gehringer_2

yup. I don't see any reason to have confidence the pollsters have figured out their sampling resistance issues between left and right until they actual start hitting the Dem numbers a little closer to election results. It's not so bad with national numbers but at state and congressional district level blue polling bias has been significant.

In a three way race would she pull more votes from Trump or the Dem? Depends where she positioned herself but theses things can end up worse for the left side than the prior predictions. 68, 80, 2016 elections with 3rd parties went GOP, Clinton did win with Perot in the race.

It would have been nice to see, but we are 6 yrs out from Trump capturing the GOP nomination and the truth is that the Cheneys and Kasiches are no closer having a movement of their own than they were then so I’ve stopped holding my breath waiting. They are as Jonathan Schoop to me now.

You can’t get a national party off the ground on Lincoln project level $$. The big GOP $$ are still going to the Trump GOP and Dem $$ are still going to Dems. It is what it is.

LC’s problem going forward is she has no money behind her. She’s not wealthy enough to be her own media, and the anti-Trump GOP donor base hasn’t shown any willingness to spent big enough to seriously blow up the party

The only question about that poll is which side had more liars. That would be a substantially bigger turnout (~74%) than any in the history of the republic by roughly 7%. Then again, at 67%, 2020 was 5% bigger than the next closest turnout, which was 62.5% in 2008.

It's been some years but when I used to travel on the PA turnpike fairly often it was always zipper merge.

Since Biden took office the Senate parliamentarian has repeated ruled that the Dems could not include major immigration reform in a reconciliation bill, and there is zero chance of getting any democratically crafted bill on immigration (or very much else) through the Senate on regular order so it's dead in the water. And politically, if you can't do anything it's doesn't help to talk about it and highlight your impotence - thus no current talk and no action. If you want immigration reform move to a state where you can vote for a democratic senator in a swing race.... https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/586240-senate-parliamentarian-rejects-democrats-third-immigration-offer/

they predicted 30%, it's only 24%. That should help the Dem in the general, amirite? 🤪

yeah - they Clevelanders will feel a little silly in the clubhouse once they see the replays. Barnhart's glove or equipment or something must have made some noise that made them think the ball had hit the dirt despite that it clearly had not because they sure seemed convinced.

well that was different.

Soto's not giving up that Pumpkin award to Joe without a fight!

but I agree with the premise, and that is why it probably took Ilitch so long to fire him. Organizationally Avila didn't appear do anything wrong per se, he just didn't do enough of the things he was doing that were generally correct directionally. And since he was lousy at negotiating trades he couldn't make up any ground on that front.

Soto only has one run to work now. Should put him on his best game right?

Naylor - no batting gloves. Throwback. Love it.

Back in the day we called that 'Peter Principled,' - eventually promoted to his level of incompetence.

Joe decides to compete for the Tiger Pumpkin award tonight.

That all I really want to see from Tork for a while - regain command of the k-zone. That has been his calling card when he's successful.

Another good game for Crouch 2/4, HR BB. 862 OPS since his promotion to WM. Nothing better than to see a guy get promoted and then improve his hitting output.

I wonder if Harold should play 1st with his OF glove. He doesn't seem to handle that 1st baseman's trapper all that well. That's not the 1st time he's had a ball just sort of climb out the glove on him.

Yup. All the metrics in the world go down the drain when the guy that shows up this year just isn't the same guy that showed up last year. It may be the same name and same face, but it ain't the same guy.

How do you get 6 IP of 1 run ball from Garrett Hill? Other teams must looks at the Tigers and marvel at how a bad team can turn any sow's ear of a young arm into a serviceable silk purse MLB pitcher. Avila should get credit for having built an org that seems to do pitching development as well as anyone. And it does us no good because the hitting is worse than the pitching is good. How you can build such a totally unbalanced org?

the deal didn't look bad - the question is whether there was something they should have been looking at and didn't see that would have predicted his collapse before they gave him the $$. If all the stat, film and analysis work gives you no prior indication a player is about to lose it, that's sort of a disappointment.

Good night for Eduardo, meanwhile Pineda follows by giving up 3 runs on 3 hits and BB in 1 IP.

Hill is usefully wild compared to RP. RP was around the plate so much that when his FB slowed or his break got lazy the pitches were right over the plate where they could be mashed. Hill's pitches are all over the place - resulting in walks but it may keep the batter a little more off balance if he can keep the walks reasonable.