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gehringer_2

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Everything posted by gehringer_2

  1. That 'arrogant ass' being another great character portrayal by Stellan Skarsgard, BTW.
  2. This would be the biggest self own in history. By far the highest % of passport holders are the highest educated demo and that demo is about as strongly Dem as any.
  3. glad mine is good for another 9 yrs.
  4. I suppose there comes a time in every 'denialist' movement when the fantasy finally becomes unsustainable - at least for the majority. 'holic has a place in his heart for Babe the Blue Ox and maybe would love the world that truck represents to somehow keep going, and for all those hoping it could, Trump was probably their big hope, and when the real world has been shown to chew Trump up and spit him out, maybe that will finally break the illusion for some folks. And the thing is, I was there, that wasn't actually such a great world compared to this one anyway, it's a bill of goods.
  5. What looks true here is the illusion. The US aint the world anymore - we are making ourselves irrelevant. The world is moving on, even if we aren't. More than 50% of new cars sold in China are EVs, 98% in Norway, 75% in freaking Nepal of all places. The EU and China together are much more of the real world than we are. And even here, gasoline consumption peaked in 2018.
  6. a lot of things have happened that we've speculated would dent Trump's base that haven't, but Iran is the one that's doing it. I don't know if it's actually the war or maybe just gasoline prices. Hard to believe there were a lot of voters that believed Trump would actually be a peace president, but as long as they figure it out and take it out on his party in Nov I'll take it.
  7. And Ford would even have had an excuse to be a Squeaky wheel about it.
  8. This is about getting out of production quotas. At some point I suppose we may start seeing a race to the bottom by oil producers who see the end of an oil based economy staring them in the face and are deciding better to cash out now than try to keep the price high and see the market shrink even faster. I tend to think that when countries look out and see the US, the supposed guarantor of stability being the one screwing up the oil markets, it's sort of the last straw in the decision matrix to just get off oil as fast as possible. Nuclear is coming back, renewables are the vast majority of new utility capacity going in around the world, and the Chinese are ready and able to supply the world with cheap EVs. Now that said, a pipeline or three built to get around Hormuz and Trump off the stage, the pendulum may swing back, but for now, other than the US, the developed world is heading for the exits on oil & gas as fast as they can. And even here, Trump may keep the odd coal plant running here and there, but utilities are voting in the other direction with their investment dollars anyway.
  9. Disney goes to court, the court quashes the order. It's more harassment.
  10. yeah - I think there is a way to turn off car play in my car but I would not be able to find it without hunting through a lot of menus. I just turn off BT on the phone if I want it disconnected because I can find that. I generally don't connect my phone to the car's wifi at all - it's a redundancy I haven't needed for anything yet.
  11. TBF, schools do make a huge effort in recent years to help athletes go to school if they want to, I'm sure that is as true at OSU as at UM. But while you can lead a horse to water....
  12. It would be nice to have 3pt shooting center, but that discussion has been had before and there aren't that many out there. Maybe if you had a team that was less shooting handicapped across the board, teams would not be able to so easily take away what Duren could be doing. When you put together a team the pieces have to complement each other - the pistons' shooting so far is deficient enough that it's skewing everything else and a part of that right now is Cade isn't playing like he's at 100% Then there's the turnovers......
  13. UofM system always leaves voice mails and usually sends texts/emails as well. Nobody should be relying on a live telephone connection to communicate in the 21st century, it's been a debased system for a long time. Another thing that shouldn't be the way it is but we have a government that doesn't work.
  14. and Melania has another 'Mask' outfit going!
  15. you're right, but OTOH, the NCAA and B1G are at least as full of academic cheating stories as academic success stories so a casual reader is just going to see it fitting into the assumed narrative. And just to beat an old point into the ground, it's the problem of social media factoids being out there with no context. Was he talking about graduating from an accredited program or about just skating by? You can't tell that from the one line post.
  16. Good work. The other thing is that a lot of newer appliances have a single PCB controller board. 99% of the non-mechanical things that go wrong are failures in that board. It's usually about 10 minutes to replace the board and you can find them on the internet, so that's another 'go to' for maybe $150 tops before you run up a service bill or buy a replacement. One of the funnier things I've witnessed was a service tech who came out look at our dishwasher (under warranty at the time) and just thew up his hands because he couldn't diagnose the problem. Just replacing the board before he checked anything else would have rung up less charge to his employer than half the labor time he spent poking around. In the end, the warranty service co never did fix it. But it's still in my kitchen running with the new board I put in it....
  17. if you lose 10 straight the problem is not your manager, it's your pitching staff, which means it's your GM. But GMS's don't fire themselves. 🙄
  18. it's part of the price we pay for the stuff we do like. For instance we were traveling last week and had put AirTags in our bags. They will ping of any phone they can find and then the apple network gives you your AirTag's location based on the system knowing where those phones are. So apple is hijacking someone's phone without them knowing to tell me where my tag is every time I check. If everybody opted out of the system all the time, that kind of stuff wouldn't work. Similar kind of concept behind traffic conditions on navigation apps.
  19. the tattletales are Bluetooth and Location Services. Turning BT off when you don't need it and locking down location services so apps can only use it when they are in focus or not at all is about all you can do other than a hard shutdown of the phone.
  20. The big jump in OPS goes back as far as last August but the K rate was still terrible even late last season - so the better K rate this season is only on 80 AB so far. The better production has been over a little more than 200 AB. I suppose Candelario had close to a half season of higher production before falling back, but the recollection is hazy and I'm too lazy to look him up. The thing with Workman is that IIRC, he was also showing signs of improvement after the Cubs picked him up but he didn't sustain it then, makes you wonder more if he can sustain it now either - or maybe it means he is closer to getting his act together? Time will tell soon enough.
  21. Maybe Cade isn't really back to being Cade yet? That was always the possibility
  22. that kind of change at that age is pretty unusual. Among possibilities could be: unusually long streak of BaBIP luck He shortened his approach enough to give himself more time and made it work He got stronger and his bat speed increased and that's given him more time or he just has more ability to put the bat where he wants it. combinaton of 2 & 3 Combination of 1, 2 & 3. He's gotten somewhat better but not as good as he looks now.
  23. one point that might be worth making is that to go back to the parallels with other RW or strong man movements, in 30's Germany, there was a real external 'enemy' that was a uniting force for German's against the status quo - namely the terms of the Treaty of Versailles - the Great War was over but they were still in fundamental opposition to the rest of Europe.. In Venezuela, there was the imperialist north, if you want to count Berlusconi a lightweight RW movement in Italy you can take him as a reaction to the onerous debt management terms that the norther EU countries were imposing on the Southern. The point being that there is usually at least a grain of truth in the idea that there is some external force that the country had to unite around the strong man to break free. In the US, the the RW can only run against the US LW; whatever ills they claim are damaging the US are all self-imposed. There is China as the boogie man of de-industrialization, but that isn't even at the top of MAGAs list, which are mostly cultural. So your difference is that MAGA cannot unite the country around its project, because its complaint is fundamentally against the other half of the voting public. That strikes me as difference in kind that has some level of relevance.
  24. it's around 3/4 million population per rep district. (340 million/435 seats)
  25. This. Over the years I've watched various GMs build or fail to build our teams, and to me that's the difference that stands out - the difference between just trying to collect talent, and trying to collect talent that fits together into a team that can be more than the sum of its parts. And right now, it feels like that is where the Wings are failing. Yzerman has brought in players with some talent, but they don't fill the team's most severe weaknesses. Along those lines that's why I was hoping they would let Kane go. Sure there are things he still does well, but they are not the Wings' glaring needs (i.e. puck possession and forechecking) - etc, etc. When you are bad you have to use your limited resources plug your most sever deficiencies with players that bring those particular skills, not just collect bodies that succeeded somewhere else under different conditions.
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