See, you are falling for the Lions Conundrum. When you think "Hey they are playing a team that's down, they can win this game", they turn around and get their arse beat. Then when you think "Oh my God, they're going to get blown out by this team", they play their guts out, make it a close game and you get your heart broken.
They set you up for hope, then they let you down and crush you and then make you hope again. It's like living with a drug addict.