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gehringer_2

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Everything posted by gehringer_2

  1. It's not a yes/no proposition. it depends 100% on how far and how fast. To just say $30 - which is more than 4x the Federal rate, and not know what inflation does or doesn't do over the time period of the increase or what adjoining jurisdictions or the State of NY (otherwise known as your business competition) do, you are talking about the possibility of dislocation. The when you are talking $7.25 to say $12.00 and do it at the federal level where the guy across the street is not exempt, you are in a whole different world in terms of effects - or lack of them. The level of impact of an increase does go to zero when you are starting at low rates and making relatively small increases. In general US MW has always been so low and the increases so small that people who argue they are the end of world are always wrong - no argument there, but that doesn't mean there isn't a place where the level and difference won't have an effect. Economics is always about degrees. That's why it will be a measure of Mandani's actual political/economic acumen. It's not where you start, it's where you finish (assuming he eventually wins).
  2. He talks about debt service, but the other half the equation is that if you want to deficit spend (Trump does) then you don't care about inflation because you get to pay back your debt with devalued dollars. And Trump will just claim inflation numbers are fake news or worse, gut BLS so there are no numbers and MAGA will slurp it up like everything else, because that's what cults do.
  3. I think Finley has been replaced by a programmable bot. No real person could write the ridiculous things he does.
  4. Oakland played all aspects of the game well enough to win. Tigers didn't K so much as just didn't barrell anything up. Flaherty kept them in the game after not looking like he would. That was something.
  5. I think we have to assume his health has declined too much. One hint might be that Kirk didn't narrate the recent commercial for his foundation.
  6. because they know that that kind of policy can't work for them in reality. Now if he ends up settling for a 10% increase, that's the kind of thing that could have a positive result. *IF*. But if he practices all-or-nothing politics he either gets nothing or he does get what he wants and closes every restaurant and mom and pop business in NYC
  7. Kotsay going to live dangerously?
  8. tokens of life.
  9. Hinch used Hernandez against 3 RHB and 1 LHB and he got the three RHB. Just like AJ drew it up I'm sure. Too bad that kind of management doesn't work as reliably on hitters.
  10. Does NYC have statutory authority under NY state law to tell businesses what to pay? I'd expect if he campaigned on it the city does but the American voter is ignorant enough I don't take something like that as a guarantee anymore.
  11. that's a nice AB by Parker. EDIT: and the good result was short lived
  12. Gleyber got his man that time, but still took the ball too far in front.
  13. this guy is doing what he can for CB by being terrible enough that we won't notice CB that much.
  14. miss enough and you don't get calls either.
  15. Jack's got strike allergy.
  16. AHJTTT (always have Javy take the throw)
  17. terrible tag though. Dingler had him by mile if Gleyber catches it a little deeper.
  18. Similar feeling. The one I do miss from back in the day is Pogo.
  19. Guliani has always been a charlatan, his prosecutions were always politically motivated (even if the 5 families prosecution was a good one anyway), hiring Bratton was probably his best career move and it was notable he fired him when the police dept (and Stratton) starting getting too much credit for their police work....
  20. We call it "Temperate Rain Forest"
  21. I do give her credit for playing the 2024 election well, but I'm on her spamming list - so I get some kind email almost daily, the stuff she is sending recently does not strike me as very useful for building a better winning coalition. Of course IMV, the time she has spent on the NYC mayoralty is a diversion anyway. I can't think of anyone from the NY mayors office from either party in recent decades who has successfully used that as a springboard to becoming a national leader/winning Federal office. Maybe MB should be happy if Mamdani wins in NYC because it probably means he will be politically cul-del-sac'd.
  22. That would be his 10th team. I guess that's one way to get to be "all NBA"
  23. LOL - I get the resource play but why would you want to let any of that terrible management culture into your room? I'll grant it's been a few years now but I can tell you it wasn't just the headline stories, From first hand experience working in their facilities I'd say that the catastrophes were no accident. BP was the worst operator in the oil field at every level. Strikes me as having a similar potential to turn out like what happened when the M/D people moved into Boeing.
  24. Assuming Perez doesn't fall back in a big way, the similarity is that they were both guys who started as pros very young, had decent bat to ball skill but no power. Paredes found his in a big way, Perez has upped his EV 4 mph and is hitting the ball more in the air this this season. His BaBIP is right where it was last season but he's slugging at a higher rate. The differences are that Isaac's bat actually started coming around at 23, Perez is 25. OTOH, Perez is more athletic, should be a better OF than Isaac an IF. Also my by my personal theory, the younger a guy gets good, the longer he likely to stay good on the other end, so Paredes has that over Perez as well. I remember discussion that some in the org didn't trust Paredes body conformation - thought he was going to run to fat - they were wrong about that- he still looks the same as he ever did.
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