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Everything posted by gehringer_2
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Too much psychic identity tied up in party affiliation for that generation of the GOP. These people are completely immobile psychologically or they already would have switched. Heck, based on their current politics every one of the guys in the Lincoln project should have just changed sides outright by now, and 40yr ago would have, but they don't have the imagination to envision their lives on the other side so they can't pull the trigger. I find it all so bizarre - I could switch parties in a NY minute if the Dems were to go through a transition anything like the GOP has. Heck, I cast any number of GOP votes - mostly in the the pre-Gingrich days.
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Right now getting $$ to Ukraine in far more important than either Iraq or Vietnam was at the time, and we saw what administrations did to drive public opinion then. If an administration is not capable of at least using intelligence honestly as an adjunct to set the political conditions for necessary foreign policy, I would say they are incompetent.
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To me, Shep's biggest problem was that he never got over his 'starstruck' (obsequiousness?) quality when working with ex-players and that basically ruined things for both of them. I don't see Benetti having that problem so maybe that will help the analysts too.
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The threat from Putin is real and too many in the US already underestimate it, but I also have a suspicion that this may be less something new than something that may have metaphorically been in the Admin's back pocket and they and Turner, who is also a Ukraine supporter, have decided that the classification value is not as great as the political value of getting one more threat story from Russia out there into the public domain to put more pressure on the House GOP Putin apologists. And even if my suspicions about the genesis of the story are correct, it's probably the right move.
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What those people miss is that that GOP's platform had run out of gas. Reagan was all about the overreach of the welfare state and cutting taxes, but history just simply proved him wrong. Low tax, business friendly Reaganite economic policies rebounded hard against the non-college middle class voters that initially thought they were a good idea and without that piece, that old GOP does not have a majority building platform anymore - they and the set of economic policies that built the Reagan majority are defunct. That's the biggest reason why none of those 12 guys on the stage with Trump in '16 had anything to offer that sounded any better than his snake oil.
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Meh - think the headline implies there is some kind of conclusion in the article to a greater degree than there is. It's actually more of an "on the one hand, on the other hand" kind of thing where he tries out all the possible readings. The best nugget is near the end however: Ya think?
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Too many goals against.
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If the tide does turn this cycle it's already too late for them to get out of the way. The moderate GOP Reps had their chance to be counted when McCarthy fell but decided to cast their fate with Trump and the crazies.
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things always look pretty static until they are not, right? There are are tipping point issues in US political history. The new deal for the Dems after the depression, the radical realignment of the South after Nixon leading to the Reagan majorities. We keep looking for some tipping point that will hit the GOP broadly even apart from Trump and it keeps not happening. We will only know it in retrospect - but the combination of the ****-show over immigration and the Russian appeasement are as good a good candidates as any to be that last straws in the public's patience with the GOP.
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People have developed a false sense of normal since the 2009 crash. Fed rates may well not go below 3% again and the difference between 5% and 3% in terms of what investments get funded is not that great. We had an anomaly in the ~15 years after the crash. The housing crash let the air out of the balloon and demographic factors led to a long demand drop (the boomer reached the age where they stopped buying much) but as those effects fade I think we are not likely to see the rates of the 2010's come back so my take would be that we are already closer to the new (old) 'normal' than you'd think listening to financial reporting.
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I'm going to guess It won't matter how poor polling accuracy gets (and I think will just get worse), the media will continue to buy polls and lead with them in their reporting - they don't know how else to do it.
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5000 total votes cast? The GOP may be broken but so is the American voter. House district in OK is about 37K which is pretty small but 5K is still not much.
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this one's off to a fine start. Down two goals and one goalie in less than 20 min.
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2023 MLB (non-Tigers) catch all thread
gehringer_2 replied to Tigeraholic1's topic in Detroit Tigers
Really, I'd have been glad to to have him take the Joe Louis Fist instead. Probably more metal to harvest too..... ????? -
at this point it's anti-climax
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In the years before West Nile hit, we had a group of crows that would work their way from west to east down our street every morning and evening just like clockwork. West Nile apparently killed them and even years later we only have occasional crows in the neighborhood, and no organized groups like that one was.
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Hopefully working with a better #1 all the sub-par Tigers analysts will be required to contribute less.
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you aren't just kidding.
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Fair question. One problem is control, which the schools won't want to give up. I think if it ever gets to a real professional minor league, a lot of schools would as soon walk away but will find they can't because they have huge investments in stadiums and facilities they may still be paying notes on. I think the more interesting question is whether a true NFL minor league would continue to generate income the way college football does. It could end up a different animal in terms of it's revenue generating potential. Look across all sports and where is there an example of a high income generating minor league? Could be football will be unique because of the small number of games that can be played in a week, but think about the contrast between interest in the NBA G-league vs current college basketball. A G-league like outcome for football is a worst case scenario of course, but it should make people a little cautious to realize how catastrophic outcomes could be if they aren't careful.
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One would think they would do something. Then again, look how long it's taken to do anything about 'one and done' in basketball (and it's still not a sure thing it changes) with the next NBA CBA, despite it having been pretty much reviled by every coach and school from the beginning.
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Need help getting app (program?) off desktop (on pc)
gehringer_2 replied to alex's topic in General Discussion
You could try clicking on the security tab, then 'Edit', pick your user from the list and then in the bottom dialog give yourself 'full control' and click apply, then see if you can delete it. -
If one assumes that the Assistance Coach budget has remained, and given the money saved on Moore's deal compared to Harbaugh why shouldn't it have, then Michigan remains a pretty good gig for an assistant coach. I don't know what's next - Publicly 'M' says they don't want to play the buying players game. Maybe that's just be PR, or it may be an opinion of some but not all internal constituencies, or it could be PR of necessity to cover that they can't raise the NIL to compete, or it could be real sentiment and maybe we see a few years of retrenchment until some order returns - whether that be collective bargaining, Congressional action, or something. I'm sure there are a few schools perfectly happy to see it turn into the wild west - the OSUs and Alabama's; but I find it hard to believe aren't enough schools, even in the power 5, that want to see unregulated purchase of players end quickly that that isn't what is going to happen - it's a matter of finding the "how."
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they gave her and Kelce a lot of camera in the post game - too much IMO - How long can you watch one hug? You could have been there for the Beatles. Maybe one difference in the feel of it was that they had such strong positions, or attitudes - often publicly negative, about their fame and influence -esp John, and then they started more or less hiding out which amped the mystique. But millions of kids trying to play records backward to glean possible messages of cosmic importance? Pretty over the top. Pop star mania and QAnon all rolled into one. Another big difference though is that Lennon (again) in particular courted opposition by being overtly political, getting arrested, etc., so between the Generation gap and War/Antiwar politics divisions the Beatles always had a big core of detractors that at least had rational political arguments about whey they didn't like them. The situation with Swift is made ridiculous mostly by the ridiculousness of the complaints about her and the people making them.
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Another reason get that militia well regulated: https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/02/09/hearing-loss-republicans/
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I think the interpersonal part remains the biggest part right up to the point when the $ figure is big enough to replace it. That point if probably an individual matter for every recruit but I imagine working rules of thumb will emerge that reflect the real world probabilities, something like maybe if you are more than $500k short of the competing offer, you don't bother elevating a contact.