bobrob2004

He has 19 in Toledo and 9 with the Tigers. He will need 12 more for the rest of the season. He needs 15 more for the rest of the season, so there is still a chance. He has 2 and will need 28 more in 18 games. Unlikely. No. No and yes. Yes. Yes and no. Technically only 1 start, but has pitched 4+ innings in each of his 3 appearances. https://www.espn.com/mlb/features/cyyoung Will Clase actually win?

The Tigers are 15-5 in the last 20 games, best in all of baseball, and are 5 games back of a WC spot and will have to overtake either the Royals or Twins (or both) to make it. The Red Sox are 4.5 games back, but the Tigers won the season series and therefore have won the tie breaker if they end up with identical records. Let's assume Baltimore wins one of the WC spots, that leaves 2 spots open for the Twins, Royals, Red Sox, Tigers, and Mariners. How confident are you in the Tigers actually making the post-season? Baseball Reference: https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/majors/2024-playoff-odds.shtml 12.9% making the playoffs, 1.2% winning the pennant, 0.6% winning the WS. FanGraphs: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds 7.3% making the playoffs, 0.1% winning the WS.

An AI generated song about Tigers prospects. https://suno.com/song/710f8cb6-8b34-4326-b444-ba483b43e928

An AI generated country song about the Tigers mediocre season. https://suno.com/song/012a7989-208b-4c9a-898e-03c763f3b49e

Tyler Holton needs to be a starting pitcher next year. It's not unheard of to transition a reliever to a starter (Michael Lorenzen did it at age 30, Holton will be 29 next year). Holton has started 5 games this year, but all of them have been "bullpen" days and he hasn't gone past the 3rd inning in any of them. No, he needs to be a full fledged starting pitcher that goes at least 5 innings. And he definitely has the numbers to do it. Last year, Holton pitched 85 1/3 innings. This is a lot for a primary reliver (only Jake Bird, 89 IP, and Jakub Junis, 86 IP had more innings pitched while starting less than 5 games). This year, he had 70 2/3 IP, again one of the highest innings total for a primary reliever. Let's look at the stats. Over the last 2 years in 156 innings, Holton has a 2.31 ERA, 3.42 FIP, 0.85 WHIP. 7.4 K/9, 1.8 BB/9 and 0.8 HR/9. As a southpaw, he is obviously better against lefties (.144/.189/.196 career batting against) but he can get righties out too (.215/.267/.360 career batting against). Finally, just look at his numbers on Baseball Savant: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/tyler-holton-663947?stats=statcast-r-pitching-mlb Pitching Run Value: 93 percentile. Fastball Run Value: 97 percentile. xERA: 86 percentile. Average Exit Velocity: 93 percentile. Chase%: 98 percentile. He was great last year and is even better this year. Something I find interesting is that he exclusively throws cutters and changeups to RHB and sinkers and sliders to LHB. He seems like a smart pitcher in this way, and I'm attributing most of that to Chris Fetter. No, Tyler Holton is not going to turn into a Cy Young pitcher as a starter, but he is being wasted in the bullpen. There is no doubt in my mind that he can be an effective starting pitcher at the ML level and now is a great time to start stretching him out, since he is already "starting" with all the injuries and the Flaherty trade.

Spencer Torkelson Riley Greene Casey Mize Alex Faedo Matt Manning These are the last 5 Tigers #1 picks that have made to the Majors. The only one that I wouldn't trade for Chapman is Greene. Take that for what it's worth.

The Tigers are now 1 game worse then they were at this point last year. Through 50 games: 2023: 24-26 2024: 23-27

The Tigers have now matched last year's record through the same number of games, 23-25.

I have to try it again with a more detailed prompt. This is supposed to be about Colt Keith, but can really be about most of the Tigers hitters. https://suno.com/song/582c35e7-fef4-4aa0-946a-a1691161e14e [Verse] Bases loaded It's in my hand I step to the plate Tryin' to make a stand But the pitch comes fast It's just too quick Swing and miss Strike one I feel so sick It's been a tough year Can't seem to find my groove Strugglin' at the plate So much to prove I'm chasin' dreams But they keep slip away Each game feels like a battle Nothin' goes my way [Verse 2] Ground balls Fly balls They all find a way To land in gloves Where they shouldn't stay I used to feel the joy The thrill of the game But now it's just frustration Nothing feels the same

Ok, that's definitely better than mine. Were you able to use your own lyrics?

So I found this website that can create music. I gave it a prompt and it spit out this song about the Tigers. This is 100% AI generated: https://suno.com/song/9ffb6f3d-fbe4-4bd4-9ec3-26fdd42a5ca9 It got the year 1904 wrong (should be 1901), but I guess it had to rhyme. [Verse] Beneath the city lights Where Motor City roars There's a team that's been fightin' Since 1904 The Detroit Tigers With a heart full of fire They play with such passion They'll never retire [Verse] Ty Cobb was a legend The Georgia Peach they say With spikes on his shoes He'd tear up the clay Hank Greenberg's bat Swung with might and grace A true power hitter Put fear in every base [Verse] From Kaline to Gibson A legacy so strong The roar of the jungle Keeps their spirits along World Series champions They've tasted the glory The Tigers The pride of Detroit's rich story

Don Kelly, Brandon Inge, and Shane Halter.

A.I. Artificial Intelligence. I used Copilot to generate the image.

AI doesn't like how the Tigers are playing.

Can you tell that this image is AI generated?

It's strange. I have one every year.

Twenty plus a little.

I'll be very sad if I can't watch Tiger baseball on my birthday.

I made more! Rain out today, so if you want something to do. https://connectionsplus.io/game/HxGs1o https://connectionsplus.io/game/VtGXsV https://connectionsplus.io/game/U8oOni https://connectionsplus.io/game/aHGMEh https://connectionsplus.io/game/MMYNyu https://connectionsplus.io/game/bhlJho https://connectionsplus.io/game/sypyBD https://connectionsplus.io/game/jhUoNe https://connectionsplus.io/game/LlvTYU

If you don't know what Connections is, it's a NYT game where you have to create 4 groups of 4 that share a common category. There is a site where you can create custom ones. I have created two of them with a baseball theme and I have ideas for others. It's like Immaculate Grid + Connections! https://connectionsplus.io/game/JYyIvN https://connectionsplus.io/game/kV96b9 Let me know what you think. Share your results. Create your own.

Anyone play NYT Connections? I created a baseball themed one: https://connectionsplus.io/game/JYyIvN

Hey, one of my predictions already happened!

That wraps up another year of my dumb predictions. Come back in October so we can see how wrong I am.

Bobrob’s 2024 Preseason Prediction #15 – Casey Arthur Mize Normally I would only do five starting pitchers, but the Tigers have six starters that I think will have a significant contribution to this team this year. Since Casey Mize will actually start the season in the rotation with Matt Manning demoted to AAA, I can’t skip doing Mize’s prediction (although there is a chance that Mize will see some time in Toledo at some point during the season). The Tigers have a depth in starting pitching, which also includes the likes of Sawyer Gipson-Long, Beau Brieskie, Wilmer Flores, Ty Madden, Brant Hurter, and Jackson Jobe, to name a few, all of whom could make starts for the Tigers this year due to injuries, poor performances, or a trade or two. Eventually, everything will work itself out. Casey Mize was the first overall pick by the Detroit Tigers in 2018 and made his Major League debut in 2020, starting seven games with a 6.99 ERA in a little over 28 innings, skipping over AAA altogether. Maybe he wasn’t quite ready for the Majors yet, but 2020 was a weird year without any Minor League games, so if the Tigers wanted Mize to pitch it had to be in the Majors. In 2021, Mize started 30 games with a 3.71 ERA, with a team leading 150 1/3 innings, giving Tiger fans hope for what may come in the future. However, he only started two games in 2022 and then was placed on the Injured List, eventually having Tommy John surgery and he hasn’t pitched until Spring Training this year. Casey Mize’s numbers are kind of similar to Matt Manning’s numbers in that luck was likely on his side: 2021 – 6.7% BB% | 19.3% K% | 16.2% HR/FB% | 3.71 ERA | 4.92 xERA | 4.71 FIP Among those with at least 150 innings in 2021, Mize was 13th lowest in strikeout rate and 6th highest in home run to flyball ratio. His walk rate was above average, but control was an issue during Spring Training, which could be a factor in 2024 after coming back from Tommy John surgery. Altogether, his FIP was a run higher than his ERA in 2021. One encouraging stat was his groundball rate was at 48.1 percent. Casey Mize throws a four-seam fastball, slider, sinker, splitter, and knuckle curve. Numbers are from 2021: 4-Seamer – 29.3% Usage | .226 BAA | .474 SLG Against Slider – 28.1% Usage | .194 BAA | .335 SLG Against Sinker – 22.7% Usage | .322 BAA | .557 SLG Against Splitter – 13.2% Usage | .203 BAA | .304 SLG Against Knuckle Curve – 6.7% Usage | .133 BAA | .200 SLG Against He had the most trouble with the sinker in 2021 and he only threw it 3 times in his 10 innings in 2022, so maybe he was phasing it out in favor of throwing his fastball/splitter more often. Overall, opponents had a .254 batting average of balls in play against Mize that year, which will be very hard to sustain. Mize throws his fastball around 93.5 MPH and just like Manning, had very good extension in 2021. Casey Mize needs to work on striking out guys more often, but also limiting the home runs (and walks may be an issue as well). It’s going to be even harder for Mize to make these adjustments after not pitching for almost 2 years; it usually takes one full year to get back to full efficiency. Mize is only entering his age-27 season, so he still has time to reach his full potential (and (he did have 20 strikeouts and allowed only 1 home run during Spring Training in 20 1/3 innings, but Spring Training stats should always be taken with a grain of salt). I think the Tigers are going to be more worried about his health this year to make sure he doesn’t have any setbacks, so I don’t expect much of an improvement. Hopefully I am wrong. Experts’ Predictions/Projections: Steamer – 127 IP | 7-9 W/L | 4.63 ERA | 1.36 WHIP | 103 K | 38 BB ZiPS DC – 114 IP | 5-7 W/L | 4.61 ERA | 1.26 WHIP | 85 K | 33 BB THE BAT – 105 IP | 6-8 W/L | 4.97 ERA | 1.38 WHIP | 67 K | 32 BB ATC – 103 IP | 5-7 W/L | 4.50 ERA | 1.29 WHIP | 80 K | 30 BB FGDC – 120 IP | 6-8 W/L | 4.62 ERA | 1.31 WHIP | 94 K | 36 BB RotoChamp – 109 IP | 6-8 W/L | 4.62 ERA | 1.32 WHIP | 81 K | 32 BB CBS Sports – 162 IP | 7-10 W/L | 3.89 ERA | 1.22 WHIP | 152 K | 49 BB ESPN – 101 IP | 5 W | 4.19 ERA | 1.30 WHIP | 67 K | 31 BB My Prediction: 2023 Prediction – N/A 2023 Actual – N/A 2024 Prediction – 122 1/3 IP | 5-9 W/L | 4.71 ERA | 1.357 WHIP | 89 K | 43 BB