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gehringer_2

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Everything posted by gehringer_2

  1. Index funds have been a good idea for a lot of people for a long time now, made sense that eventually the bastards would find a way to ruin it for everyone else. I'm now out of indexed investments.
  2. If the market tanks before Nov there are going to be a lot of high profile failures, and while high tech failures might not even have that much impact on joe sixpack, the end of world media reporting will be enough the make the election look like 2008. And certainly there could be enough wider effect to freeze credit markets and cause real distress. So your's is the relevant question. There is a collision coming between the need for AI guys to raise more capital (because they are burning through it like dry tinder) and the fact that the possibility of a failed AI IPO is exactly what could bring the house down.
  3. the point only being that just because you are good at analytics, all the other stuff doesn't necessarily follow, so being a great analytics org is no guarantee of being a winning org. And one can go further to say the analytics expertise doesn't even have any particular correlation to capability in those other organizational requirements. While it's certainly a requirement to compete with the orgs that have it, it is not sufficient by itself. Plus you can put all the right data in front of a decision maker and they can still make the wrong decision. The decision is still subject to human variables. You're right, we can't see all a lot of this, and the Det sports press is useless at getting inside stories from players or coaches, all we see are the results. This just another aspect of the ongoing discussion about evaluating FOs. It's not enough to do one thing -say analytics driven drafting and development - well, there are still trades to make and contracts decisions to manage and competent personnel to put in place. You can't fail badly at any aspect and succeed overall no matter how good you may be in one niche.
  4. IF we didn't have a platoon manic manager and Parker had failed to hit Vierling would have gotten more AB against RHP, or other scenarios are possible. If Wenceel had been left at Toledo and torn it up there they might have made the swap - which likely would have failed but Wenceel might still have gotten a look. It doesn't need repeating the you can't really game out the negative of a scenario - but there are always possibilities. In fact when Parker went down, wasn't Clark still on a tear? So toss that out into the possibility pool. Of course right now 641 would look pretty good! I suppose it tends to get lost in all the negatives of last September's collapse, but Parker was actually not part of the problem - 723 OPS for Sept 2025.
  5. McGonigle made the wrong play on the bunt, he charged when he was supposed to stay at 3b and hold the runner. Kevin McGonigle played 1100 innings in the minors as a SS, 0 as a 3B. This year for the 1st time in his career he has played 207 inning at 3b to go with 291 inninigs at SS, but it's *his* fault he didn't get a situational play right at 3rd? Sorry, I don't really think so. Team needs to own up to putting guys in positions to fail.
  6. but Meadows was never more than a provisional member of the 26. It was probably at least 50/50 he would hit himself off the team. Of course in retrospect once Carpenter went down he probably would have stayed weak bat or no.
  7. why not have some one ready and go get Anderson before he give up the lead?
  8. Tigers have have of the offense they can expect to get back from injury anytime soon, and they are being 34 hit.
  9. in case anyone is keeping track, another out made by a Tiger PH.
  10. interesting that Walker actually makes up the difference in BA with a better OBP. You can certainly be the best hitter for average in the game but not be anything like the most valuable hitter in the game, but even by a narrower definition of pure hitting (i.e. ignoring power), I would still take OBP (fewest out made per PA) as a better indicator of a pure hitter than BA, so Walker still wins the comparison.
  11. and the near trillion dollar question for the AI industry is: how much are you willing to pay for the difference in your trouble and does is come close to the actual cost of serving up Claude?
  12. I'm seeing them on Firefox in Linux.
  13. easliest way to stay on the low end of position player injuries is have a young team. If someone has figured a way to manage pitchers at reduced injury rates it's the breakthrough for this century.
  14. just you? - in fact "Bianco" rendered twice
  15. Wenceel goes 80 PA without a HR, hits 3 in his next twenty. You knew he'd start playing better once the need to play him looked like it would decrease.
  16. Loving Casey as a pitcher, at wits end with him as an athlete.
  17. Analytics is no panacea in the player development process, it's still only a tool that can tell you much more accurately what a guy is now, and help you show a guy what to do next; but projecting what guys will be in two or three years after they put in more or less work or get more or less strong or big or do or don't take care of their conditioning or end up more or less injured is still a very inexact science because you have a very non-analytic human being at the center of the process - and great analytics is also no guarantee you have the good coaching to pair with it. You're not going to improve many players by just throwing spreadsheets at them - you need people with people skills to instruct and motivate.
  18. In the long run, whether Platner becomes one of the first or loses and fades rapidly back to obscurity, eventually being tatted and or pierced with outrageous stuff and having an incendiary social media past are going to become non-issues for the generation where those behaviors were the ordinary markers of that youth cohort. Just like no WWII gen politician could have survived a photo of himself with a pony tail and a joint, but Bill Clinton was easily elected president, the indiscretions that define the rise of particular generations get normalized when that generation begins to curate the larger culture. Heck, on the GOP side Hegseth is most of that way already.
  19. the disconnect in the construction is that whatever you believe about who Platner is - he is not expressing abhorrent ideologies in his campaign - he's running a pretty ordinary New England "I'm a populist democrat but I'm not anti-gun" that's nothing new in New England. You may be convinced he's lying but that is a different thing than the implication that there is a Democrat out there running on the Nationalist Socialist Platform of 1932.
  20. forgetting Platner for a minute - being working class doesn't really mean much either way. FDR didn't have a working class cell in his body - was the best president the American working class ever had.
  21. Torres and Carpenter both played for the Hens tonight - Carpenter a walk in 2 PA, Torres 0-4. Sounds like we can't count on Javy for a long time yet. But with the BP a mess and Mize questionable Torres and Carpenter are not enough. If Mize doesn't come off the 15 on time and stay off it the rest of the way (neither seems likely) I don't see them having any chance to catch up.
  22. OKC had the size, didn't make it work for them.
  23. - so to circle back the original jumping off point of this digression, I'm not excited over the prospects of the Pistons' future having to depend on either Thompson or Duren turning into bigger offensive assets. Don't like the odds on either.
  24. he tougher to play against then kareem because he's more athletic - he's more like a young Wilt but with a long range shot.
  25. One team plays dirty and the other dives, are you guys sure you're not watching the NHL?
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