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gehringer_2

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Everything posted by gehringer_2

  1. the difference is that the stakes were higher for Canada. You know the old saw about 'academic politics are the worst because there is so little at stake" - the same paradigm exists in real politics. Only when the perceived stakes are low do people spend a lot time arguing about symbolic votes and windmill tilts at policies that have no chance of adoption and stabbing their own needed allies in the back. It's the perception of real danger that finally straightens out people's thinking and ultimately results in an empowered broad based opposition. The US is so fat and happy, the various people who don't like Trump still have not internalized the level of risk enough to be willing to bury their micro-political cultural biases and work together strategically. Now you would think it's pretty hard to be alive with a brain in the US and not understand the risk of the direction we are going, but the objective evidence tells us it hasn't sunk in everywhere - yet.
  2. we lost a wall off the local indoor ice rink (about a mile from here), the UM Hockey Arena lost part of its roof. The high winds were very localized - we had incredible sheeting rain but very little wind at our house.
  3. n word was still in very wide currency in '50s America.
  4. Nothing is real time anymore. Over the air radio is probably closest but even that probably goes through an IP link to the transmitter so you have an opportunity for buffering. Hi-res video is always going to be buffered, possibly multiple times before it gets to you, so synchronization on any two sources is going to be mostly luck.
  5. Development system rankings get elevated by depth, but pro results depend the smaller number of exceptional players.
  6. looking at where they were in the standings a month ago vs their goal differential you could argue they actually had to be a very lucky team.
  7. voting against appointments from the minority doesn't actually accomplish anything - it's nice symbolism, but does it matter? I'd guess most members make those votes because they are hoping to bank some goodwill capital to get something later that will be worth more than a symbolic no vote that doesn't stop anything. I guess there is a level where more 'symbol' can be good thing but in the end, stuff that doesn't make a difference, doesn't make a difference. OTOH, if any of those votes could have stopped one of those appointments, then I agree with you.
  8. I see little route for them to improve much. None of the players likely to come up from GR have shown much indication any of them are going to be more than younger versions of the same kind of middling players they are going to replace. They might have a goalie in either Augustine or Cossa, but it still looks like a mediocre team with little chance to do any more than get washed out of an early cup round. The D is good, yes, but they need more help on the lines than I see any way for them to generate.
  9. Crikey - SGL and Hanifee combine to give up 11 ER in 5 IP.
  10. 6 K's total in this game. Can't remember last time I saw a game with that few Ks.
  11. Kane is toast. This rebuild has already failed, they have to get worse to get better again.
  12. how is he not ejected? NBA officiating is a joke.
  13. tigers with only 4 hits but they took 6 walks. Torkelson with a silly 208/397 BA/OBP
  14. Parker Meadows has surgery on his broken radius. That could mean the fracture was more complex than normal, or just that they decided they could cut down recovery time with in 'internal fixature'. He was moved to the 60day. Hinch said he expects him back this season. https://www.mlb.com/tigers/news/parker-meadows-left-arm-surgery-60-day-il
  15. I get all that, but in general voters in CA aren't that dumb. If it were a presidential year the idea of 'autopilot' voters picking any name they had heard before seems like it could be a more serious risk. Dems splitting the vote is a risk in general, and they have to figure that out with or without Swalwell additional name on the ballot.
  16. The water needs to seek him out and envelop him in its love.
  17. I hope you mean the primary. If the general is close in MI the Dems have no chance of taking the Senate.
  18. I don't think this will be a big issue since Swalwell didn't have prior state wide recognition. He's only a household name in one district.
  19. just as an aside, I wouldn't compare going to interview shows run by people you may not like (Like Pete B to Fox) where you have a chance to reach an audience that you can't by other means, to campaigning with someone - it's a whole different order of magnitude of validation.
  20. speaking of the Times. If anyone has the time (it's a very long read or listen) and access, the Ezra Klein inverview with Marc Lynch and Shibley Telhami (https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/14/opinion/ezra-klein-podcast-lynch-telhami.html) is worth the time to slog through - esp the discussion near the end about Netanyahu's desperation to complete his program before he loses Trump and thus probably US support. Especially if you are old enough to have memory of what Israel was in the days of Golda Mier and Abba Eban, reading this will disabuse you any idea that it's the same place it was then or - even 15 yrs ago for that matter. It seems the only thing either side in the Arab/Israeli conflict can do successfully is further radicalize its enemy to hate it even more - and Israel's current course will be no exception.
  21. What Trump does by comparison is meaningless, GOP and Dem voters have different criteria - it is what it is. You have an ongoing complaint about the radical left, I share some of that, but they are most useful as the stalking horse for the right to campaign against no matter who the mainstream Dems run. I mean, honestly, was Hammoud any more help to Harris than he would have been to Biden?
  22. No comment on McMorrow in partcular, but I can't hold a Dem's position on Biden's run against them - I think Dems of good conscience were in a serious quandry about it. It was completely reasonable to believe if Biden had tried to keep campaigning there would soon have been more video flying around of more episodes that looked like the debate. There was no clear right answer there. I was ambivalent myself, and I think it still would have been the right decision if Harris had been able to connect to people better. To me she had this weakness that when you heard her speaking on video, it was always like she was talking to someone else, not to 'you'. Somehow she didn't connect through the camera like Obama or Trump can. Video 'Charisma' is a weird thing, but it's indispensable.
  23. Garth was playing for the Jays when Cale was born...
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