gehringer_2

It's a great diversion though - sort of the ultimate straw man argument, because the key point that is glossed over is that the underlying premise is of the controversy is completely false. Even if voting procedures were somehow changed improperly (and the courts ruled they were not) there isn't a shred of evidence or logic to support the idea that that in any way should favor one side or the other. If your guy is more popular, he's still gonna win if more people vote. That's the beauty of straw man arguments of course - get the conversation pinned on some point where you think there is room to argue and use the noise around that aspect of the argument to obscure that none it makes any difference in the real world anyway.

LOL - Don't get me started on Whirlpool. A couple of years ago we had a new Kitchenaide dishwasher go south while still under warranty. What a total cluster trying to work though the claim was. After about 6 weeks of screwing around and service calls by two different guys who had no clue what they were doing, they decided they couldn't fix it, so they bought me out of the warranty for $800. You can guess the rest. I fixed it myself for $125 (all it needed was a control board.) True story. Still working fine.

I knew a lot of Pfizer employees in Ann Arbor and it was the same deal, all your retirement money went into Pfizer stock and a lot of folks got hosed by not getting out of that when it started on a long decline.

Since the SO did 30 yrs at the big 'U' she has TIAA, and when I did a stretch of time there as well I also ended up with a smaller piece there. They used to be sort of the gold standard if you had the good fortune to work where it was available. More more recently they have connected to Nuveen as their prime investment placement agent and I'm less certain, or at least still less knowledgeable about them.

So, I'm less concerned about Torkelson, just because I think the situation will resolve itself more clearly. Bad starts in a second full season are sort of a common outcome - either he shows up in spring and has left it behind or the 31 HRs in '23 was just a fluke. Either way, I think the answer will become evident pretty quickly. With pitchers there are so many ways to go before you know if you are ever going to get anything: add pitches, drop pitches, move to relief, that I think it could end up being a more ambiguous decision with more chances to go wrong. But as noted above - I'm sort of resigned that if we can get Will Vest V2.0 out of him, maybe that's the end game.

I think it's getting worse even at the upper levels. When I went through Engin School we got the whole nine yards on investment economics, time value of money, ROI, depreciation, economy of scaling factors, all in the Engin school plus a 400 level macro economics course at the lit school. The students in the program today can get through without seeing any of that.

expect two waves, the 1st taking out air defense assets, and the second to hit the objectives.

So on the heels of the WaPo and LAT stories, the NYT OP-ED today has a multi-segment multimedia take down of Trump on the theme of "He says horrible things and you need to believe him" that goes on for 8 sections. This is about the 3rd big anti-trump piece the Ed Board has run on the OP-ED page. This piece is a full on direct argument for against voting for Trump. There is no shading of the editorial board's position, yet the piece never even mentions who the alternative is. Only mentions Harris' name once and that only in relations to political enemies Trump has threatened. Will they leave it at this or will they write a Harris endorsement tomorrow or hold it for the Sunday, or do nothing else? Stayed tuned for the next installment of "As the MSM turns"

If a newspaper doesn't want to do endorsement, that's fine. The problem is that WaPo has already made endorsements in all the other VA and MD federal office elections so instead of a principled decision to change a policy before an electoral cycle stared, you have an obvious putsch by ownership to overrule his own staff and cut off a process that had already run nearly to completion for this election cycle. So instead of being a expression of principle, it's simply an admission of that Bezos is willing to prioritize his other business interests over the editorial integrity of his newspaper. A guy like that should probably sell to someone else - unfortunately for the public, newspapers don't make enough money for anyone likely to be editorially independent to be interested.

Just remember, if the Braves call about a pitcher, say, “NO.”

The changes in registration patterns is another factor. Dems used to out register Repub but then voted in lower numbers. Now it's more chic for the college educated to claim independent status even though they becoming more reliably blueas voters, and since the college educated also turn out more reliably, that shifts turnout outcomes on the blue side. So all of these trends are in motion simultaneously in addition to the attitude (and availability to consider places beyond NV) changes in early voting.

and everyone is still guessing. Early voting is too new and too much in flux in too many states to have established patterns, especially when the last presidential election took place in a once a century black swan setting. The whole polling/EV exercise this year continues to strike me as a bunch of otherwise smart guys trying to figure out a way to solve for N variables with N-1 equations.

This is funny because I had thought that is exactly why they soured on Blashill - they were playing so basic/safe a style that they couldn't produce, and when Lalonde got here I remember posting that I though they were playing a better possession up tempo style, but you hit it on the head - they are playing so conservative north/south again that they refuse to reverse the puck to hold possession - they won't risk going cross ice in their own zone so their outlets are always bottled up on the boards or dump and chase and they don't have the speed for that on the secondary lines. Nor does it help that ~80% of Petry's clearing attempts are directly to the other team and 90% of Veleno's rushes also end in possession change. Those two guy alone give the puck back enough times to kill production. So either Lalonde thinks he has a worse roster than 2 yrs ago or he's turned into Blashill. But it's the passivity - mostly by Wing forwards when on D in their own zone that really drives me crazy - either pressure the puck in your own zone or go get some players that can and coach that will coach it. OK - so all that said, it's early. Maybe they are going to look better against different competition - the Rangers may make a lot of teams look bad, and maybe the Devils are going to have a good season.....maybe.

he went the IL middle of July. Pitched only 9 innings across 3 starts in September for the Hens so his 2nd half was pretty much a loss.

Jack is lucky they are good enough friends that Ras just skated away.

This game was an object lesson on what the Wings offense has to work on. Devils players moving constantly without the puck, someone is always open to take a pass. On the other side, the Wings still can't close out on anyone in their own zone. They constantly look down a man at even strength.

I thought Raymond played a decent game tonight - did a lot of hard work on the boards.

Ras showing a little fire there.

Taking too many penalties.

They've already endorsed the Dems for House and Senate MD and VA, they (read:Bezos) would look at least as silly as LAT to withhold a Harris endorsement now. Especially since the editorial stance of the paper has already been strongly anti-Trump, their op-ed people like Rubin have even taking the liberty of laughing at the NYT's false equivalencing.

I wonder. I imagine Manning will still get a look, I think they just have nothing more to say about him. He has to produce. If he does, they'll find him room.

Yeah - I think he gets another shot at starting, but you and Hongbit may have the long term idea. If he goes short maybe he can push his his velo nearer triple digits and throw one breaking ball and maybe you have yourself another Will Vest. That's might be a defeat at some level for a 1/1 but you can't let yourself miss your best chance over sunk cost fallacies.

It's been fun watching how good Keith has gotten at turning DPs, he is quick and his arm in general is strong and accurate, his hands seem fine as well. The problem for Colt is range, and as he gets older it's hard to imagine that big body is going to get any quicker. Because of the arm and the turn, he's OK at 2B now, but sure, it's easy to imagine a significantly better defender coming through the pipeline like Lee. You would like to see more ISO if you had to move him to 3rd or esp 1st, but that may come - don't need to worry that for now.

Apparently the LA Times had a no endorsement policy over much of its history, and in the abstract I don't have a problem with that, but even if Soon-Shiong's motives were pure - and I don't think for a minute that they are, this is the wrong point in the wrong cycle to try to re-establish that stance.

Here's hoping! 🤞