Jump to content

gehringer_2

Members
  • Posts

    17,996
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    133

Everything posted by gehringer_2

  1. Right - why is this is from Apr 23, the 23rd was Doval's 8th game of the season. His 1st appearance at home was on the 5th.
  2. Colt sits. He seemed to be in the dumps after an AB yesterday. Parker not in the bottom 3 - He has tagged a few balls pretty well despite not having much other than the 2 HR to show recently.
  3. This exactly. Today's prototype has to shoot - whether it's a rangy rim guy like Holmgren or a pass and shoot guy like Jokic, Duren doesn't fit a mold anywhere on that spectrum. He's a player for a different era.
  4. Not sure this is true. A team isn't going to make a free agent a bigger offer because he had been a bargain for his previous team. The Lions aren't going to offer St. Brown any more money than they think he believes he would be eventually able to get somewhere else if he doesn't sign. Markets don't really keep memory of the past, they do have a lot of future prediction built in.
  5. Mike Johnson looking for a winning issue for the the House GOP and to build a little more national profile for himself. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/04/24/mike-johnson-house-speaker-columbia-student-gaza-protests/
  6. Ha! Walker was about the only other position player from the 1st couple of rounds of the 2020 draft beside Torkelson that had done anything.
  7. Hindsight is easy but it would have been good if they moved Ivey last off-season before he set foot on the court with Cade again.
  8. so this shift is going to help statewide Dems and Biden. The implications for House races depends on how many are within the margin of the shift vs how many are so lopsided that 10% still doesn't flip them - as in this case. Sadly, I imagine most are in that category.
  9. Getting back to Pujols for a second, what helped make Albert so extraordinary was his ability to stay on field. He averaged 140games/yr over 22 yrs. That puts him in rare company in the modern game. You wonder with how hard guys train and play today if careers like that, which have always been rare, just get rarer. It makes you think about Mike Trout, who probably won't hit many or any of the milestones that looked in easy reach for him a few years ago. Lots of guys in that boat today.
  10. If I were a GM I think I'd come at low value/high value from the question of what positions require extra-ordinary players vs where can I elevate team play with scheme and discipline. Obviously it a continuum, but near one end I'd put QBs and near the other maybe LBs
  11. There are two thing are work here that are separable. RBs have short shelf lives, other than the rare outlier it's a young man's position, so you can argue correctly that picking one doesn't return the long term value of QB or OLineman who can play for 12+ yrs. But that's a very different argument from whether you can't still put a better offense on the field with a premium running back. Looked at from that angle, you may have to resign yourself to picking a good one more often if want to put the optimum offense on the field.
  12. Absolutely. I get a little irritated when you see a poll reported as "1500 likely voters" and the error bar is ususally given the binomial uncertainty for the sample size. That's BS because the sample population is not random, it was balanced out of a larger raw number by the pollster and no-one is giving an error bar on the accuracy of the sample selection. That's where the rubber meets the road in today's environment.
  13. This is the key. The signal has to be in the available data - if it's not reliably there, no amount analysis is going to help. Learning how to survey America without landlines is still in the Blind men encountering the elephant phase.
  14. he is still the youngest player on the roster.
  15. Of course the key is being given the choice. You do generally have to have something interesting to say to keep getting that choice. What gave people an interest in what he had to say was the belief that what he said was informed by reliable data analysis. Lose that and IDK how long anyone cares what he has to say! Conventionally at least, what validates most pundits is experience working inside the system, e.g. ex-elected official or having worked inside the system as campaign or admin/Congressional staff or a long time political journalist. Without numbers validation Nate lacks any of that.
  16. I guess it's based on the view in vogue that running backs are all pretty much interchangeable because all the running game has to do is make short yardage and the OLine can make a hole for anyone. I tend to think that view is already becoming passe - a number of teams - and good teams (Lions/49ers) have elevated the running game to a bigger part of their overall offense and as more follow suit (the NFL has always been a follow the winner league) I think the perception of positional value will follow. There is always some cycling/recycling of what works on offense in the NFL.
  17. Theoretically, an umpire can stop the game and demand the ushers eject a fan - under threat of forfeit, assuming the ump can identify the perp. Can't say as I've ever seen it happen.
  18. Maeda turning in a good start is pretty huge. Having all 5 starters show than *can* pitch well is the prerequisite to being able to hope they *will* all pitch well.
  19. with both side 95% in, 50K more voted on the Dem side - sort of meh. Biden netted 140K more votes than Trump.
  20. I missed the Seattle aspect - thought you were just referencing the era in general.
  21. Didn't root hard enough. Twins won it in a walk off single. Sox at 3 - 20.
  22. Am I following this? Two con-competitive primaries and nearly 50% more Dems showed up to vote? What else was on the ballot?
  23. Don't most trials only run 3hrs in the morning and 3 in the afternoon? That leaves 10hr for him stay in shape.....
×
×
  • Create New...