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Tiger337

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Everything posted by Tiger337

  1. It depends on whether the players they receive in a trade have a better chance to make it than the one high pick they get when they leave. If Harris thinks the answer is yes and the Tigers are out of it at the deadline, then of course he should make a trade.
  2. Not really. Culumulative player WAR correlates pretty high with team wins. If it didn't, then it wouldn't be useful. That is why I wanted to know about pitching. There is also luck involved since it's only one third of as season so far.
  3. True and another thing is that teams know their prospects better than they use to know them and I think they are more reluctant to trade the best ones.
  4. Not clinically, but he was very much in decline from his peak. I don't know how far he fell between the end of his presidency and that debate, but that debate was uncomfortably embarrassing. Trump was embarrassing too but being embarrassing is his baseline and his followers don't care anyway.
  5. Prospects don't always fail, but a team which is a seller at the deadline is not generally in a good position. The teams trading prospects know their young players better than anyone and they are likely to offer flawed players. You can hope that the propect you get pans out, but chances are he won't.
  6. Good data. Add them up and it's 3.7 WAR fewer than last year though. Add McGonigle and it's roughly 3.0 WAR fewer. So, the hitting difference is not explaining everything considering they were about 13 wins better at this point last year.. It would be interesting to see the pitching difference.
  7. Biden should have been President and Obama VP from 2008-2016. Then Obama should have run in 2016. Obama is very smart, but may not have been ready for the presidency. Biden was unimpressive intellectually, but knew how to work with Congress. Biden was too old and senile at the end and a more experienced Obama would have been a better choice at that time.
  8. Or he could just drop some bombs on Cuba
  9. I still don't know. Recency bias says yeah, but the same group played at 100-game pace for a full season. The truth is probably between the two extremes. The problem is playing .500 ball or little better after getting healthy again won't get them to post-season this year.
  10. Verlander was better than Flaherty last year. I agree he probably won't do anything this year, but I think you are exaggerating how hopeless he is.
  11. That's one of great things about Harris never making big transactions. You can do a longitudinal analysis! Tigers record from 7/1/24 - 6/30/25: 101-62 Tigers record from 7/1/25 - 5/21/26: 54-73 Mostly the same roster for both periods.You could argue that their roster has been somewhat "better" in the latter period.
  12. You would think somebody would have done that by now. Whoever did that would be a national hero. They would also put their lives in danger, but you would think somebody would just snap some day.
  13. I wish the Tigers only got two months of Sweeney! It terms of WAR, the Tigers have lost that deal so far. However, that is not the point. The point is fans always think their team can get great prospects at the deadline and they usually just get players the other team doesn't want to keep that badly.
  14. I know that my smart hard working public policy students are having a tough time getting jobs.
  15. If 26 teams decide to do it now, then it's fine.
  16. McGonigle, Keith and Torkelson have all had bad months. They could come back too. They were scoring enough in April to win games and they could get back to that. Odds are against the team right now, but I am not ready to give up in May.
  17. Given the crazy **** that happened the last two years, I am not giving up in May.
  18. That is depressing to think about. I am looking for the Tigers to get healthy and get hot. It seems like teams usually don't get great prospects for rentals at the deadline. Teams like the Dodgers just give up their flawed prospects. Looking forward to another Thayron Liranzo and Trey Sweeney haul.
  19. I always disliked Will Clark for some reason. At the time, I thought he was overrated, maybe because he peaked at age 25. Looking back at his numbers today though, he was really good and really consistent his whole career.
  20. I use to be blissfully ignorant of politics (and my life was better then!), but what I most remember about Barney Frank was him coming out as gay and everybody talking about it like it was a horrible crime that would destroy him.
  21. I think fans can't relate to the level of physical talent than professional players have, so they try to relate to them on a mental level. If they don't succeed, it's because they are mentally weak or don't care. I think players sometimes go in the other direction when they explain their success. It's not because they are more physically gifted than the rest of the population. It is because they work hard or are resilient or something else that doesn't relate to their natural physical ability
  22. A batter could guess that the first pitch is going to be the one he wants and then swing at it and it's not. The same goes for any pitch in the sequence. Are Tigers down in the count more often than hitters on other teams?
  23. That works for gifted hitters, but for average hitters the pitch that looks like a great pitch might actually be the worst pitch to hit. The pitcher knows batter strengths and weaknesses and he tries to fool batters all the time. With only a split second to react, it is easy for a batter to be deceived.
  24. They are being delayed due to the Iran War and you should be thankful for that.
  25. And the Pirates have won more games than the Mets this year. 😀 And Tampa Bay has won more than the Dodgers!
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