gehringer_2

That's what stands out to me as well. The one reasonable argument you could make for Biden voters to fall away from Harris would be the misogyny angle, but the Michigan numbers fly in the face of that as well, why would that anti woman voter support Slotkin? You have to posit a voter with a very particular misogynist angle who thinks a woman senator is OK but not a woman Pres. Possible, but Occam's razor pushes hard in the other direction.

If they finish hammering out a system where the schools pay the athletes directly and the TV contracts are distributed equally, any school lucky enough to have leveraged itself into one of the major conferences left standing won't be more than good coach hire away from making noise. And the thing is the draw is always about winning. Mich and USC draw because they win, if they start to lose and Indiana starts to win, then after a few years IU will pull better ratings - I don't think the average fan has that long a memory. Depth of tradition may matter to the alums, and that give you some kind of base, but alums are never more than a minor piece of the audience in a top match up.

I suppose in part because Trump being Trump, if he wins after a big poll miss they are afraid he'll find some way to target the pollsters. Or maybe, and I think this is more likely, the pollsters themselves are very uncertain of their data, so the best hedge is to keep adjusting the models to keep it near enough to even that a win will be within margin of error no matter which way it goes.

all you can say is that if this is true, the mismatch between their surveying and the elections poll surveys is nothing short of massive because if Trump losses 25% of Haley's vote I see no way the election is actually close.

the only place I might go a little further than Ezra is in stressing harder that the continuing decay of his inhibition is very likely associated with an ongoing process of frontal lobe function loss.

21-7? 😢

That relates to the skating issue to me. If he had shown the kind of wheels Mickey implied we would see, he could have gotten away with being less physical, but as I noted, I never thought his skating rose quite to that level.

What I remember most with Walman was that when he first got here, Redmond couldn't stop talking about what a great skater he was, but after that build up I was pretty underwhelmed with what we got. I'll grant he had above average wheels but Mickey made it sound like we were going to be seeing the next Paul Coffey. But I can also believe there may have been questions about his motivation - he wasn't always the most consistent player.

I think it's simpler than that. They make a lot of money and they don't want to pay higher marginal tax rates anymore than investment bankers with money do.

If you have a free read left this month at the NYT, listen to or read the transcript of Ezra Kleins post today. It's the most , accurate, clear eyed analysis or DJT I have yet seen. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/22/opinion/donald-trump-ezra-klein-podcast.html

Gerund form but otherwise correct. Throwback to the pre-emoji world for which there is no adequate emoji. ,🦆,🏃‍♀️ doesn't cut it.

I remember signing up, but I didn't know if it was a local thing. Good Info Tater.......

FWIW, when asked about trading Walman Yzerman said it was just about the money. https://www.facebook.com/BradGalliTV/videos/steve-yzerman-explains-why-he-traded-jake-walman/494119649681023/

Once since 2006?

I don't actually know if this is just an Ann Arbor city clerk thing or county wide or what, but as long as I use my absentee ballot, I'm going to get one automatically for whatever the next election is. That likely won't make a huge difference in a presidential year, but it seems to me it could potentially make a large difference in off-year and primary turnouts if that ballot just shows up for an election a person might have otherwise not given a lot of though to voting in.

but games in April aren't important. <g,d&r>

I could something like this: Skubal, Olson, Flaherty(or equv FA), Holton with number 5 coming from however it shakes out in ST - one of Manning, Mize, Gipson-Long, Montero, Hanifee, Hurter, Madden, Maeda, though if Hurter make the rotation Holton stays in the pen. Sign a LH reliever to if Holton goes to the pen. A second LH starter would be a good thing to have against Cleveland, though Minny and KC are not particularly LH as Cle is.

Agree. Doesn't seem his MO, but maybe he's never been in this position. The alternative is pick up depth and do a lot of rotation to keep guys fresh.

Absolutely. For football, pick up your in-progress recording at about half-time and finish the game just about at the real time point. For baseball somewhere around the 3rd inning. The programmers will eventually fight back with more live game insertion ads, but by then maybe we'll have AI video processing to chop them back out.

Again, lack off effort, institutional pull-back, incompetence? The size and options of the grad programs at Ann Arbor have been a point of leverage for bringing in graduate O linemen with remaining eligibility. And that's even the kind of thing that is largely coach or NIL dependent, these are guys who know they are not going to be playing on Sunday - they are actually there to get their degrees, but know that at 24/5 they can get their tuition paid and still play a little winning FB against 21/22 yr olds.

He's a little undersized for as hard as he throws, I don't know what the prevailing theories are on that anymore. Looking at his record he's made 21, 25, 28, and 22 starts over the last 4 yrs. He's a regular Cal Ripken compared to Mize or Manning!

I think you forgot the teal there.

yes it is, yet of the three teams alive at the start of the day, the Yankees have the smallest payroll.

One thing I can say, in my lifetime, and probably never in the history of the republic, has an ex-president thrown himself into a presidential campaign the way Obama has for Harris. He waited to the end to do it, but no question he's all in now.

Beating the Vikes on the road should improve the Lions perceived bargaining leverage if they are pursuing a DE.