People are excited he's back because they genuinely like the guy and he represents an era of Tiger baseball that was fun and memorable. No one expects him to be the Verlander of 2011, but if he can be the Verlander of 2025, that'd be great.
They don't consider "worth". The Tigers are presenting that a 90% salary increase is appropriate based on past history in arbitration. Boras is saying that more than tripling his salary can be justified in this case. Yes, he has to pick one or the other, but that doesn't mean his "worth" is mid range between the two.
Skubal is not going to extend.
Arbitration is not necessarily based on what a player is "worth", it is based more on precedent, and what is reasonable and fair, regarding wage progression, compared to others in a similar situation who have gone before.
The current system was fairly negotiated and is based on the premise that teams could limit player costs prior to players earning free agency. If that system is breached, and the Skubal case is an attempt to drastically raise the bar for future arbitration cases, then the system is broken.
I think if you look at his injury history, his shooting declined in correlation with trying to play through the injuries, back issues this year, shoulder issues, including surgery, previously. Hopefully the Pistons are up to speed on recovery prognosis.
The broadcast issues are those that can and need to be solved by the owners, not at the table. The owners know they're not getting a cap and aren't going to die on that hill.
These are mostly old issues that have been proposed, discussed and tweaked for decades. There is no large precipitating issue that should lead to an impasse. We are dealing with human beings, however.
Why do you think this? I don't see any huge, must have, hot button issues on either side, like there has been in the past, that would lead to a bitter stand off.