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Everything posted by gehringer_2
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Michigan Football 2024 aka The Year Michigan has to Defend a Natty
gehringer_2 replied to romad1's topic in College Sports
May as well add a D that can stop some people while you're wish-listing. -
2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
The bloom had faded on Wilmer's rose. Can't win 'em all. -
2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
I'd put it this way - he's about as good a player as you will find to do what Hinch wants someone to do. If he were very much better he could nail down a starting gig somewhere. -
2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
yup - I'm sure that's also the biggest reason they don't want to park Vierling at 3rd. He's not a great defender there but I believe he'd still be an overall plus player there but they want those IF/OF swing guys. -
Michigan Football 2024 aka The Year Michigan has to Defend a Natty
gehringer_2 replied to romad1's topic in College Sports
except that paying $10M to a player is exactly why Saban said he left - as mind blowingly ironic as that statement is coming from an Alabama coach. -
In the real world, biology and genetics do not draw black and white lines, culture has to create its own world to do that. And then it masquerades its ignorance as divinely received wisdom.
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but that is not the most, or even remotely likely outcome. The cabinet chair would be reduced but all the legislation that created the mandates of the Sec of Ed will just be passed to the departments that inherit the old DOE divisions. People don't really understand how the government works. DOE was not created to enable federal involvement in education, that already existed and will continue to exist if DOE is gone. DOE was created to elevate the public profile the bureau that administered federal education spending to cabinet level. Congress created/creates the spending and the mandates and the programs. Where they are administered and whether they have their own cabinet officer does not affect any of that.
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2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
do you suppose the wants to learn 1B? -
2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
exactly. K rate up some but not that much - contact rate and power seem OK. I suppose something like if the OPS of the hitters behind him last season was higher than in the past that would be some explanation, but you'd want some reasonable explanation before shelling out the $$ -
How to lie with large numbers 101. The ratio of 100 to 1 million is ten thousand. If you hire a 'few hundred' people to help tens of millions of people complete a task, you are working pretty efficiently.
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There was a reason - that we've pretty much forgotten, that for a couple of thousand years we kept making a big deal about all those dead white Greek guys. They were the ones that pretty much put capital 'T' truth out there as something that is important in and of itself. The Western world has been trying to catch back up to their level of understanding ever since.
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I read an interesting book, one of the premises of which is that we too often make the incorrect assumption that if you put a lot of information out there, the good stuff (as in that which aligns with objective reality) will 'win out'. The author does of nice job of proving his case that historically it doesn't and technology doesn't help. It's usually the garbage which wins the day, which often leads to a lot of avoidable catastrophe and, leaves those trying to stay aligned with the objective world in the dust. He also wanders off into a lot of apocalyptic doomsaying about what happens when you add AI to that mix. I can take or leave the prognostications but his exposition about how information flows in a society food for thought. 'Nexus' - author is Harari.
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Michigan Football 2024 aka The Year Michigan has to Defend a Natty
gehringer_2 replied to romad1's topic in College Sports
The Hopium is strong in here today. -
There may be a certain "Nixon goes to China" aspect to it. It's cultural conservatives who have bailed on Democratic woman nominees. If the GOP nominates a woman she is much better inoculated against that. And of course it is paradoxical in that while I think it's going to be much easier for a GOP woman to win a first Presidential election, it will still be much harder for a woman to be nominated in the GOP.
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A longer campaign could have benefited her under the right circumstances, though I'm not sure those circumstances were likely to be there. Maybe the strategy would have been different in a longer campaign, but Harris decided to play it pretty close to the vest - possibly to keep mistakes to a minimum, but that also means that more exposure might not have helped her if unless she took a less scripted kind of approach because everyone had heard the script by 3 weeks in. And I would still come back to that fact that while Biden said all the right things about supporting her, for 3 1/2 years he did nothing to put her in a positive light on the national stage. I think that was critical and by 2023 there was no way to fix that. If a woman is going to be elected, it's going to be someone whom the public has already established some kind of long term rapport with. Harris never got that chance as VP so her poorly executed run in 2020 was the public's main reference going in. Ironically, Hillary had exactly the needed length of history, but in her case too much of that public history had been somewhat checkered and re-adjudicated by Fox news, so the long backstory ended up working against her.
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At least with a Tulip you do get a flower - year after year even. There's definitely value in that after 12 weeks or so of winter.
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Truman lived all the way through Eisenhower, Kennedy and Johnson. Imagine if none of them had ever been president...
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The Beginning of the End: The Lame Duck Period of Joe Biden’s Presidency
gehringer_2 replied to chasfh's topic in Politics
so many euphemisms for "we really need to continue to abuse non-tenured educators...." -
I could almost take that aspect if it weren't for the rest - the terrible voice, terrible intonation, terrible elocution. I get that he has become a fixture now, but what crazy person at the Wings first heard his demo tape and said, "Yeah, let's put this voice on the radio!" Boggles the mind. And to do it after Bruce Martyn.
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I don't think I have spent more than 5 minutes listening to the Wings on the Radio since they hired Woods. Just can't do it.
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no - still a big difference because NVidia does have a real value basis, it's just obscured for the present by the market froth around AI. Bitcoin might be the greatest 'greater fool' theory proposition in financial history. That's not to denigrate it really. For all I know, 'Greater Fool' dynamics may have made as many fortunes as value investing ever did.
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For at least the time being, NVidia has transitioned from a value analysis type investment to a market psychology analysis investment. Once that happens to a stock, everyone and no-one is an expert.
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but.....I think there have been changes in the information eco-sphere we have been slow to recognize. In the pre-internet age, speech suppression had to be directed at particular person with a particular/specific motivation. So it wasn't that hard to understand what 'suppression of free speech" was. Today, when the algorithm can simply bury various speech contents without any specific action against an individual do we still have an effective understanding of what speech suppression is? For most modern intents and purposes I don't think US law still does.
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Elon's worth is tied to Tesla, not Twitter, but of course you knew that. And in fact that net worth isn't really easily accessible because if he tried to access it by selling Tesla share in any significant number, that would tank their value. So his wealth is semi-paradoxical.
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2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
also have to remember that for us in Det, trash can lids have receded far into the past, probably not so much for many people around the country when they think about Hinch.