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gehringer_2

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Everything posted by gehringer_2

  1. FWIW, I also saw Skubal projected at $11M last week.
  2. Ignorant easterners have no idea what happens when it doesn't rain for 10 months and then you get 60mph desert winds coming at you through a bunch of rugged terrian. It's like saying "people aren't prepared for a volcano." The planet usually gets the last word on human efforts to 'be prepared'
  3. Bread and circuses. Need something to keep the masses riled up or they might actually notice what is going on around them.
  4. And I would just wager that there will probably be a disproportionate number or black and brown people trying to put out the fires that are threatening the houses of a disproportionate number of white people.
  5. A neat non displaced Fibula fracture could have been less but apparently Ivy wasn't that lucky. Just for comparison, and granted Hutchenson broke his Tibia also, but he were to make it back by the SB that would be 4 months and that's still considered unlikely by most people.
  6. One man's viable internal candidate is another man's sub-replacement bum
  7. I have a theory () that building red tape is another misdirected recognition that there are too many people already. But the human species doesn't really have any accepted, established social mechanisms for expressing it's desire for population control, other than a short experiment in China, and the topic remains controversial in so many places, so the psychic pressure that builds up in a crowded society manifests itself indirectly in all kinds of rules to make it harder add more people to the neighborhood (If you have no-where to live hopefully you will go away! - etc).
  8. interesting enough, building red tape is something Newsome (a dem!?) has been pushing his state hard about. But funny you should mention it because I'm peripherally involved with some renovation work that a non-profit is doing on one room of their building ~1500 ft sq. This morning I just leafed through a 236 page codes and specifications document from the architect to the general contractor. Now to be fair, everything I took the time to look at in any detail seemed perfectly reasonable, but a 236 page doc of specs for one room? (note this isn't even any of the actual plans). You'd think there has to be a better way. Let me know if you come up with it. As an engineer by trade, I tried as best I could to stay in the process and operations end because I know this kind of stuff would have turned my brain to mush if I had ever gotten cornered into doing project work.
  9. I've been surprised the Chinese have been, for lack of a better term, so brain-dead about the whole 'belt-and-road' thing. They've watched the West intently for a long time yet made pretty much all the same mistakes in loaning money to poor governments that were never going to pay it back and then leaning on them to do so anyway - thus they will see their clients' fealty turn into resentment just like we always did.
  10. By representing such a large portion of players, Boras is actually at least in a little bit of a conflict of interest in his representation of any individual player because his overall revenues depend far more on the whole market rising than that individual getting the best outcome for his particular situation.
  11. sea level is not much an issue in CA, it's not a low coastline. Ironically it's quite possible that climate change may end up benefiting CA in the form of a long term increase in rainfall, but nobody really knows, which is the risk. Increasing atmospheric energy will probably equate to more total rainfall globally but with possibly major changes in where rain falls. If you want to take a purely probabilistic view, if you live somewhere that is more desert like now, the odds of change increasing your rainfall are probably better than of it decreasing it further.
  12. The gov has been too lax about getting people out of flood plains since just about forever. People don't like it when it's finally acted on. OTOH - I don't see any connection to 'natural coastline' in any issue in CA. Drought alternating with atmospheric rivers, windstorms and the resulting fires and landslides are not confined to the coastline at all.
  13. Now to be honest, Carter probably had the funds to write a check and create more housing for the poor than the efforts of his own labor ever could so working on habitat houses was hardly the most altruistic thing he could have been doing, per se. And maybe he wrote some of those checks. But the value in his service to Habitat was never in his individual labor, it was that he was great recruiter and ambassador for the org, and that's fine - I don't knock the value in that at all. For most Americans the time they can donate to community service is more valuable than the amount of money they have available to donate so that recruitment matters. But as a general rule I wouldn't consider it all that redeeming for a rich person to donate some of his time if he isn't also donating some of his money!
  14. If they have't extended Skubal by now I think the odds are he's gone when his deal is up. It's just cooked into the current system. To me that's just a base assumption you have to accept Riley is a tough call, between his style of play, the injuries he's already had and the brutal way he torques his back on his swing I'm guessing they they still have a measure of 'wait and see' in any plans to extend him.
  15. If I understand it correctly - and I may not, in China the provincial governments have also been allowed to take on debt and I've read there are now tremendous levels of this sub-national level government debt as the regional govs have been spending wildly on xs infrastructure, real-estate devel, etc for a generation as well.
  16. I don't know much about Tarasenko, but at least based on his career success if he is healthy he should still have more upside at 33 than he is showing. I've seen Johansson make a few mistakes, but I've also seen him play way harder than Petry can any more. I wish Jeff a *long* and comfortable recovery from whatever is ailing him. I agree this line-up just doesn't look like it can be a high pressure over 60 minutes kind of 5 on 5 offense, but they do have the players to score more 5 on 5 transition goals with at least two lines, and hopefully the big improvements in zone exits and faster transitions are going to show up as more transition scoring.
  17. the need to do the deal is simple. The sad truth is Ford probably doesn't know anything more valuable about car building to the Chinese than what we are getting from them. There just isn't much at risk on our side.
  18. That's the beauty of a licensing deal though - once you are off the ground, you say good-bye and just send the royalty checks. It's the best way there is to import technology. I like seeing the the role reversal here since licensing US tech was a big part of how the Chinese built their manufacturing base. IMO - the biggest risk is the heat gets to where the Chinese pull out of the deal. The US needs this manufacturing capability.
  19. tigers have so many arms that need long looks in ST there aren't going to be enough quality innings to go around.
  20. It's not even useful to propagate the 'we're negotiating with a crazy man' paradigm because at this point in his long history, everyone already knows it a game and that Trump folds like a cheap suit under any real pressure.
  21. When do all his fans start to figure out that all this crap is a window into just how unserious he is about addressing any of the country's actual problems? Even written off as fun and games, one could accept it except that that is all there ever is, or will be.
  22. absolutely. Mize will probably get more slack because of the power arm, but if Manning shows up throwing 93 he's a goner.
  23. While I don't see why any of this would have an impact on a licensing agreement, if it did it would be a terrible mistake. The US needs Li(Fe)PO4 technology and production capability on shore. Once you are doing step one under license you can invent step II yourself and now it's domestic tech. Li(Fe)PO4 is going to especially useful for fixed site applications like home storage for solar arrays where you care less that its weight performance is not quite as good. It's far more stable/safer than having LiION inside your house and will run to more recharge cycles.
  24. yup - wait until Canada invites China to open a Naval base in Vancouver.
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