a wildcard spot. At the other end, Montreal and Pittsburgh and Philly are all 6 points back of Detroit and the Wings have a game or games in hand on all 3. So let's dismiss them for now, unless one of them rises up after the break and shows otherwise.
That leaves, to simplify matters, 6 teams for 2 spots. No reason the Wings can't make the playoffs. They're as good as any of those teams and of the other 5 I can see only the Rangers possibly going on a tear. The Bruins have been poor this year.