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Everything posted by gehringer_2
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yeah - in truth, science pegged this virus wrong on day one. They used the model of Sars-I, which made perfect logical sense since it was a related virus, but the epidemiology we actually got wasn't SARS-I at all, it was more like the corona viruses that circulate as part of today's 'common cold' panoply of viruses. So while the early science was all based on a premise of heard immunity and eventual extinction of the circulating virus, what we got was a virus that is capable of infecting without causing symptoms and another addition to the inventory of endemic low level infectors. So yeah - it was a learning curve, knowledge at every point is provisional, perfect knowledge is chimerical. That said, it doesn't mean there is no difference between imperfect knowledge and ignorance or political agenda driven pseudo-scientific wishcasting, not by a long shot.
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good point - it does depend on how far from #1 he thought he might fall if he doesn't offer a deal with the Pirates. It's hard not to be schizophrenic about drafting pitchers. You look at busts like Appel and injuries like Mize, but even with all that they are probaby more reliably projectable than hitters. Esp a guy like Skenes where the calling card is a great swing and miss fastball, unlike say Mize whose signature splitter ended up not playing all that well in the majors. The only thing with Skenes is you maybe wonder if he throws too hard - a la Zumaya, to where the physiology isn't goint to survive.
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2023 Detroit Tigers Regular Season Discussion Thread
gehringer_2 replied to oblong's topic in Detroit Tigers
good pickup. I wondered looking back because I thought they rather liked him at the time. -
One thing with Jeimer is that even when he does well overall - he's a crazy streaky player. This season his first 163 PA his OPS was 630. Since then he has 148 PA at an OPS of 1010! And then he'll go cold again. His monthly OPS splits from his good year in 2021 are pretty crazy also: 661,884,529,941,790,904. Now almost every player is a little streaky, but Jeimer is *really* streaky. On one hand, production is production. On the other, how do you optimize a line-up when you don't know from month to month what to expect from a guy? Maybe he just plays through a lot of subclinical injuries or something, but it is an odd record he makes.
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2023 Detroit Tigers Regular Season Discussion Thread
gehringer_2 replied to oblong's topic in Detroit Tigers
Danny Meyer was sort of the vanguard of the long run of LHH. Arrived in '74 but was dealt in '77 -
Why would Skenes settle for under slot? Maybe he needs to talk to Verlander's old man.
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this is the point. I'd guess Yzerman has a set of criteria through which he evaluates a player and that their scoring numbers are only a piece of that. Maybe he'll look at Debrincat and decide he's a player he wants, or maybe not. But you get the impression Yzerman thinks he has a relative advantage in his drafting skill so I don' tthink he's ever going to be in a hurry to part with high picks.
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When I was a kid the local Barber was a nice Italian guy and he ran a little book on the side. The phone, a pencil and a pad of paper were always just as close at hand as the scissors. LOL - private enterprise and the state have have illegal bookmaking a quaint anachromism today, but drugs would not have been an option in those days.
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Malloy and Keith are younger than Rizzo and Lipcius, who are younger than Maton. I'd prioritize playing Malloy and Keith.
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I'd be surprised if they are going to give up on Malloy at 3rd already but stranger things have happened, and I don't personally see the point of playing Maton there so I'd have Malloy and Keith share 3B, Maton and Keith share 2B and agree that Lipcius gets leftovers.
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06/25/2023 12:10 pm EDT Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
And the thing is, with Kreidler down for the count, there isn't anyone in the system close at 3b anyway. They are basically waiting for Keith, even assuming he can stay at 3B. But of course if they do see Keith as close enough to make the majors next year, that might inhibit them from maing a trade or FA acquisiiton to fill the position - which would probably turn out to be a mistake. -
Seriously, the resturant business lost a ton staff over the pandemic - a lot of them went on to other lives. A lot of commerical kitchen expertise probably was lost. After the Reagan recession hit the industrial midwest to hard, most of the building trades people who could left MI to go South where there was work and never came back. If you had a home improvement project you wanted done in MI for several years after that good luck.
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Not true. You can look at the percentage of people admitted to the hospital who were vaxxed and compare it to the vax rate in the general population. For instance, in Washtenaw county, during the core of the pandemic the majority of the Wash Co hospitalized were unvaxxed. The number of hospitalized who were vaxxed didn't begin to approach the number unvaxxed being hospitalized until the overall vax rate in the county was something like 80% (i.e. 4 times more people in the county were vaxxed than unvaxxed before the number of vaxxed in the hosp approached the number unvaxxed). It was trivially easy to see that in the numbers if you were following them. Vaxxed people were clearly protected against the probability of hospitalization.
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06/25/2023 12:10 pm EDT Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
Camargo seems the logical choice. He's not a devlopment project, he's a replacement level journeyman. He looks like he might be in the McKinstry mode - he's not going to be a big help but maybe a guy who is competent enough at the game not to hurt you either. They picked him up for exactly this situation (disaster insurance at 3B) so it would seem dumb not to use him. Lipcius is the other option - less good. He's at the 'do or die' point in his career. No power but he can walk a little, but the glove may not play in the majors, and particularly not at 3rd, which is where they need the help. -
06/25/2023 12:10 pm EDT Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
Manning replaces Wentz, Brieske replaces White. The interesting question is who does Skubal bump? Probably Olson, but maybe Olson goes to the pen and bumps someone else there. -
06/25/2023 12:10 pm EDT Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
Any team carrying Schoop doesn't really have a 40 man problem. -
Parker on base twice again today, 2B, BB. 15 game hitting streak. But 0 for 2 against Dallas Kuechel, who started for St.Paul.
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Frankline debuted with Lakeland today. Not too auspicious. Walk, single, HBP, ground out, walk.
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06/25/2023 12:10 pm EDT Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
But at least he has a record as a decent fielder. Tigers have been giving away too many outs at 3rd all season no matter who has been there. -
06/25/2023 12:10 pm EDT Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
I know he's not doing much with the bat right now anyway, but has the idea of Malloy as the 3b of the future already foundered on the inadequacy of his glove? Does this team have anyone anywhere in the organization that knows how to scout the glove of a 3B candidate? -
06/25/2023 12:10 pm EDT Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
At least with Raburn you could see the flashes of high level play - there was a tease that if he just tamed the inconsistency (yeah you can call them brain freezes) with both the bat and the glove, there might have been a player in there. Maton may still some unexplored upside to his bat, but he hasn't given us a shred of evidence whatever he can be a competent 3B. -
06/25/2023 12:10 pm EDT Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
And that alone was a good reason that Hinch should have taken him out of the game at the end of the inning. It's bad enough to screw up, if you are wallowing in it on the field, you are just setting yourself up to do it again, and sure enough.... -
06/25/2023 12:10 pm EDT Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
At Torkelson's age I can accept talk about a player haveing a good process that you believe is going to produce results. Nick Maton had nearly 1700 PA in the minors and never generated much of anything. Assuming a normal drop in OPS facing major league pitching, the odds of him turning into a valuable MLB regular were never much to begin with. -
06/25/2023 12:10 pm EDT Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
The self-inflicted loses are so much harder to take.