gehringer_2

Diesel-electric. I guess we wont be seeing any caviar that glows in the dark.

Not so much investment, but economics related - if you wonder why gasoline prices in MI have risen, the storms on the 15th took down Exxon's 250,000 bbl/day refinery in Joliet Il. It's takes more than a week just to completely restart a refinery, and that's after you've fixed whatever the shutdown may have broken.

LOL - different LEO segments on incompatible communications equip is the oldest screw-up since Marconi and it's still happens.

to me you are taking the most extreme take which I would argue is a bit of straw man. I'm not trying to say the guys are going to lay down on the field. The difference between enough success to win vs lose particularly for hitters, is very tiny, marginal loss of concentration in one or two AB a week, and the psychological factors in any group dynamic are real. Plus in baseball having a bad team objectively multiples your players' difficulties. Your pitchers are under more strain when the bats aren't behind them, your hitters are easier to pitch the shorter your line-up gets or when you are always behind. I probably short-handed it wrong in the initial post - to put it more accurately I'll put it that loss of talent can have a multiplier effect on a team that can be greater than just that of the individual player lost - part of which is strategic and part of which can follow from team morale and obviously the effect will vary with any particular group. If you don't think it happens, that's fine, but I'd argue that management thinks it matters. Teams are always trying to find players and managers who build team chemistry because they believe it can have a multiplying effect. But if you believe that can be true, you must also see that events can drive those same factors in the other direction. If you don't believe either is true, that's consistent and a valid take I won't argue.

Tech has been oversold and corrections there are dragging the indexes.

Fox has sufficiently shat the journalistic bed for the last generation that no-one should feel obligated to appear there for anything.

Depending on what kind of cover was available and what kind of flying skill he had, that might not have been so trivial a task. I have no idea what he had, but you can build a drone with very little metal and small enough to fit in the palm of your hand, and operate it from the 2.4ghz 802.01 band where there are literally hundreds of simultaneous encrypted digital signal in the air at any given moment in time.

The equilibrium for 'prime' interest rate loans should normally sit a couple of percent above the inflation rate expectation. Having use of money has a value, and if you have money and you loan it, it must make some profit over the inflation rate or you are not going to loan it. So that sets the real economic limit. Also the longer you loan it for, the higher margin over current inflation you want because you are taking a bigger risk in offering the loan. The Fed can play around and push things one way or the other for a certain amount of time - esp in the short term, but the market always wants to force long term rates to what the inflation expectation plus a reasonable profit, determines. If the economy goes into the doldrums, no-one wants to borrow and invest and inflation falls to less than the Fed target, then I could see rates under 3% (like the aftermath of the crash and the pandemic). But if the Fed manages inflation at 2%, long term rates are not likely to end up below 3.5% - 4%. The other big drag on consumer spending that was keeping things slow and rates artificially low in the post 2008 crash era was the boomers transitioning into a lower spending part of their life cycle, but the demographics are over the hump on that now.

I would point out that the fact that we aren't going to see doesn't actually argue it isn't needed.....🤔

IMO, between maybe 3 and 5 percent, which is sort the all time historical long term average, it's not going to change much of anything real from an economic standpoint, I think there are people out there that think that eventually the Fed will take things back to ZIRP where we know there are a whole bunch of folks whose happiness I don't care about would be happy as clams. But I think it's a lot more likely that rate reductions will not go below 3-3.5% so in reality the difference to economic activity will small. But not to psychology. And the psychology impacts the politics and the politics feed back into the determination of future economic policies that will matter.

Let's hope he was right that it was the most important call of his political career because it ends it. ETTD.

Miller blows again. Loses his first batter after 0-2, gets ambushed by the 2nd. Then give up a steal and a WP. Shelby is really hard to like.

so tonight he is 2/2 + a sac fly: singe and double. Pulled the double to left at 109 EV off a 94mph FB. Sac fly pulled to left at 99 EV against 95 mph FB. Single up the middle at 102 EV against a 92 mph FB. So it's not like the ability isn't there - it's a matter of developing consistency and keeping the aggressive approach where he's hunting FBs.

well, we'll see how they play. They tanked in '17 after the sell off. but I won't deny sometimes a team can go into "us against them mode." They're in a tailspin right now they need to get out of and Ragans isn't helping the cause.

Skubal not sharp. something about Dickerson which I find an irritating bit of homerism is how at times when a Tiger is not performing particularly up to expectation (like Skubal right now) he starts quoting all kind of stats about how good he has been, as though the fact that Skubal's low ERA coming into the game was magically going to take KC runs off the board. I don't know if he thinks that make the listener feel better about things or something - at any rate I don't get it, and to me it just accentuates that things aren't going well.

there is such a thing as throwing too many 1st pitch strikes.

JHM for 2.

2nd quarter GDP is already in at 2.8% so by the classic two down quarters paradigm you can't call a technical recession before the election, not that will stop the hollering if the 3rd quarter is down.

Serious burn there

Yeah - I liked Weber. I guess working till the day you drop dead isn't the worst thing if you like your work and can still do it.

It should have been yesterday - they are behind the curve, know it, and are aggressively proud of it.

Sad truth is that in today's American legal system, $259K is cheaper than trying to litigate your innocence so a settlement in that range doesn't tell you if the person was guilty or just practical.

Well posted. It just highlights the level of ignorance the cultural warriors start from.

In fact he was so close to the truth that he nailed the reason Arafat would never sign a deal - because Yassir knew the radicals would get him if he ever turned hard on them.

Awesome.