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gehringer_2

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Everything posted by gehringer_2

  1. So this is all interesting, but it also seems to mean Olson's BP did not go well. 😢 I guess we hope for Good Holton today.
  2. I guess we are in a place were meeting expectations is more important than real ability. Trump will babble nonsense but he does it with energy and absolute confidence, and that seems to be enough.
  3. the dems have had the bad luck of having to old war-horses without the self-awareness to get out in time. RBG need to go while the Dems still had the Senate, Biden needed to see his own weakness - even if that weakness was mostly inside his own party. The old over estimating themselves is all too common and probably has no left/right bias, but it would be nice if it would happen on the other side the next few times.
  4. Oh boy - that sounds like the recipe for Pitching Chaos today.
  5. Old friend Matt Boyd was the winning pitcher in that game. He's having himself a career year at 34.
  6. Comes down to whether Mancini offers enough likely upgrade over Malloy, who is already on the 40 with a 900 OPS in AAA. At Toledo it's the LH side OF depth which is pretty thin. Baddoo is it and he is off the 40 and he's not doing all that much at AAA anyway - though he's got a nice walk rate going. Then again, even with Carpenter down we still have 4 LH bats in Det that can play OF.
  7. or the flip side also - If MAGA is actually the end of the Republic, historians will spend lifetimes arguing whether the Dems would have won the election if Biden had just decided not to run and the primary process had played out. We will never know.
  8. well, that's one way for Trump to get his interest rate cut.
  9. well, to practice a bit of tea leaf reading, it's seems unlikely they would have started Montero yesterday knowing the Tigers would probably have to play two today unless Olson was ready to go. Unless they go with Enns and give Olson one more off day. All about the optionality!
  10. because the ones that get elected aren't the fail, it's the ones who aren't getting elected! Other than Manchin, the Dems problem has not been lack of unity among the elected, it's lack of unity to get more people elected.
  11. That's not what I'm getting at though. The problem with just being against Trump is that it still allows too many segments of the party to remain against each other. Sure Hogg will tell you everything Trump does is terrible -- and then go campaign against another Dem. Sure we've heard all the stuff about how messy the Dem coalition is etc., etc., but there until there is a set of places that Dems can agree they are all going to, or stated the other way - that if you are going that way you are a Dem, the party will remain a mess, the mess that was unable to articulate a coherent enough narrative to have defeated Trump in '24 when the Dems did run as "we're not Trump" and everyone already knew all the reasons to be against him and he won anyway. Of course if Trump messes up even more it should get easier, but in a sane world the Dems shouldn't have needed any more help than he'd already given them by 2020 to bury MAGA.
  12. what so sad is that it isn't even going to work. They are absolutely trying to be so cruel that they think it will stop people from trying to come - but it won't. The only thing that will stop that is going after employers and they absolutely won't do that. So it's is going be like illicit drugs. You can do all the interdiction you want and make sentences as draconian as you want, and as long as there is demand, the drugs will keep coming. This is exactly the same. As long as you can sneak across the border and someone will hire you, all the cruelty on the side isn't going to change a thing. It's just encouragement of moral rot in the nation's soul.
  13. Part of the reason Beasley had a career year was playing with Cade - both because Cade is a great facilitator and also because he was playing against a D that was constantly overcommitting on Cade. I would expect Robinson to have a better than average year (for him) if he steps into the same situation.
  14. Winning 20 in the era of 5 starters is equivalent of something between 25 and 30 in the 4 starter era. McLain started 41 games to win 31 (75.6%) . JV started 34 to win 24 (70.6%). Skubal might get to 33 if he doesn't miss any but 31-32 is more likely. To get to 20 he'd need a ~60 winning %. To win 20 in the era of 40 starts meant your won half your starts, and that still tends to hold. 16 wins today is about the equivalent of 20 back in the day. The other big difference is that McLain completed 28 of his starts. JV had 4 CG and averaged 7 1/3 per start the year he won 24. If you are leaving at the end of 5 or 6 it's inevitable the pen is going blow a couple of your leads and/or you team takes the lead after you've left the game. Skubal is averaging 6 1/3 this season, so that's one more inning in each game when he is not the pitcher of record compared to JV in 2011. (2 more compared to McLain in 68)
  15. Alex was solid. Did everything for the Wings except wash the dishes over the years, and maybe even that.
  16. yeah, If only
  17. you would think it a sane world, the GOP house members from blue states - of which there are there are still plenty more than are needed to stop this kind of thing, wouldn't stand for it. But that's the measure of the cult - they care more about DJT than about their constituents.
  18. that's the irony though. For the right being against the Dems is a positive position - it reflects an actual set of policy actions - immigration enforcement, DEI roll back, environmental regulation rollback and upper income tax cuts (though the lower income continue to believe they are included -that delusion is another story) that people on the right think are going to change their lives for the better. For left, just being anti-Trump is not a prescription for how to make progress on any of the cost of living issues that the supposed target audience cares about. Health care is about it and even there the Dems conversation is only about defending Medicaid, which is important but still doesn't resonate with enough of the electorate that may not like healthcare in the US but are not medicaid recipients - i.e. most voters.
  19. always double down, I guess.
  20. did he show up under the influence? That was my guess for what was happening on the old board.
  21. McGonigle and Clark reached base 8 times. Both with OBP's above 400 and more BB than Ks.
  22. What strikes me when I watch them on the field and on the bases is the fearlessness. Like Tork's DP. After the ball hit the ground most guys are just taking it to 1st, but he still choose the tougher play with zero hesitation - and it was only the zero hesitation the allowed the execution to be successful. You have a bunch of guys `that play that way - Tork, McKinstry, Greene, Baez, Meadows, and it's infected any that maybe on a different team, wouldn't. And Hinch apparently has them drilled to where it works because they mostly DO execute. And of course Harris - and to his credit Avila, both upped the stress on putting guys on the field who could play the game outside the batter's box over previous FOs.
  23. it was also his 20th and 21st point.
  24. Three 100mph+ EVs tonight plus the very pretty DP. How many 1Bs just pick up that ball, trot to 1B and think they made the play?
  25. yeah - the pitch probability thing was quite irritating - blocking almost a 1/4 of the screen.
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