gehringer_2

Randazzo decided the top of the 5th is his.

Ibanez doesn't make the turn as fast as Colt, but I don't think they turn that one unless Sweeney had charged it.

a little BaBIP luck for the Astros.

empty seats at the juice box?

Sweeney looking like quite the pick-up so far. A LH shortstop you don't have to platoon for is quite the luxury.

I think another RH bat behind Tork might have been a good idea today - or maybe Perez behind him.

jeez, Skubal didn't even get loose.

wrong

just doing my bit to deny Elon more clicks.....

True - the present tense is probably even more important in Football than Baseball, which my usual frame for thinking about analytics. Once a football game starts you are watching 20-30 individual one-on-one contests going on plus how your QB is doing and how those match-ups are playing out in real time, plus what the opposing coach does or what you believe he will do, will supersede most of what history can tell you.

If I'm playing arm chair manager I'd swap Malloy and Perez. We'll see.

To me, the issue is not the analytics, it failing to use intelligence when applying them. Knowing baseline probabilities of various outcomes to increasingly fine grain and to be able to drill into data to find specific scenarios is a necessity to make intelligent decisions, but it's never enough by itself to get past average outcomes - every event in the real world is a singularity that is going to have its own unique features. When you have the insight to analyze those features and add that to what baseline probabilities tell you, then you get to winning outcomes.

especially by comparison in Det, which was a very racist town. I don't know how commonly it's remembered that '67 was the 3rd race riot in Detroit history. There were predecessors in 1863 and 1943. Maybe not quite as bad as Boston with respect to its sports teams but Briggs was certainly a real racist POS.

I'll be watching to see if today's playoff game blows by the "most online" number from 9/12.

Anzalone missed a few - hopefully just because he's not 100% yet

Add Vest, Vierling, Torkelson and Sweeney who got cut off in the cut and paste.... so 12 arms makes room for both Mize and Madden.

Maeda was not very much in doubt. Montero has certainly been trending in the wrong direction. I suppose in the end, when in doubt, go with Velo - which of the guys on the bubble would be Mize.

And it depends on what one means by 'never played.' There have always been pro coaches who got into coaching - usually after the college game, who never played pro in their sport.

But the coach doesn't have an average kicker, he has *his* kicker, and he doesn't have average offensive efficiency, he has what he is getting right now. Those are what have to factor in his decision. League average values should only be a baseline for a coach to judge "this situation is going to be x amount better or worse than the average odds right now."

exactly. Last night the Lions needed more DT play that contained/collapsed the middle of the pocket and they weren't getting it, so Geno was able to step up and out to get clear of the edge pressure all night.

It was a risk but I thought it was reasonable. They were going to have to do something to get a step ahead even if they got another stop on D and matched the Lions TD total, and they were really clicking at that point and had Lion defense on its heels, so it was as good a time to take advantage of their momentum and try to get the tie breaking point. And to be fair, it looked like the play was there and Geno missed the throw, one of the few he missed all night.

Does the AMA know that someone gave a union a medical license?

The back and forth did make it feel like it was closer than it was.

That was a pretty silly FB game. Best line of the night by Aikman: "Put Arnold in mittens in practice."

No question about that.