gehringer_2

the only place I might go a little further than Ezra is in stressing harder that the continuing decay of his inhibition is very likely associated with an ongoing process of frontal lobe function loss.

21-7? 😢

That relates to the skating issue to me. If he had shown the kind of wheels Mickey implied we would see, he could have gotten away with being less physical, but as I noted, I never thought his skating rose quite to that level.

What I remember most with Walman was that when he first got here, Redmond couldn't stop talking about what a great skater he was, but after that build up I was pretty underwhelmed with what we got. I'll grant he had above average wheels but Mickey made it sound like we were going to be seeing the next Paul Coffey. But I can also believe there may have been questions about his motivation - he wasn't always the most consistent player.

I think it's simpler than that. They make a lot of money and they don't want to pay higher marginal tax rates anymore than investment bankers with money do.

If you have a free read left this month at the NYT, listen to or read the transcript of Ezra Kleins post today. It's the most , accurate, clear eyed analysis or DJT I have yet seen. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/22/opinion/donald-trump-ezra-klein-podcast.html

Gerund form but otherwise correct. Throwback to the pre-emoji world for which there is no adequate emoji. ,🦆,🏃‍♀️ doesn't cut it.

I remember signing up, but I didn't know if it was a local thing. Good Info Tater.......

FWIW, when asked about trading Walman Yzerman said it was just about the money. https://www.facebook.com/BradGalliTV/videos/steve-yzerman-explains-why-he-traded-jake-walman/494119649681023/

Once since 2006?

I don't actually know if this is just an Ann Arbor city clerk thing or county wide or what, but as long as I use my absentee ballot, I'm going to get one automatically for whatever the next election is. That likely won't make a huge difference in a presidential year, but it seems to me it could potentially make a large difference in off-year and primary turnouts if that ballot just shows up for an election a person might have otherwise not given a lot of though to voting in.

but games in April aren't important. <g,d&r>

I could something like this: Skubal, Olson, Flaherty(or equv FA), Holton with number 5 coming from however it shakes out in ST - one of Manning, Mize, Gipson-Long, Montero, Hanifee, Hurter, Madden, Maeda, though if Hurter make the rotation Holton stays in the pen. Sign a LH reliever to if Holton goes to the pen. A second LH starter would be a good thing to have against Cleveland, though Minny and KC are not particularly LH as Cle is.

Agree. Doesn't seem his MO, but maybe he's never been in this position. The alternative is pick up depth and do a lot of rotation to keep guys fresh.

Absolutely. For football, pick up your in-progress recording at about half-time and finish the game just about at the real time point. For baseball somewhere around the 3rd inning. The programmers will eventually fight back with more live game insertion ads, but by then maybe we'll have AI video processing to chop them back out.

Again, lack off effort, institutional pull-back, incompetence? The size and options of the grad programs at Ann Arbor have been a point of leverage for bringing in graduate O linemen with remaining eligibility. And that's even the kind of thing that is largely coach or NIL dependent, these are guys who know they are not going to be playing on Sunday - they are actually there to get their degrees, but know that at 24/5 they can get their tuition paid and still play a little winning FB against 21/22 yr olds.

He's a little undersized for as hard as he throws, I don't know what the prevailing theories are on that anymore. Looking at his record he's made 21, 25, 28, and 22 starts over the last 4 yrs. He's a regular Cal Ripken compared to Mize or Manning!

I think you forgot the teal there.

yes it is, yet of the three teams alive at the start of the day, the Yankees have the smallest payroll.

One thing I can say, in my lifetime, and probably never in the history of the republic, has an ex-president thrown himself into a presidential campaign the way Obama has for Harris. He waited to the end to do it, but no question he's all in now.

Beating the Vikes on the road should improve the Lions perceived bargaining leverage if they are pursuing a DE.

That's fair to a degree, but the counterpoint is that even if JJ had re-upped that's not adequate excuse to be that thin behind him. The portal has certainly upset a lot of conventional recruiting SOP, but in a top college program you still have to keep a pipeline stocked at the most critical position on the field. We all saw enough of Orji last season to be underwhelmed.

Yup. Because there is currently no survey/sampling method available in the US that give a reasonable certainty of obtaining a random sample, pollsters have to make adjustments to their survey results to fit what they think they already 'know' about the population from past experience. However if there is change in the population with respect to those assumptions, the process of correlating the sample to the state of the population in the past guarantees that change actually seen will be assigned as sampling error and go undiagnosed. They can do a lot of massaging but in the end you can't completely correlate your way around this problem. In an environment were random sampling ranges from difficult to impossible, political polling is likely to work well as long as society is basically stable, but accuracy will be more a matter of luck if there are movements upsetting the established political alignments, which you only find out is true or not after the election. The working assumption since at least 2016 is that the distribution of political opinion across varies markers in the population is tightly fixed. If that remains true, the polls will be accurate - at least those taken by honest pollsters. But if you suspect old assumptions may be breaking down, you won't be surprised to see the polls miss things by more then their supposed margins of error.

Not clear that many more people than normal went to FLA immediately post COVID. Population growth has been pretty steady. There was some variance around COVID - it appears COVID kept kept some people in place that would have moved and then did move when things got back to 'normal', but it would be hard to argue overall movement into FLA was out of the ordinary in more than a minor way compared to pre-covid levels. the number one state that people leave to go to FLA is apparently NY. That's probably true most years. The interesting question is whether the middle boomer retirees going to FLA now are any more or less red than the early and pre-boomer retirees already there. My experience as a middle boomer would be that our older sibs were more conservative than we were, but that's one anecdotal take. Also interesting that half a million fewer votes were cast in the governor's race in 22 compared to 18 and DeSantis pickup up another half million. Crist certainly underperformed. https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/states/florida/population

We did a park trip a couple of years ago and at Arches, we watched - and then participated in a completely self organized system where each person or couple set up their camera - handed it to the next person in line, took their pose in the arch, got their shot and so on it went for as long as we were there. Humans can do OK, once in a while.