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gehringer_2

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Everything posted by gehringer_2

  1. just looking at his numbers I hadn't realized how much he dropped off last season from not being all the productive to begin with. 20 pt and a 1:1 G/A ratio is pretty terrible for a center - though granted he doesn't always play center and with that low an assist number he shouldn't.
  2. While I posted this, I also think it's unconscionable to suddenly decide to uproot people who have been here for years and built a life, that for years we never took the time or effort to be bothered with. I think of it sort of like a common law marriage after any number of years. Time and space absolutely creates/changes the reality of what is just.
  3. I think the outcome will have to be a 'new' tax added to the mix - something like some variation on a VAT that people will not see directly. Maybe a grand deal where we trade adding a VAT for flat no-deduction income tax and/or annual 'assets' tax. If you made the public an offer that eliminated the 1040 and all its attendant schedules it might have enough appeal to slip in a net overall increase. If you wanted to be clever you could tie the VAT rate to the size of the debt - have the tax fall as the debt falls.
  4. This gets a little more complex that either side admits to. Just because you cross the border, you do not immediately gain the right to anything like full process prior to removal. People caught in close proximity to the border either in time or space are now immediately sent back ("expedited removal") without a hearing and the courts have let that stand. And you can argue that in such a case the person is not being deprived of anything and so has no claim.
  5. but anyone who has ever gotten into too much credit debt knows that paying interest eventually leaves you with less buy what you need. The interest on the debt already consumes as much tax revenue as the amount taxes would have had to go up to prevent the most of the debt.
  6. One thing that is starting to move a little is that as loathe as they have been to give up on Rasmussen, he is finally running out of rope with McLellan.
  7. The thing to keep in mind is that Trump doesn't care about American Interests - he cares about self-aggrandizement. All he wants in any plan is that it appears to work - at least externally, and hold together long enough for him to claim the credit. If he thought it was more likely he could bludgeon Putin into accepting a Zelenskyy blueprint, he'd be all over that instead - but of course since Putin impresses him, the thinks the main chance lies on that side. Sort of like Gaza - Israel is still doing pretty much what it wants, they had already defanged Hamas, all Trump really accomplished was to put a gloss on the status quo and take credit for it.
  8. Fair critique. If he had averaged just the comparable months the diff would still be there but smaller. OTOH, some/many BLS numbers are already seasonally adjusted to account for exactly that kind of effect, so most of that should be normalized out, but I'm not taking the time to research where Rattner came up with these particular values.
  9. all three winners last night were over 130.
  10. Since it was a procedural error, the dismissal was without prejudice, meaning the DOJ is free to refile, but one of the reasons Trump used a cardboard cutout like Halligan what that she'd do his bidding no matter how dumb it was. Now he's going to have that much more trouble finding a credible, competent prosecutor to run this vendetta.
  11. You sure hope that caps his Democratic side fund raising potential at about ... zero. LOL - So he's basically going to run as a Trumper candidate? Works with respect to James since a lot of GOP voters in MI are racist, so MAGATs would be happy to dump jump off any James bandwagon, but he'll have to fight hard to get GOP money that will line up for Cox.
  12. apparently it was the GOP Congresscritters who objected big time. The funny thing is that since all Trump wants to do is be the hero - he's probably perfectly happy to double down in the same direction as Obama and spend even more money, as long as it get his name on the program. The GOP grinches, who are more in thrall to the big money conservative and corporate anti-tax donors, still want desperately to kill any thing like ACA that could eventually lead to a same public medical system in the US.
  13. about as surprising as the Sun coming up in the East.
  14. technically the state is called a 'Bingham Plastic', which is a liquid which is immobile under low shear stress but will start to flow as higher stress is applied. Basically like toothpaste. This is a common state for foods that are emulsions - like mayo, or have high solids content like peanut butter. (fun with fluid mechanics 402).
  15. depends on whether you consider insects to be meat.
  16. and TBH, there will always be things we don't succeed at, but the worst are the things we do know we can do but won't.
  17. He has never started in 6 yrs in the majors. He was a starter in the minors though AAA in 2019 but didn't have a particularly good ERA in that role. So this would appear to be the player wanting to make the change and looking for a team willing to take a chance on him being successful. As a suitor, you have be a little sceptical since his problem in relief last season was walks which is hardly a good jumping off point for starting. I suppose the thought is he backs off the 100% effort fire ball and regains some command. Nice theory, but it's still anyone's guess.
  18. LOL. My worst one was at Toledo refinery. I had a Samsung flip that I really loved. Early days of the network - it did messaging and I thought that was hog heaven. So for some reason I had it out - and had put it back in the breast pocket of may Nomex jumper instead back into a pants pocket. I walk over to one of the cooling towers (which were part of our responsibility) and leaned over a sump that had about 4,000gpm of water surging through it to check it's level and down went the phone. No-one could even hear me curse over the roar of the water - which somehow made it worse. 🌊
  19. and Thompson is this team's Rodman - the guy that changes everything when he is on the court regardless of how he shows up (or not) in the box score.
  20. which is exactly what drives so much of the risk. You only have the capability to make the trip on closest approach and if something goes wrong and say you miss the return window, you are dead. Magellan's crew could fish, find land and kill wild boar to stay alive if they had to rebuild a broken mast.
  21. +1000 There is a so much truth to this analysis. We had a thread here a while back where we thrashed out how the cost of a college degree has increased wrt the ability of a student to pay for it while working. There is no doubt that the indexes have been skewed by the falling price of technology items, but he has a powerful point that while we do spend a lot on tech items and thus do receive value back from those purchases, they are not the 'essential' quality of life values of housing, health, food and education. Cost of living calcs give the economy a lot of credit for my 55" 4K flat screen replacing the 1950 12" RCA I recently posted a pic of, but what has that really done for my life except help drive me into more social isolation sitting in front of it? We've had washing machines for 100 years, they are suddenly miles more sophisticated than they used to be - in that sense they are more valuable, but are our clothes any cleaner for all that? The payoff to tech has been for business. Profitability there has soared due to tech driven increases in production efficiency, and that does have a legitimate value that needs to be captured somewhere, but it can't be the only thing we capture and right now officially it is. It's true everywhere, that we get what we measure. So as much as we moan and groan about the bureaucracy, having one that works right, that measures and produces the data that can drive better political debate, is still a critical thing for a democracy to survive.
  22. It's a scale problem from multiple directions. If you look at the 15th/16th century voyages of exploration, they were relatively large robust projects - multiple ships full of supplies and survival tools, big crews, and they still often suffered terrible losses. These are tiny missions, tiny crews, no support equipment available or even possible - and to lose a crew would not only be tragic for the individuals but politically disastrous for the sponsoring industries/nation.
  23. Every good player is good until he isn't. Petry was a great Dman for a long time for the Habs. Didn't do squat for the Wings for his last two yrs.
  24. Par for the course. Hegseth is exactly the disgrace we all knew he would be. I don't how any of our vets can look at the "leadership" Trump has in place at DOD and not despair for their services.
  25. I watched Holl last season and thought he was a weak link. But so is Hamonic. If you asked me to pick I'd be hard pressed - if you think Holl is better than Hamonic you won't get a strong argument from me but OTOH I don't think the difference is enough that that choice is going to impact the team much. Neither is good enough IMO. I also think some of what is going on is that they are trying to take more advantage of Seider, Edvinsson (and eventually ASP's?)) offensive talents and they're having growing pains. We are seeing more Dmen leading rushes than since Ghost left and some Wing forwards are having a tough time playing 200 ft when they are being called on. And there is still some bad decision making by a Dman going when they should have stayed. Mac called out Edvinsson the other day for not realizing he was leaving DeBrincat to rotate back on a guy he couldn't possibly handle. Cat tried, but he was outmanned and it resulted in a goal. If they can all learn to rotate intelligently they will be a much better team for it so IMO it's something they have to suffer through. Getting more out of the big Dmen in the offensive zone is a payoff worth some pain.
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