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gehringer_2

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Everything posted by gehringer_2

  1. It goes back to the fact that voters have all the wrong premises when looking at candidates and the media just drives the misconceptions. How did Reagan win 49 states? It was not by being a policy wonk or giving a lot of chapter and verse on policy detail, it was by persuading voters that they could trust his judgement to do things in the public interest. And even the worst things that Reagan did - starting down the trickle down path - he did in the belief that it would work for everyone the way he described it, so even though he was wrong, the public picked up on his sincerity that he thought he would lift all the boats with tax policy reform. So a question like "will you embargo arms to Israel" is a fundamentally dumb one to ask a candidate. That's a level of situational detail that can only be assessed when the exact time comes that that decision is ripe to be made. It's not important that the candidate have a position on it now, it's important the candidate create trust in the public mind that they will make the right decision given the situation when it has to be made. The press complains, and a politicians opponents complain because it's much easier to play the 'gotcha' thing if a candidate allows themselves to be pinned down to what eventually becomes a "wrong" answer. It's fine that the opposition does this, that's their right, but the media misunderstands what people actually vote for if they think those position details are the core of what gets people elected and it's why the central mass of the public just tunes out on so much of the argument. Positions statements are useful to candidates only to the degree they help paint a candidate's philosophy at the broadest level, not the detail level. And of course for anything that has to be legislated it will be miles between the proposal and the finished product anyway. I think the Harris campaign understands this and they are basically taking a page out of "Morning in America." They want the campaign to be about creating an emotional aura that forms a break with the vitriolic politics since ....well pretty much since Gingrich, but of course mostly since Trump.
  2. what I saw was fine but I I switched to record it as I was tired of waiting through all the junk. I'll watch the rest later.
  3. Harris wouldn't take the bait when presented with Trump's complaint about her 'turning black' - when Bash pressed again she just said 'Next Question' Perfect. No reason to play the game by their rules.
  4. BIG CNN interview is gonna end up 20 minutes of CNN production time, 30 minutes of commerical, and 10 minutes of interview.
  5. There was a lot of alcohol in the student sections in the Big House in the 70's because they didn't stop you from bringing it in. I suppose if they are selling it now, the cost means it will go mostly into the non-student sections, so that will be a difference.
  6. The pitching feels like a mirage right now. If Montero, Brieske, Sammons, Hurter and Englert all have major league careers that look anything like the last month, I'll be seriously surprised. Then again, we've played some poor teams. Lets see what they do against KC/Boston
  7. These people are such a joke.
  8. NFL minimum is $750K, which is $42K/game over 18 games - that's somewhat more than a 3x increase.
  9. Brieske and Foley both bringing serious heat in this one. Makes every thing else a lot easier.
  10. He's under control, he's not expensive, he can plug holes, and some of the competition for backup IF that was once on the table has faded (Wenceel has been moved off IF, Kreidler's bat won't play even as utility) and now add the possibility that Baez might be done. I think they are relatively happy with McK and Ibanez as a utiity L/R pair - so I'll go a little further on the limb and predict he is a lock to be at ST. and make it double lock if Jung doesn't hit the rest of the way.
  11. Zach has improved against breaking balls this season which has made his ABs more competitive.
  12. could be the IL date on his MLB transaction page missed a back date. That's what I was going by. EDIT: BR says his last appearance was 6/30, so he could have been backdated to July 1 and there is your two days.
  13. At various times they have decided to or not to carry 5 OFs. Since McKinstry and Ibanez can both go to LF when needed they don't *need* a 5th OF. If you figure that DH is split 100% of the time by Greene and Carpenter, maybe you want a 5th OF.
  14. his IL date was July 3. 60 days is up Sept 1 = Sunday
  15. Smyly's name came up because he is freely available for the cost of waiver pickup (depending on the Tigers waiver priority and who else is interested). So no real effort to acquire/trade required. And if someone better than that hit the waiver wire they should do their due diligence there as well.
  16. Yeah, Wenceel doesn’t have a role other than insurance in case of Parker’s bat going South again. Greene and Parker are going to play against most LHP.
  17. Has nothing to do with Smyly being an alum, he’s simply a better LHP than Wentz as of today and the cost is rounding error close to zero. unless they still have an idea Wentz is going to improve there is no reason to keep him since there are better options. If they do, they will.
  18. Blues don't lie!
  19. Smyly's OPS against for RH batters is 120 points less than Wentz. Drew is 35 but looking at his results he's not showing any signs of arm decay. it all comes down to a decision on whether Wentz has untapped upside. if you are going to end up cutting him next year at the end of ST then passing on a pickup like Smyly to protect Wentz is just dumb. If they still believe they are going to turn him into something then that's that.
  20. Miller doing what Miller does.
  21. Carp looking much less screwed up there!
  22. There is a lot of role play in doing a TV broadcast. Think back to all the questions Sheppard would ask his color-man that he perfectly well already knew the answers to. They constantly need to create basis of for discussions they are having only for the listeners.
  23. Royals now up 4-1 in the 7th
  24. Pilar having a tough night.
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