gehringer_2

I read an interesting book, one of the premises of which is that we too often make the incorrect assumption that if you put a lot of information out there, the good stuff (as in that which aligns with objective reality) will 'win out'. The author does of nice job of proving his case that historically it doesn't and technology doesn't help. It's usually the garbage which wins the day, which often leads to a lot of avoidable catastrophe and, leaves those trying to stay aligned with the objective world in the dust. He also wanders off into a lot of apocalyptic doomsaying about what happens when you add AI to that mix. I can take or leave the prognostications but his exposition about how information flows in a society food for thought. 'Nexus' - author is Harari.

The Hopium is strong in here today.

There may be a certain "Nixon goes to China" aspect to it. It's cultural conservatives who have bailed on Democratic woman nominees. If the GOP nominates a woman she is much better inoculated against that. And of course it is paradoxical in that while I think it's going to be much easier for a GOP woman to win a first Presidential election, it will still be much harder for a woman to be nominated in the GOP.

A longer campaign could have benefited her under the right circumstances, though I'm not sure those circumstances were likely to be there. Maybe the strategy would have been different in a longer campaign, but Harris decided to play it pretty close to the vest - possibly to keep mistakes to a minimum, but that also means that more exposure might not have helped her if unless she took a less scripted kind of approach because everyone had heard the script by 3 weeks in. And I would still come back to that fact that while Biden said all the right things about supporting her, for 3 1/2 years he did nothing to put her in a positive light on the national stage. I think that was critical and by 2023 there was no way to fix that. If a woman is going to be elected, it's going to be someone whom the public has already established some kind of long term rapport with. Harris never got that chance as VP so her poorly executed run in 2020 was the public's main reference going in. Ironically, Hillary had exactly the needed length of history, but in her case too much of that public history had been somewhat checkered and re-adjudicated by Fox news, so the long backstory ended up working against her.

At least with a Tulip you do get a flower - year after year even. There's definitely value in that after 12 weeks or so of winter.

Truman lived all the way through Eisenhower, Kennedy and Johnson. Imagine if none of them had ever been president...

so many euphemisms for "we really need to continue to abuse non-tenured educators...."

I could almost take that aspect if it weren't for the rest - the terrible voice, terrible intonation, terrible elocution. I get that he has become a fixture now, but what crazy person at the Wings first heard his demo tape and said, "Yeah, let's put this voice on the radio!" Boggles the mind. And to do it after Bruce Martyn.

I don't think I have spent more than 5 minutes listening to the Wings on the Radio since they hired Woods. Just can't do it.

no - still a big difference because NVidia does have a real value basis, it's just obscured for the present by the market froth around AI. Bitcoin might be the greatest 'greater fool' theory proposition in financial history. That's not to denigrate it really. For all I know, 'Greater Fool' dynamics may have made as many fortunes as value investing ever did.

For at least the time being, NVidia has transitioned from a value analysis type investment to a market psychology analysis investment. Once that happens to a stock, everyone and no-one is an expert.

but.....I think there have been changes in the information eco-sphere we have been slow to recognize. In the pre-internet age, speech suppression had to be directed at particular person with a particular/specific motivation. So it wasn't that hard to understand what 'suppression of free speech" was. Today, when the algorithm can simply bury various speech contents without any specific action against an individual do we still have an effective understanding of what speech suppression is? For most modern intents and purposes I don't think US law still does.

Elon's worth is tied to Tesla, not Twitter, but of course you knew that. And in fact that net worth isn't really easily accessible because if he tried to access it by selling Tesla share in any significant number, that would tank their value. So his wealth is semi-paradoxical.

also have to remember that for us in Det, trash can lids have receded far into the past, probably not so much for many people around the country when they think about Hinch.

I've always been interested in the limits of measurement. Measurement is what has allowed us to do science, which is what has given us the modern world, but it's always good to explore the limits and understand what your measurement do and don't mean. Can keep you out of a lot of trouble in the "lab".

yes - there is a lot of imprecision in tying the concept of a baseball perfect game to the pitcher individually. Or another way to put it is that in baseball a perfect game is a net outcome, but it does not require or necessarily reflect anything like perfect performance by the pitcher at a one to one level. He can give up any number of line-drive at'em balls, get behind in the count, throw the ball to the backstop, etc. While on the other hand he could give up nothing but Ks and soft contact and a fielder could boot away his perfecto. So in FB, in one sense the standard is higher for a QB because every throw does have a specific outcome. On the other hand for a QB his receiver could drop a perfect throw, and the QB also is rated on a much smaller number of 'chances' per game. The probability of being perfect in 25 throws is going to be better than in a 100. Then if you really want to push into the weeds, QBs are not rated directly on mistakes they do make that are just as bad to the game outcome as bad throws, and that would be mis-reads. If the QB checks into the wrong running play and hands the ball off for a loss, nothing is tallied against his performance at all (other than by the HC who happens to be watching!).

The key for them will be to provide a less cluttered, reliable and more enjoyable environment for non-political information. If they do that, sports and current events will draw the wider audience and they can prevent falling into an echosphere trap. Right now they have a opportunity to do that since Elon is currently so fixed on beating everyone about the head with his personally curated nonsense in the other place.

HaHa - people will say this before the fact, but watch how fast everybody bails if it comes to pass. The human is always very brave about what they will do in the future!

I'm all on board with that one. And that's an issue that sure would've driven my vote -- if only I'd known.

From what I've read, that money isn't necessarily transferrable. I believe it has to be used for 'Tourism' related projects. Granted in FLA you might be able to drive some pretty big checks though that loophole since so many things relate to tourism, things like fix storm damage on beaches or other pubic areas, but it apparently can't be diverted to just general use.

My uninformed take would be that Tork was encouraged to be a HR hitter before he ever got done learning how to be a hitter against ML pitching. I think he learned to be so focused on finding pitches to drive that when he stopped getting them from better pitchers, his game fell apart - so he's having to learn now what he was rushed to the big leagues without having learned when he should have. Can he do it? Beats me. He does have some assets: he can get around on velo, he has power, he has a good sense of the strike zone. The question is can he cover more of the strike zone? Stay tuned...

Torkelson still on the team then....

Have to say that four years in this is not what I expected Steve Yzerman's organization to look like - not even so much the overall winning percentage but just the roster and style of play. I mean, if you look at the product on the Ice you would never know without being told that Holland wasn't still the GM. The whole team has an old player, old school, old style aura about. Which is all the more telling in contrast to where the Tigers and Lions have positioned themselves in their respective sports. I can't think of a worse indictment for the FO than that.

you also have to weight that against a 30HR season, which don't grow on trees either.

What conceivable purpose is there is syncing anything to two places on the cloud? Absolutely predatory marketing to try and get you to use (read "buy") more storage. There should be a class action suit in there somewhere! I avoid cloud photo managers like the plague. I have photos backed up on my google drive but purely as archives. And if you have multiple apple devices good luck ever figuring out what is actually mirrored where and what happens when you try (and usually fail) to delete anything from a particular device. My answer to all this was to finally get a NetworkAttachedStorage unit. It just sits there quietly serving files 24/7, organized the way I want them and accessible on the net anywhere. And it talks to Linux, Windows and MacOS without prejudice. I use my google drive just for backup and collaboration now. My wife still fights with I-Cloud though, haven't weaned her off it completely yet.