Random thoughts
Of the 16 first round teams, Cleveland gave up the third most points in the paint. They did this against a team who did not have functioning center.
The Cavs are not a good defensive team. Ranked 15th for the regular season. But if you limit that to the time Harden was on the team, they rank 18th. Very exploitable.
Who guards Cade? Not Allen or Mobley. Not Mitchell or Harden. They used two different guys as the fifth starter against Toronto, so that leaves either Strus or Wade on Cade. Yes please.
Yeah, Mobley is going to cheat off of Ausar and basically play free safety on Cade. Thompson will have to be aggressive running the baseline and cutting so they can take advantage of him being left alone.
Orlando is one of the most physical teams in the league. Cleveland is not physical at all. The Pistons can bully them and Mobley and Allen are two of the softest bigs in the entire league.
This will be a little bit of a Duren redemption series. I don't think he will get back to his regular season numbers, but I expect him to play better than the Orlando series. He can really push Allen and Mobley around.
Cleveland is a dumb team.
It will be interesting to see if the Cavs remember Allen is on their team while on offense. The Raptors played two terrible centers most of the game and Allen had a big advantage over both. But for the first six games Cleveland rarely went to him. They finally did in game 7 and he responded with a monster game. The more ball screens he sets for Harden the more involved he will be.
The Pistons cant have the long stretches of low offensive production like they did against Orlando. The Magic are a bad offensive team and you can survive that against them. Cleveland has a good offense and they will be up 25 on Detroit if the Pistons struggle to score on a regular basis.
The more Donovan Mitchell dribbles, the better the Pistons odds are of winning. Their offense is at its best when Harden has the ball and is distributing. When they go Iso Mitchell he forgets he is playing with 4 other guys and is just concerned with getting himself a shot. That is not good offense.