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Everything posted by gehringer_2
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04/21/2026 6:40p EDT Milwaukee Brewers at Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
Really it all comes down to not making outs. If enough guys don't make outs, or you get an XBH, a run is going to score before 3 outs are made. You can add a lot of complexity getting to the second decimal point effects but the basic logic isn't that complicated - High on base, high XBH up front is what gets you there. And also obvious that if more your productive players get more AB, you get more production, so you start with them. -
04/23/2026 1:10p EDT Milwaukee Brewers at Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
Have had to listen to this week's game on radio - have to say I'm pretty much completely off Bobby Scales by now. -
Yup - The pitcher's uni is not the ground and it's out of play, the batter should be out.
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I'm not real big on the 'challenge guys to play better' strategy. Maybe you have a player here or there that needs to change approach, e.g. Raymond shooting more, but in general guys are how they play. You're dreaming if you think they are going to turn into what they haven't been.
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04/22/2026 6:40p EDT Milwaukee Brewers at Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
WTF -
04/22/2026 6:40p EDT Milwaukee Brewers at Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
also did not see young Kaline, but to lay out the comparison: McGonigle is 21. Kaline had a monster season at age 20, 8.2 WAR, Batting title, 967 OPS, MVP runner up. but it was not his rookie season, it was his *second* full season. In his rookie yr Kaline had a nice season, was 3rd in ROY voting, but 650 OPS and 1.2 WAR. McGonigle on a pace to top easily if he stays on it. -
Piece by Ben Rhodes (Obama admim alum) about Platner in the Times today. FWIW, he does not think Platner is a Nazi candidate - he thinks he's an anti-war, anti-military-industrial complex candidate.
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The counterpoint is that having Trump bored and frustrated with the whole thing is more likely to end up with him more or less waking away from it all and Iran getting more of what they want, than giving him more reason to see the conflict in the personal vendetta terms that is more likely to make him more dangerous and instransigent
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no denying they know US culture well enough to be good at this and the opposite in not true. But that said, they aren't doing anyone, including themselves, any good with ti.
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this most recent poll that has him down ~33% - if it is to be believed, is a solid increment down from the 38-42 where he he seemed to hold in the past. I don't want to give the idea I'm resistent to evidence - I just want to see it!
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a little more than 1/2 way to Sparky’s 40 game marker we’ve got a 500 team, and that’s what they are going to be if run prevention doesn’t ratchet up a notch or two.
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Remember when our farm system had given us two stars in him and Garcia? Good times….
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04/21/2026 6:40p EDT Milwaukee Brewers at Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
i couldn’t watch this one, but looks like Kieder recovered after a bad innings and kept them in it. But 7 h 2 bb, for DeJesus to get 4 outs? What does a guy have to do get pulled around here? -
yup. What i find so funny is that as a society, the Christian Right is so selectively oblivious. Do they think that OT god of plague and genocide, who strikes down anyone who puts a fire pot in the wrong place is just going to give them a pass on 3, 4, 7, and 10? It reminds me of what Paul said about “with the law comes sin”. They condemn themselves by their own stds. Go figure. Which is because, as you note, it’s not really about religion per se at all, it’s about anti-democracy. it’s about establishing that “my rules transcend your vote”
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04/21/2026 6:40p EDT Milwaukee Brewers at Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
you aren’t going to get great defense playing mediocre defenders -
as terrible as Trump has been, once you break it down to the races that matter, I'm still not seeing any forecasts that rate the Dem's chance of taking the necessary Senate seats as better than 50/50. That's were the rubber meets the road to defang Trump. Granted, some of that is reluctance to go out on a limb because along with Trump, the GOP has exceeded their past polling, but it's still telling you that there still isn't enough signal out there to be unequivocal. I'd love to see some data that Collins solidly underwater and Peltola or Talarico were a slam dunk- that's what a wave will look like.
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04/20/2026 11:10a EDT Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
Possibly for now, but in general sport only tends to be clean temporarily in the aftermath of each crackdown, then in pretty short order the miscreants regain their lead over the gendarmes. -
04/20/2026 11:10a EDT Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
DD was talking about Jack usually losing it after 10 more batters - if that were true you might able to use him in long relief in place of the way Hinch wants to use Anderson, but the 10 batters in thing certainly wasn't true tonight - 3 walks in the 1st 7 batters. -
granted, but retaking MI and WI is not a wave for the Dems, it's just getting you back to even.
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04/20/2026 11:10a EDT Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
tour de france riders close, though mostly artificially enhanced -
04/20/2026 11:10a EDT Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
there are guys who come with out of nowhere plays - like Javy, and then there are guys who do stuff like that. Mental preparedness I guess. -
yup - I think most people do. And as carefully as I do vet UM regents, I almost never vote the MSU or WSA slates exacty because I don't follow the issues at those schools. There was point a number of years ago when I did make a point of voting against all the incumbent MSU Trustees because they had mad a bad enough muddle in E. Lansing that it got on my radar.
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a̶s̶s̶u̶m̶i̶n̶g̶ h̶e̶ g̶e̶t̶s̶ p̶a̶s̶t̶ e̶i̶t̶h̶e̶r̶ A̶c̶k̶e̶r̶ o̶r̶ B̶r̶o̶w̶n̶ i̶n̶ t̶h̶e̶ p̶r̶i̶m̶a̶r̶y̶, w̶h̶i̶c̶h̶ i̶s̶ q̶u̶e̶s̶t̶i̶o̶n̶a̶b̶l̶e̶ -̶ i̶n̶ f̶a̶c̶t̶ But beyond Wisconsin, there is little good data from full turnout elections. And Wisconsin should flip - it's a faiirly moderate state. Beyond that there is a belief that trump has managed to alienate a lot of his supporters, but so far it's all anecdote and speculation. That's OK, but it's not proof. His overall approval numbers are down, but not down enough from where they always are to indicate numbers for a major re-alignment.
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04/20/2026 11:10a EDT Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
14 BB and 12 H - seemed to be auditioning for the Justyn-Henry Malloy mantle, which won't get him very far. -
04/20/2026 11:10a EDT Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
don't really like Keith at 1st but that's relatively minor nit to pick. Not so bad if Javy isn't at short as he's likely to make the toughest throws for his 1B.
