gehringer_2

I don't like Kane out there without Debrincat - he's seems to be a non-factor without his alter-ego.

weird game - the Wing had a long 5 on 5 cycle in the Vegas zone in the 2nd, and once that was over the game shifted to Vegas the whole rest of the way.

It will take more than regime change in Iran to change the basic animosity between the Shia and Sunni, Arabs and Persians. You need the religiosity on not only the Iranian side, but also the remaining Wahabi influence on the Sunni side to subside before you get anything that looks like a real peace.

supply chains may determine the outcome on this one. Does Iran have more drones and missiles than the defenders have defense? If the Israeli's run out first it could be catastrophic for them.

true - I was just going back to '18 to get a number on a non-presidential year Senate race/turnout. But not all of surburbia is necessarily favorable ground for Dems either. Depends on where people came from to get there. We've got Macomb county which is suburbia, as is the area in MN that elected Michele Bachman just as another example I remember when I lived there. The racial makeup similarity is interesting. Still a lot of cultural differences remain, with the Texas heritage being ranching and even more so the oil field, vs the California heritage being agriculture, entertainment and now tech. This produces a lot of difference in the world view of the professional classes in the two places. Also with CA being renowned for its educational institutions, Tx not so much.

Certainly didn't help but is was mostly his right knee that did him in. He simply couldn't drive off it in the last several seasons so he was getting by hitting only above the waist. You could see that once in a while the knee would feel better and take the weight and you could tell because he would pick up his left foot on his swing, the rest of the time he was batting flat footed. On those rare occasions he could still drive the ball.

Comparing with 2018, if Cornyn gets by the primary he's probably a stronger general candidate than Ted Cruz was, Paxton maybe about equal. We'll see if Talarico can be as good or better than O'Rouke was.

Trump is triangulating for leverage to get Cornyn's support (or at least avoid losing it) for the rest of year.

Somewhere George Orwell is sad but laughing his a$$ off.

I'm pessimistic that Christian nationalists will be swayed by any appeal to the Sermon on the Mount Jesus. Most people will gladly cede their moral freedom to any institution that will offer them God's blessing for doing what they want to do anyway. Not too long ago I came across a John Guilgud video dramatization of a story told inside Dostoevsky's "The Brothers Karamazov" It's a scene that brother Ivan is describing to his younger brother that expresses his view of "The Church". It's couched as being a dream he had about about the Inquisition so the author could get a way with telling it in Orthodox Russia, but at its heart it can too accurately describe the relationship between any highly institutionalized religious organization and its followers. And the Evangelical church in the US is definitely institutionalized - esp in the South. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QxhvTAevdU8

Paxton/Cornyn is an interesting general election challenge for the Dems. As a candidate, Paxton has anti DC status quo value and the energy of the true believer right wing. OTOH, the Dems have the chance to peel away more moderate voters or those just turned off by Paxton's grifting. I have to think Paxton would be easier to beat, but it's Tx.

sure, and you hope GOP donors have donor fatigue by the general, and they might.

Better news!

The problem for Vancouver is they are in a trading paradox. His value to the Canucks is currently negative and other teams know it and that they have to move him. OTOH, his value to another team could be positive, and the Canucks know it and still want something back.

LOL - a true Moran. *Any* coffee you drink is at 98.6 by the time it's in your stomach.

Runoff is May 26, which will still leave a lot of time for things to settle down on the GOP side before Nov. People automatically assume it's a negative for the GOP, but depending on how the campaign goes that's a lot of free exposure that the eventual GOP candidate is going to get while Talarico has to buy any exposure he gets. The Dems hope Paxton and Cornyn mortally wound one another, which is possible but not a given.

Oil depot tank farm is about as soft as a target gets. So if you hit a 500,000 bbl storage tank you destroy ~$40M of oil, assuming the tank farm is designed so the tanks are spaced and diked well enough so one doesn't set off others. Plus the cost of the tank - call it another $40M. There may be targets with more return than that on the cost of a mid range missile. HItting at least a couple would make for great war video though, so I'm sure they are somewhere on the list for that reason alone. Then again do it with a cheap drones and it's Katy bar the door.

I guess I still expect Pettersson to be moved - Vancouver can let it go down to the wire hoping for offers to improve.

How much of that tankage is in range of Iranian missiles?

Yikes. Sounds like Gibson's exam showed bad news.

what I meant was more along the lines that in baseball, when you have a hole to fill, bringing in 10 stiffs on the hope one of them is a diamond in the rough is generally not great strategy - the failure rate in baseball is so high that quantity does not insure there is any quality to be found in a sample.

corrections above - I was looking at another race and typed Toth in instead of Paxton - oops.

also notable that the Dem senate primary had 165K more votes cast than the GOP side even given how high profile the Paxton/Cornyn race is. Still, we're talking 4 million total votes cast. In the last off year Tx senate race (Cruz/ORouke), 8 million votes were cast so still not any kind of slam dunk indicator for the general. If you do want to be optimistic, Cruz only won that race by 215K votes. If Cornyn loses, the GOP will not be running as an incumbent. On that score, I don't know enough about Hunt to know who his voters are. Cornyn ended up outpolling Paxton slighty, but probably whichever picks up most of Hunts voters is going to win. I think Hunt has tried to position himself closer to Trump than Cornyn, so maybe his votes go to Paxton.

that's not what the post is about, but nevermind

Today's pitching is more evidence that in baseball, quantity is pretty meaningless. Ten guys who can't get out majors leaguers are still worse to have than one who can.