Jump to content

Tiger337

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    12,322

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    119

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Tiger337

  1. Tiger337
  2. Tiger337
    There is a lot more of that in baseball that there was 20 years and I can't really say if Hinch does it more than others. I think a bit more than average, but I'm not sure. I agree that the practice probably costs some runs defensively.
  3. Tiger337
    I don't know. Given that he has a new batting order every day and moves players around to different positions, you could also say that he takes the short view.
  4. Tiger337
    I tend to agree. I use it mostly to help describe what has happened in the past. Some of the elements of the various WARs are indeed predictive of the future, but when you try to mix all the parts together, there are a lot of things that can change in the future. For the future, it only works as baseline.
  5. Tiger337
  6. Tiger337
    At what point does short-term data become useful? If a .300 hitter, goes in a slump for 3 days, do you start treating like a .250 hitter? Is it one week? A month? What if you decide that it's time to make a change and then he goes back to being a .300 hitter again. How long do you wait before you are sure he is now a .300 hitter again? It seems a lot like trying to time the market!
  7. Tiger337
    Fryman for Gabe Alvarez, Joe Randa and Matt Drews. That trade was an inappropriate joke.
  8. Tiger337
    I get the feeling that Harris might have 1 but not 2. I can tell you that the second one is definitely not a strength of mine!
  9. Tiger337
    How many were acquired for two month rentals?
  10. Tiger337
    It depends on whether the players they receive in a trade have a better chance to make it than the one high pick they get when they leave. If Harris thinks the answer is yes and the Tigers are out of it at the deadline, then of course he should make a trade.
  11. Tiger337
    Not really. Culumulative player WAR correlates pretty high with team wins. If it didn't, then it wouldn't be useful. That is why I wanted to know about pitching. There is also luck involved since it's only one third of as season so far.
  12. Tiger337
    True and another thing is that teams know their prospects better than they use to know them and I think they are more reluctant to trade the best ones.
  13. Tiger337
    Not clinically, but he was very much in decline from his peak. I don't know how far he fell between the end of his presidency and that debate, but that debate was uncomfortably embarrassing. Trump was embarrassing too but being embarrassing is his baseline and his followers don't care anyway.
  14. Tiger337
    Prospects don't always fail, but a team which is a seller at the deadline is not generally in a good position. The teams trading prospects know their young players better than anyone and they are likely to offer flawed players. You can hope that the propect you get pans out, but chances are he won't.
  15. Tiger337
    Good data. Add them up and it's 3.7 WAR fewer than last year though. Add McGonigle and it's roughly 3.0 WAR fewer. So, the hitting difference is not explaining everything considering they were about 13 wins better at this point last year.. It would be interesting to see the pitching difference.
  16. Tiger337
    Biden should have been President and Obama VP from 2008-2016. Then Obama should have run in 2016. Obama is very smart, but may not have been ready for the presidency. Biden was unimpressive intellectually, but knew how to work with Congress. Biden was too old and senile at the end and a more experienced Obama would have been a better choice at that time.
  17. Tiger337
    Or he could just drop some bombs on Cuba
  18. Tiger337
    I still don't know. Recency bias says yeah, but the same group played at 100-game pace for a full season. The truth is probably between the two extremes. The problem is playing .500 ball or little better after getting healthy again won't get them to post-season this year.
  19. Tiger337
    Verlander was better than Flaherty last year. I agree he probably won't do anything this year, but I think you are exaggerating how hopeless he is.
  20. Tiger337
    That's one of great things about Harris never making big transactions. You can do a longitudinal analysis! Tigers record from 7/1/24 - 6/30/25: 101-62 Tigers record from 7/1/25 - 5/21/26: 54-73 Mostly the same roster for both periods.You could argue that their roster has been somewhat "better" in the latter period.
  21. Tiger337
    You would think somebody would have done that by now. Whoever did that would be a national hero. They would also put their lives in danger, but you would think somebody would just snap some day.
  22. Tiger337
    I wish the Tigers only got two months of Sweeney! It terms of WAR, the Tigers have lost that deal so far. However, that is not the point. The point is fans always think their team can get great prospects at the deadline and they usually just get players the other team doesn't want to keep that badly.
  23. Tiger337
    I know that my smart hard working public policy students are having a tough time getting jobs.
  24. Tiger337
    If 26 teams decide to do it now, then it's fine.
  25. Tiger337
    McGonigle, Keith and Torkelson have all had bad months. They could come back too. They were scoring enough in April to win games and they could get back to that. Odds are against the team right now, but I am not ready to give up in May.
×
×
  • Create New...