MichiganCardinal

I totally called the latest development in The Pitt. I didn't think it would happen in that episode, but I just had a feeling that character wasn't on the same arc as Season 1.

There were late process rumors to that effect, but as I looked back at them I also found a healthy dose of skepticism that those rumors were legit (as opposed to fodder put out by teams picking 8-12 in the hopes that it would lead to him dropping). The one seemingly legit rumor was that he discussed his "brand" five times in a combine interview with one team, that put them off. I don't really know what that means. All players have a brand. Surely by now his play can speak for itself.

I was mostly ambivalent over the arbitration dispute, but I do wonder what its effects on the grander scheme of the CBA will be. I don't see how we don't lose at least one season of baseball at the rate we are going. The infighting amongst owners will need to be settled before a new deal can even be negotiated. The Walter (LAD), Cohen (NYM), & Steinbrenner (NYY) coalition are probably pretty okay with the status quo. The Nutting (PIT), Castellini (CIN), and Monfort (COL) groups are going to be out for blood. And then a ton (including Ilitch) land somewhere in the middle, who won't want a season of lost revenue but also recognize the need for reform. Amongst the owners, the conversation probably starts with revenue sharing, which is a hot mess right now. You've got the New York, LA, and Chicago media markets that are doing just fine. And then Milwaukee, Tampa, and Cincinnati are making a tenth of that money, while many local TV deals are going sideways. All the while, the Dodgers benefit from a Chicago Parking Meter like deal with MLB. Revenue sharing is at 48% right now... where do you go from there? Beyond revenue sharing, when push comes to shove at the table between owners and MLBPA, what are the owners even going to fight for? Presumably a salary cap, which if they are serious about, will probably cause an NHL 2004-2005 lockout in and of itself. Of course, that should probably be accompanied with a salary floor that will ruffle the feathers of the cheaper owners (see revenue sharing above). Now after Skubal, a lot of owners will want to see arbitration get an overhaul too. Will the entire rookie ball system of control need to get one too if high profile players aren't guaranteed a payday in year 7/8? Everything is a mess. It feels like by March 2027, there is a chance they'll have only torn down, and anything and everything will be on the table and up for grabs. Speaking of the NHL, it is the most comparable professional sports league in terms of revenue/game (obviously only because MLB has nearly double the games). Yet, the highest paid player AAV in the entire NHL ($14MM) would be outside the top 90 highest players in MLB. Now, should the owners go to the table and say "we want to be more like the NHL"? Obviously not. But, I do think they have a point that higher profile players in their league are paid significantly more commensurately than the other professional leagues. It's all just messy and I don't see any easy path forward for anybody.

I don't think Decker is at any risk of being cut if he doesn't retire. He wasn't his old self, but he wasn't nearly as terrible as Glasgow, who is good as gone. If you believe in PFF, Deck finished 41/89 across all tackles, 45/89 in pass blocking and 57/89 in run blocking while playing hurt all year. So pretty average. For context, Glasgow was 33/40 for centers, 26/40 in pass block, and 36/40 in run block.

Mike Payton made the case for trading for either Kayvon Thibodeaux or Alex Highsmith. Both guys with lower cap hits than Crosby with more team control. I like Thibodeaux a lot and thought he might be the pick if the Lions screwed up and didn't take Hutch in 2022. He fits the Lions mold as one of the top run defenders in the league, and has shown an ability to get after the QB in past years, though his sack numbers have gone from 11.5 in 2023 to only 2.5 last year. Payton argued it would take a 2nd round pick. That feels pricy for a team with Abdul Carter and Brian Burns, who obviously can't pay Thibodeaux. Of course, not having a 2026 3rd makes it harder.

For the purposes of manifesting (and because I am nothing if not modest in my being right one time), I did correctly predict the Lions-Rams trade terms like the day before it happened. So sample size of one, I’m on fire.

Glazer says that Crosby is done in Vegas, but that he expects the trade would fetch more than Micah Parsons (two 1sts and a starter). First, I don't think Glazer is correct in his assessment. Parsons was 25 and a trade and sign, where you were drafting a deal after you traded for him. Crosby is going to be 29, coming off some injuries and regression, and due $35MM next year (before any restructuring occurs). I'd love to have him here and I guarantee he'd love to be here (lest we forget Crosby Field is sitting in Ypsi). But I doubt Holmes could be in on a price tag north of what Parsons got. Playing pretend, I would do a 2026 and 2027 1st plus some day three picks. I'd like Vegas to take on some of his 2026 cap hit as well. If I had to throw in a player, I might consider Branch (if we can't afford both him and Crosby) or Montgomery. You put yourself in a precarious position at that point if Decker retires, but I think he and Hutch would have at least two phenomenal years together. More than two 1sts and a player though gets harder to swallow.

He just updated his original story too. The same provision applies to Josh Paschal.

You’re too good at this I ain’t betting with you.

NFL Owners are like the most exclusive fraternity of all time. Anyone who’s had the experience of being in one of those stupid groups knows: “don’t **** your brother” If Bezos has skeletons they think will **** them, they won’t let him in. They’ll find a reason.

Depending on how the bracket shapes out, I wouldn’t be shocked to see all of Michigan, Michigan State, and Nebraska in the Final Four. Three very good basketball teams.

If Michigan is a one-loss national champion with the loss coming to Wisconsin, the loss will be Juwan Howard’s fault.

Ravens hired Declan Doyle from Chicago to be their OC.

This is pretty funny sitting where we are. Matt Ryan is calling the shots?? Yeah, okay. I'd be pissed if I were a Bears fan.