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gehringer_2

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Everything posted by gehringer_2

  1. only because no-one else has a candidate in mind. Question for the history buffs. Has a candidate ever won the Presidency after losing in the general election as a challenger 4 yrs earlier? (IOW excluding Trump who was running for re-election and lost. Nixon did it 8 years 8 yrs later.)
  2. Marco said it was a new era for world now with Trump and Orban leading the way.
  3. I'd put the odds of Harris getting the nomination at about 15%. That is, within the realm of possibility but not particularly likely.
  4. the thing is, what he he doing there now can't work for any length of time anyway - you can be half in with Trump. A quick survey of the Post Ed Board offerings for the last few days show them almost exactly split down the middle between old style GOP pro free market pieces and velvet glove anti-Admin critiques. That's nowhere good enough for Trump, who just barely tolerates Fox even with their 24/7 sycophancy. So at the end of the day, I'm sure he's not buying himself any useful favor anyway while he continues to drive off his potential reader base, because the Post isn't near MAGA enough for MAGA, and even if it were, MAGA don't do newspapers. But he's probably too vain to let it close and be seen as a failure. So there is that.
  5. who knew you could spike the ball short of the end zone in curling?
  6. Granted, every person is uinque, but still - I have a hard time seeing a guy who already worked his way through and clear of the justice system once being that despondent over getting busted.
  7. And he was supposedly a great NCAA athlete. Hard to understand how fast he lost it all.
  8. In the Oil/Chem industry if you have a benzene inhalation exposure they are supposed to monitor you regularly for the rest of your life - though it not for colon risk rather for hematopoietic system risks. Not sure how that works if you leave the responsible employer but that was still the rule when I left the biz.
  9. I think one or both of two things is going to happen. One - computational HW is going to keep improving (Moore's Law and all that) which is going to leave a big utility overhang as data centers evolve to use less power, and/or two: if the power demands don't come down, and the Googles and Microsofts of the world have to start charging people more to cover the utility expense of getting results like 'you should walk to the car wash" they will find demand drops precipitously. The third related possibility is that in the constant ebb and flow between the popularity of centralized vs distributed IT that we've seen in computer science since the beginning, the continuing increase in locally available computational power and model optimization is going to allow a lot of business AI consumers to take their LLMs back in-house - both for cost and data integrity reasons.
  10. every bad candidate takes it closer.
  11. Of course he will be. And hopefully that leads to another GOP seat lost as the GOP puts up another wacko for election that can't win.
  12. and billions of watts being generated to accomplish this.
  13. to me, the objective evidence is that tanking has only gotten worse with the lottery because you are increasing the number of teams willing to take a gamble on the #1. With a straight inverse order draft, you only had one or maybe two teams that vied for absolute worst, and since the difference in the value of a pick drops off pretty fast once you get past the 2nd or 3rd pick, I just don't see that many teams other than the very worst teams trying to move down. I think the evidence is the lottery has encouraged non-playoff teams to try to get worse because they might have a shot at a #1. Leave them facing the difference between a #5 and #8 and I think they keep playing, because before the lottery that is pretty much what happened. I would go back to no lottery, simple inverse order, and maybe a limit that you can't pick in the top three more than 2 years out of 5 or something similar. A league can tolerate one team being a joke each season.
  14. I don't know if I would go for that, but one dodge I think does need to be closed is basis reset on a spouse's inherited capital gains.
  15. nice to see someone in a high position decide not to deny the obvious.
  16. "One of the connections that is underdiscussed — particularly in the security space — is that we are seeing, around the world and in the United States, extreme levels of income inequality leads to social instability and drives authoritarianism, populism, and very dangerous domestic, internal politics. "That is a direct outcome of not just income inequality, but the failures of democracies, over decades, to deliver: the failure to deliver higher wages, the failure to rein in corporations. "In the United States, antitrust is such a foundational bedrock value not just because the ascent of monopolies creates the abuse of power by corporations in market power, but there is a level of market concentration and corporate consolidation where a massive company can get so big that its consolidated power can rival that of nation states. "In democracies, we have elected leaders. In massive corporations that then begin to consume the public sector, they start to call the shots. "We’re starting to see this with some of the billionaire class throwing their weight around in domestic politics, and in global politics as well. "It is of utmost, urgent priority that we get our economic houses in order and deliver material gains for the working-class, or else we will fall to a more isolated world governed by authoritarians — that also do not deliver to working people." I'll let you guess who wrote that. Be careful what you wish for.
  17. Oh - I gave up dancing on the grave of Bitcoin some time ago - pretty much after it recovered after '22. But that's one party I'm not interested in joining either way.
  18. "This week, there was yet another warning that many homeowners might be headed for trouble. The mortgage delinquency rates for lower-income households are surging, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Center for Microeconomic Data, which recently released its Household Debt and Credit report for the fourth quarter of 2025. According to New York Fed data, the 90-plus-day mortgage delinquency rate for families in the lowest-income bracket jumped from 0.5 percent in 2021 to nearly 3 percent by the end of 2025. Meanwhile, folks in the highest-income areas are doing just fine, maintaining “historically lower delinquency rates.” It’s another reminder that the U.S. economy is largely benefiting people with means, while financial storm clouds are gathering over those who can least afford a rainy day. As the New York Fed points out, “financial distress appears to be deepening for households in lower-income areas.” When the Fed examined what might account for the disparities in mortgage performance, it concluded the job market could be a major contributor. Although the latest jobs report from the Labor Department shows some gains in January, the rebound was limited to just a few sectors, such as health care. Nationwide, unemployment is relatively low, but “worsening” regional labor markets are making it hard for people to keep up with their mortgage payments. “Two-thirds of counties have seen their local unemployment rates rise, and 5 percent of the population lives in counties where unemployment rates have risen by more than 1.6 percentage points,” according to the New York Fed." this is from WaPo https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2026/02/14/mortgage-problems-delinquencies/
  19. OT, but I've been looking at audio amps recently. I still have a class B rig (110 W/ch RMS) I built years ago and all the new stuff is class D, and it's actually not always easy to get an answer to that question. In large part because the Class D people feel it's irrelevant for class D amps.
  20. I think this group plays even more against the grain than that one. Ben was really the only outlier on that team. Other than giving up O for D to the extreme at center (and you did have Okur/Rasheed as PF/C) I thought that group played a pretty conventional game. The book says this team is way too offensively challenged, doesn't have the height to protect the rim, and doesn't even have that many good on-ball defenders to be a great defensive team. But they do it anyway. IIRC, years ago Denver ( I think it was Denver anyway) thought they could change the game by running their opposition off the floor, but the league ended up going in the opposite direction. I feel this Piston team is more in that position, but with a better chance of making it work because they run and defend, Denver just ran.
  21. is that RMS or just peak?
  22. I don't know if it's our media or our populace which is more broken. I've been thinking that part of what is doing in America is that one of the fundamental premises of the Founding Fathers has failed. The idea always was that the elites would hold each other accountable because they had to compete for the votes of the common people that way. But in the US the elites have figured out that they actually don't have to do that. Both sides have realized that you simply take accountability off the table and while you and the other side may trade being in control once in a while, your status in the elite is never really at risk over your conduct. Accountability's last stand was Watergate in 1974. Since then the Dems opened the door with Clinton and the GOP has driven a Mack Truck through it with Bush and Trump.
  23. At UM they put me on a 5 yr schedule as they found a polyp on my first, otherwise it would have been 10. After having 2 clear they don't want to do another for 10. Of course 10 yrs is an eternity in medical science anymore so you can figure those recommendations are being reviewed on shorter intervals than that.
  24. as long as your bacon factory's smoke doesn't comes in a bottle. (although to be perfectly honest, what's in an actual fire probably isn't all that much worse than what's in the bottle.....🤷‍♂️)
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