I see three or four models to drafting a franchise QB.
- The Jets/Jags/Lions Method: Draft the QB as you build the team
- The Bills Method: Build the team, draft and start the QB
- The Chiefs Method: Build the team, draft the QB, let him sit, then plug and play.
A 4th method (the 49ers Method I guess) can be tied into the Chiefs too - build the team, draft the QB, utilize him in specialized packages the first year, then plug and play. This only works with some QBs though (like Lance).
I think the right QB can succeed in any of these methods (e.g., I think Mahomes would still be good had he been drafted by a rebuilding team that made him start from day one), but I think you position both the QB and the team for the most amount of future success with the Chiefs method, if you can afford it. On the other hand, I think the wrong QB can fail in any of these methods (e.g., I am not at all sold on Jordan Love).
I wouldn't be surprised and (probably) would not be that upset if Goff is here into 2024 or so. If he can be a middle-of-the-road QB and not lose us games, I'd prefer that over forcing the issue early and picking up the bust that costs Holmes and Campbell their jobs. I don't see anyone inspiring in 2022 anyway. It does look (early) that 2023 will be better.