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Tiger337

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Everything posted by Tiger337

  1. Tiger337
    Maybe I am underestimating what they can get, but I don't think they are getting a McGonigle level prospect for a two-month rental though. They may get a package, but I don't think the best player in the package will be guy who has received an 80 scouting grade for hitting.
  2. Tiger337
    The problem is he has to show that he is healthy and able to pitch at his usual elite level in order to get any kind of worthwhile offer. I think there is a good chance they won't get anyone better than the 31-35 pick they would get for losing him.
  3. Tiger337
    I have zero expectation but there is always hope. I would never plan around a pitcher with a long-term injury.
  4. Tiger337
    Of course it is, but he has provided decent value the last three years.
  5. Tiger337
    He is useless right now. I don't see how he's going to help in the bullpen with all the walks. Maybe, mop up duty to save the rest of the bullpen.
  6. Tiger337
    Not a "fixture", but he's been quite good every year when healthy.
  7. Tiger337
    You mean other than Wenceel Perez?
  8. Tiger337
    Sounds tempting!
  9. Tiger337
  10. Tiger337
    There is a lot more of that in baseball that there was 20 years and I can't really say if Hinch does it more than others. I think a bit more than average, but I'm not sure. I agree that the practice probably costs some runs defensively.
  11. Tiger337
    I don't know. Given that he has a new batting order every day and moves players around to different positions, you could also say that he takes the short view.
  12. Tiger337
    I tend to agree. I use it mostly to help describe what has happened in the past. Some of the elements of the various WARs are indeed predictive of the future, but when you try to mix all the parts together, there are a lot of things that can change in the future. For the future, it only works as baseline.
  13. Tiger337
  14. Tiger337
    At what point does short-term data become useful? If a .300 hitter, goes in a slump for 3 days, do you start treating like a .250 hitter? Is it one week? A month? What if you decide that it's time to make a change and then he goes back to being a .300 hitter again. How long do you wait before you are sure he is now a .300 hitter again? It seems a lot like trying to time the market!
  15. Tiger337
    Fryman for Gabe Alvarez, Joe Randa and Matt Drews. That trade was an inappropriate joke.
  16. Tiger337
    I get the feeling that Harris might have 1 but not 2. I can tell you that the second one is definitely not a strength of mine!
  17. Tiger337
    How many were acquired for two month rentals?
  18. Tiger337
    It depends on whether the players they receive in a trade have a better chance to make it than the one high pick they get when they leave. If Harris thinks the answer is yes and the Tigers are out of it at the deadline, then of course he should make a trade.
  19. Tiger337
    Not really. Culumulative player WAR correlates pretty high with team wins. If it didn't, then it wouldn't be useful. That is why I wanted to know about pitching. There is also luck involved since it's only one third of as season so far.
  20. Tiger337
    True and another thing is that teams know their prospects better than they use to know them and I think they are more reluctant to trade the best ones.
  21. Tiger337
    Not clinically, but he was very much in decline from his peak. I don't know how far he fell between the end of his presidency and that debate, but that debate was uncomfortably embarrassing. Trump was embarrassing too but being embarrassing is his baseline and his followers don't care anyway.
  22. Tiger337
    Prospects don't always fail, but a team which is a seller at the deadline is not generally in a good position. The teams trading prospects know their young players better than anyone and they are likely to offer flawed players. You can hope that the propect you get pans out, but chances are he won't.
  23. Tiger337
    Good data. Add them up and it's 3.7 WAR fewer than last year though. Add McGonigle and it's roughly 3.0 WAR fewer. So, the hitting difference is not explaining everything considering they were about 13 wins better at this point last year.. It would be interesting to see the pitching difference.
  24. Tiger337
    Biden should have been President and Obama VP from 2008-2016. Then Obama should have run in 2016. Obama is very smart, but may not have been ready for the presidency. Biden was unimpressive intellectually, but knew how to work with Congress. Biden was too old and senile at the end and a more experienced Obama would have been a better choice at that time.
  25. Tiger337
    Or he could just drop some bombs on Cuba
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