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gehringer_2

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Everything posted by gehringer_2

  1. Paxton/Cornyn is an interesting general election challenge for the Dems. As a candidate, Paxton has anti DC status quo value and the energy of the true believer right wing. OTOH, the Dems have the chance to peel away more moderate voters or those just turned off by Paxton's grifting. I have to think Paxton would be easier to beat, but it's Tx.
  2. sure, and you hope GOP donors have donor fatigue by the general, and they might.
  3. The problem for Vancouver is they are in a trading paradox. His value to the Canucks is currently negative and other teams know it and that they have to move him. OTOH, his value to another team could be positive, and the Canucks know it and still want something back.
  4. LOL - a true Moran. *Any* coffee you drink is at 98.6 by the time it's in your stomach.
  5. Runoff is May 26, which will still leave a lot of time for things to settle down on the GOP side before Nov. People automatically assume it's a negative for the GOP, but depending on how the campaign goes that's a lot of free exposure that the eventual GOP candidate is going to get while Talarico has to buy any exposure he gets. The Dems hope Paxton and Cornyn mortally wound one another, which is possible but not a given.
  6. Oil depot tank farm is about as soft as a target gets. So if you hit a 500,000 bbl storage tank you destroy ~$40M of oil, assuming the tank farm is designed so the tanks are spaced and diked well enough so one doesn't set off others. Plus the cost of the tank - call it another $40M. There may be targets with more return than that on the cost of a mid range missile. HItting at least a couple would make for great war video though, so I'm sure they are somewhere on the list for that reason alone. Then again do it with a cheap drones and it's Katy bar the door.
  7. I guess I still expect Pettersson to be moved - Vancouver can let it go down to the wire hoping for offers to improve.
  8. How much of that tankage is in range of Iranian missiles?
  9. Yikes. Sounds like Gibson's exam showed bad news.
  10. what I meant was more along the lines that in baseball, when you have a hole to fill, bringing in 10 stiffs on the hope one of them is a diamond in the rough is generally not great strategy - the failure rate in baseball is so high that quantity does not insure there is any quality to be found in a sample.
  11. corrections above - I was looking at another race and typed Toth in instead of Paxton - oops.
  12. also notable that the Dem senate primary had 165K more votes cast than the GOP side even given how high profile the Paxton/Cornyn race is. Still, we're talking 4 million total votes cast. In the last off year Tx senate race (Cruz/ORouke), 8 million votes were cast so still not any kind of slam dunk indicator for the general. If you do want to be optimistic, Cruz only won that race by 215K votes. If Cornyn loses, the GOP will not be running as an incumbent. On that score, I don't know enough about Hunt to know who his voters are. Cornyn ended up outpolling Paxton slighty, but probably whichever picks up most of Hunts voters is going to win. I think Hunt has tried to position himself closer to Trump than Cornyn, so maybe his votes go to Paxton.
  13. that's not what the post is about, but nevermind
  14. Today's pitching is more evidence that in baseball, quantity is pretty meaningless. Ten guys who can't get out majors leaguers are still worse to have than one who can.
  15. Is there an ICE training facility there or something?
  16. what good is a war if you can’t grift off it?
  17. so they are going to have a hereditary dictatorship, just not the one Pahlavi Jr had in mind. 🙄
  18. it's looking like the 2025 Trump bull market is out of gas. The question then is whether the market stagnates for a while or undergoes a large correction.
  19. Colin Grey found guilty in GA yesterday - 2nd degree murder and manslaugter, for leaving Colt Grey in possession of the AK-47 he had given him despite the obvious signs of his instability. Jury deliberated only 2 hrs. Colt Grey still awaiting trial. But here is the line that stopped me in this story: Seriously, you couldn't think of a better diversion for troubled teen than the deadliest weapon you could find? All I can say is it's too bad this Yahoo's genes were ever in the pool. https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/03/us/colin-gray-verdict-apalachee-shooting.html
  20. "My opinion was Iran was going to attack first" OK, children, it's a big word but can we spell it all together now?: P-R-O-J-E-C-T-I-O-N! Very good, Children!
  21. I was able to get to a game last week via DirectTV>Disney+->EspnUnlimited but I'm not sure if that was a one time thing/free game/whatever. Also didn't seem to be any DVR function at ESPN-Unlim which I would miss a lot because I almost always start a recording of game before I'm available to watch it. If they make a deal to get a 'linear' service on DTV I'll probably be too lazy to do anything else.
  22. Market in the same pattern as yesterday. Over night pessimism driving a lowered opening and a drop, then midday bargain hunting bringing it back, but not as much so far today as yesterday.
  23. I thought Snyder had a decent 1st term, the Detroit resolution was pretty epic, but he transformed into an ordinary GOP hack in his second. Voted in MN in that election though.
  24. Kasper was a force in this game. Nice to see
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