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gehringer_2

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Everything posted by gehringer_2

  1. I could have seen him play maybe that year or a couple more because there was still a chance he might find a way to get healthy - the batting eye was still there. But the last two years were certainly terrible. Part of that was probably the Tigers also - they should have given him his money and put him on disability but they wanted to milk 3000 hits etc.
  2. I don't even remember Cash as being a particularly poor fielder at 1B for that era - certainly was pretty fair on foul pop-ups. Granted - If he'd been playing today he'd have been DH'ing in his over 35 yrs.
  3. interesting thing with Casey is that since he came back from his TJ he has learned to be effective against LHB, who hammered him early in his career. He has a slightly inverse OPS platoon split - but managers continue to send LHB to face him - he faced more LHB than RHB in total last season.
  4. Both RB saw their success rate fall by about the same % - which goes right to the OL. But Gibbs rushes per game were about the same as last season. A chunk of the shift was that Montgomery lost rushing attempts to not to more runs by Gibbs but pass targets to Gibbs.
  5. what is the opposite of a 'virtuous circle'? A 'veering of vice' maybe? The problem here is the problem for these owners is not the players, it's their fellow owners, and the way out the mess is revenue sharing, not a salary cap, but the old boy ownership club ties apparently being thicker than water - if not fully 'blood' - they won't explicitly go after their fellow owners. So instead of a solution, they'll get a strike, which will cost everybody money. And in the end the settlement won't really settle anything because the root problem will still be there waiting to rear its ugly head when the next contract expires.
  6. they seem persuaded that Anderson is going to hold his own. I don't know if there are enough comps of guys coming to the MLB from Korea to have that kind of confidence that a 2.25 ERA there is enough to translate into success here, but they seem to think so.
  7. I believe that conclusion was reached here a while a ago.
  8. I think this has a pretty fair probability. Even without McGongle, if McKinstry and Javy are both 'not terrible' with the bat and Parker is, which is another not unlikely combination - javy is also going to spend time in CF.
  9. Boston needed one more call than they got tonight.
  10. Great take on DeBrincat from McLellan in the post game "He drags a lot of his teammates into the game, every night".
  11. I don't care about the money, it's not that big an increment, the only question is whether he can turn his career around away from Vancouver. The team was clearly banking on that happening when they moved Miller, so that argues no. OTOH, that locker room may have been so polarized by the time they moved Miller that it wasn't going to make any real difference to his alienation from the team. McLellan seems to be a pretty good coach, but if you're are going to turn around EP you probably need a Scotty Bowman. This team is close enough I don't think you need to take such a big risk of lousing things up. I'd pass based on knowing the little amount we do, but the front office does get paid to know more about the sub rosa than we do.
  12. two comments on that: Weather is local, changes from year to year, and is what drives some of the park effect anomalies you see. The year Target opened we were in MnStP, everyone was paranoid by August that the park was playing way too huge. It was just a really weird year in Mineapolis - lots and lots of cool nights in a place where summer is usually really hot. It's never played that big again. I agree there does seem to be something to a team effect on park factors. COPA definitely seems to play big when the Tigers are bad, more average when the team is average to good. I'd guess that when the home team is lousy, visitors with a lead just feel less pressure to score more so I believe in some cases you do get a certain amount of cross correlation that you don't want to be there.
  13. I suppose if they wanted to make things more transparent, they could publish how the park factor correction was for each player. They can be pretty big, esp for pitchers.
  14. That aspect doesn't worry me so much. Even if he is disconnecting mentally from a *future* with Detroit, if he is angling for a record setting deal, he is going to be driven to perform in the '26 *present* to get it.
  15. If it's true that Skubal/Boras didn't even make a pre-arb counter offer to the Tigers, to me that means they already look at any contractural relationship with the. Tigers as being in the rear view mirror.
  16. yeah - Pretty good when your old management takes Brady, then a generation later it turns over and your new management picks Maye, another big drop back passer who is already at top of the stat sheets in his 2nd yr.
  17. One of Elmer's stronger games tonight - not only mixing up a little to defend his mates, but a good number of take-aways. Reimer not going to keep his new gig very long if he keeps dropping low enough for guys to shoot over his shoulder like the Wings did.
  18. Right. The actual comparison is 6-7 War from Skubal in '26 plus whatever the comp pick turns into in the future, vs the value of 2 or 3 other prospects, which in total still have an excellent chance of giving you less than 6-7 total over any future. If you were a bad team where 6-7 isn't going to get you anything in '26, then take future, but if you are a good enough team that the 6-7 wins gets you to the playoffs and thus a shot at the WS, take the wins and the pick and let the future further out sort itself out.
  19. I don't know how I could trust it for things when about which I didn't already have a feel for whether it was right or wrong. One thing I have to get used to is that it seems to assume people don't ask questions accurately, because even when you give specific multiple criteria with conjunction ('and'), it seems to ignore that on the first pass and you have go back and repeat, that you want do want a list of things with X AND Y properties, not a list of things with X OR Y properties.
  20. I think they should just close all the airports in FLA right away. (assuming Edman has a car to get out.......😉)
  21. Are we seeing not enough 'game management'...... or too much? 🤔
  22. That degree is 'Communications' to you, buddy.
  23. right - and also the ratios involved are so huge. If you are working for Amalgamated Widget, and the guy in the next cubicle doing a similar job gets a bigger raise then you do, it's not likely to be to 30x what you are making like it is between a future HOF player in his rookie yr versus a washed up unproductive player that got lucky like Cobb.
  24. any player in the MLB who is worried about himself or other guys being paid what they are actually worth in the years they are worth it is going to be having a very hard time emotionally. I'm sure any pro baseball player who hasn't already lost his mind over it has made his peace with the fact that what guys are being paid at any given time in MLB has almost nothing to do with how much they are contributing to the team or whether the guys he sees when he looks down the dugout bench are being paid for more or less 'value' to the club than he is.
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