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Tiger337

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Everything posted by Tiger337

  1. Tiger337
    I think that is possible if several of the young players break out. I just wouldn't project it. I think they'll be around .500 with a lot of interesting young players going hot and cold. It should be a fun season.
  2. Tiger337
    It is not true that what players did recently is always more important than what they did in the past. Sometimes it is and sometimes it isn't. In most cases, I'd rather take the bigger sample size. Remember Brennan Boesch for example? I want to look at a players entire career. not just the part of his career when he was good. I will say though that projections are only a baseline. You should look at the individual projections for each player and see which ones look too low. Then you can adjust the aggregate accordingly. I don't see how focusing on 120 games will give you a better projection.
  3. Tiger337
    The projections do include individual player statistics from those 120 games. They just don't throw out the first 40 games. What human factors are you considering that wouldn't be picked up by stats? Personally, I think they played over their heads the last 120 games. They had a mediocre bullpen that hardly blew any games. I think there was some luck involved there. The first 40 games were flukey too because every hitter was slumping at the same time. A lot of people give credit to Hinch for the improvement, but wasn't he also the manager at the beginning of the season? I think they'll do better than 74 wins, by the way. I just don't think the improved record at the end of the season should be used to pump up a projection.
  4. Tiger337
    And what do you call throwing out the first 40 games? Just looking at a favorable stretch of 120 games and ignoring 40 unfavorable games will cause bias. I would much rather look at all the games, plus games from previous years.
  5. Tiger337
    Trump has been a disgrace for over 40 years. How so many people can't see through his life long con is beyond me.
  6. Tiger337
    All the projections have them playing below .500. It's a function of having a young team with a lot of question marks. Lots of potential, not a lot of certainty. What they did in their last 120 games last year is not part of the algorithm. Beware of the plexiglasss principle! What matters is what they are expected to do in 2022. I wouldn't look at the 74-88 record though. I would look at each player's individual projection and see where I think they can be better.
  7. Tiger337
    What health issues does he have which would prevent him from running? Americans don't dserve better than Biden and Trump. We are the ones who chose them.
  8. Tiger337
    FanGraphs hates the Tigers. 74-88, last place in AL Central. https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds
  9. Tiger337
    Matt Olson does not look or sound like an MLB slugger, nor does he look 28 years old. He could blend in as an undergraduate on any college campus.
  10. Tiger337
    Biden has wanted this job his entire life. If he's healthy, he'll run.
  11. Tiger337
    I would just not count tie games in winning percentage.
  12. Tiger337
    and no free base runners.
  13. Tiger337
    I will never be talked into it. I'd rather see a tie than a free runner.
  14. Tiger337
    One thing about Avila is when he says he is going to do something he does it. His pre-lockout moves were exactly the ones he said he was planning to make. Something will happen in the next couple of days.
  15. Tiger337
    Can MLB not go one week without irritating me? I will not watch innings which start with a runner on second base. It is not baseball.
  16. Tiger337
    They would have to give up a lot to get him. He has a liftime 3.72 ERA (123 ERA+) and 9.8 K per game lifetime. That is close to an ace, at least a good #2. I will say though that I had him on my fantasy team last year and watched him frequently last year and I was not impressed. His control was not great and hever looked comfortable and even in his good games he seemed to struggle to get through innings. It made me wonder where his good numbers came from.
  17. Tiger337
    Vegas has already entered the league.
  18. Tiger337
    I heard he was racing bikes with Joel Zumaya.
  19. Tiger337
    I think there would be more independent minor leagues who could occasionally sell players to the major league systems. There wouldn't be a lot of valuable players, but if MLB scales down further, then there might be a few more who sneak through than in the past.
  20. Tiger337
    In theory, it's possible. It's been my observation that the super wealthy run the country and don't have to follow the same rules the rest of us do.
  21. Tiger337
    He's not more powerful than them at all. Always remember the golden rule. The billionaires tell congress what to do. Congress doesn't tell them what to do.
  22. Tiger337
    But then they would have to admit that it's a real problem.
  23. Tiger337
    That is an old school trade - two major leaguers for two major leaguers. There used to be a lot of trades like that. Now, it's all veterans whose contracts are running out for prospects. That being said, it probably won't amount to much.
  24. Tiger337
    I thought Laga, Wilson and Johnson were going to be great and they were going to complete the dream line-up. Johnson was pretty great for a while, but it was with the Mets.
  25. Tiger337
    Torkelson saves his hitting for games that count.
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