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gehringer_2

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Everything posted by gehringer_2

  1. Maybe, but I wouldn't dawel on the possibility.
  2. I think this is spot on. I don't think it's even a question that if they thought he would produce 3 WAR he'd have been back. But to the first part, I agree that from the fan's view, all that matters is whether he is replaced by a better player - or at least the move somewhat directly opens to door to some combination of better players even if not specifically at 3b, rather than what the team is paying whom. If the Tigers miraculously put a winning team on the field next season I can't see very many fans who will repudiate their fanship in outrage over the fact that we will have probably the least productive player per dollar in the majors on our roster.
  3. Well, Zero Covid is over in China. https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/19/world/asia/china-zero-covid-xi-jinping.html One can hope that Xi, having actually backed off one irrational course, may be rethinking other approaches he has recently been wed to.
  4. Waiting to see what Elon does with his poll where the twits chose for him to step away from twitter. I think there are a couple of ways to read this. One is that he had become egomaniacal enough that he thought the twits would support him overwhelmingly and he could use the poll to club his opponents. But the other reading would be be that thrown in the real and terribly complex morass of content moderation, he has begun to figure out that he needs to put some people in charge in who know what they are doing and step away himself, and losing the poll gives him the perfect cover to do it in a style that works for him. We'll see which is the case.
  5. Every league should apply this.
  6. I know GB is not good, but a Jan game under who knows what conditions is never better than a coin flip.
  7. Of course it will look bad if they don't end up spending the money, but even that is not definitive. Lets say for the sake of argument that they have reserved 'x' dollars into a number of pots where one is the kitty to chase a top FA. If you give 3M more to JC, you've reduced what you can offer your FA. Then your FA signs somewhere else anyway despite your best offer. You come off looking bad with an underspent budget though you had an expansive plan. Of course, them is the breaks, you get paid the big bucks to take the heat when things don't come up roses. Harris (and Ilitch!) will rightfully get roasted here if the Tigers end up with a reduced payroll and a bad team.
  8. This reminds me of Douglas Hofstadter's speculations on whether the background or inverse of a message always has to imply the same information as the foreground. Can a vacuity of thought even imply an inverse rationality?
  9. "Stanford band nowhere in sight" perfect call.
  10. pretty much. It opens a window for which arbitration may be, but doesn't not have to be the last act. The tender means the team has exercised their right under the CBA to keep the player and that both the team and player accept an obligation to agree to an arbitrators decision on $ value if they cannot mutually agree to a contract value before then.
  11. this is non-sequitor. You can't ban an idea, it has no account. EIther people were banned for what they posted or they weren't. If they were they have identities.
  12. that's one way to look at it, but there is also opportunity cost to every decision made that doesn't move the org forward. That value prop is always unknown up front - it's only justified (if it ultimately is) in retrospect when what they do with the opportunity transpires. If this turns out like Polanco and they don't come close to replacing half of Candelario's production, it's going to be the 1st tick on the red side of the ledger for the Harris regime. But if he manages to put a better team out there the move will be justified. It's perfectly appropriate to speculate on whether we individually think it was a good move or not based on how we guess it's going to end up, but that's all it can be until it plays out. It's not possible to make the definitive judgment so far. When I watch the moves Yzerman has made with the Wings, a lot of them have seemed pretty underwhelming and questionable at the time, yet somehow is he is putting a much better team on the ice (which unfortunately has now been decimated with injuries....but that's another story). So we have to hope Harris has that same touch, but hope is all we have until he produces, or doesn't.
  13. Not sure the dates line up. Spider tack was banned for the 21 season. Soto's slider was a plus pitch until '22. https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gregory-soto/19677/stats?position=P
  14. I wonder how much of the "we will be all EV by date 'X'" coming from manufacturers is more than political PR for them. I will wager they will keep building what is selling even as they ramp up EV capacity. OTOH - I can't figure out WTF Toyota thinks they are talking about with hydrogen powered cars. Whenever someone mentions Hydrogen, run the other way because they almost certainly don't know what they are talking about. There is NO hydrogen available to use as motor fuel and almost no prospect there ever will be. The only two routes to it at scale are to use natural gas, which gets you nowhere in terms of CO2, (and you can use the natual gas in a car just as easily as H2 without going to hydrogen) or massive electical consumption for electrolysis, which is stupid since you can use the electicity in the car at multiples higher total energy cycle efficiency without ever going through all the intermediate steps (and losses) of converting watts to hydrogen and then back to mechanical energy, which the electricity basically is to begin with. The only practical route to any level of H2 use in the economy is nuclear power. If you don't see nuke plants going up, you can forget about hydrogen cars.
  15. and again, what we don't know may be the difference in what the team does. We can see that last season Soto couldn't throw his slider for a strike. This is why he gave up so many walks but still managed a reasonable save success rate - he'd keep trying the slider, get behind, maybe walk a guy or two, then have to resort to all FBs and still get away with it because the FB is good. To me one interesting question is, was his problem mental or physical? For instance we don't know if he could spin that slider right on the corners in a bullpen but then froze up on it in games because of some confidence/psychological issue. If I'm a coach or GM, the difference between a guy needing the coaching to get his confidence up versus a guy being physically unable to so something and what his coaches thought they could do about either could make a difference in how I valued him. Now this is all 100% hypothetical, I don't have a clue why Soto couldn't throw his slider last year - just noting how much information we may be missing compared to what the team sees. So as a fan you tend to give your team management the benefit of the doubt because of this kind of thing, until eventually too many decisions are proved to be wrong and your base assumption flips around to that they don't know WTF they are doing.....
  16. Last year Joe was throwing a high quality, high spin fastball. I think his stuff was on a level with Soto's if not quite as dramatic to watch. Both guys have a track record of being erratic, Soto is under control for longer. Depending on which factors you like or believe in you could pick either of them as the better fpr success this year, but that only goes back to the question of whether dealing Jimenez was our choice or Atlanta's?
  17. personally, I'd guess it's been as much as that Al didn't go in for old high cost broken down end of life relievers like DD constantly did. Just because Al was incompetent at building a hitting line-up doesn't mean he didn't have a better handle on acquiring pitching than DD ever did. The depth that got them through last year testifies to that, as much as we'd love to not give Al A credit for anything at all. I'll Fetter all the credit in the world as a great PC, but in professional sports, talent >> coaching.
  18. I hope you are right, it would be nice to turn a couple trades and get useful returns, but I'll worry until I see 3 or 4 guys actually sitting out in LF at COPA who have proven they can get guys out.....
  19. I imagine one of Soto's virtues is that he has been durable, which seems to be a huge exception for being on the Tigers staff. Then again, maybe that just means his UCL number will be the next one to come up.
  20. It was Jack Eichel of the Vegas Knights who had disc replacement done last year over the objection of his team doctors. He's at 29 pts playing 18min/game this season so it apparently worked for him. There was a lot published about it at the time and I read a bunch of the articles. It was was no laproscopic clip and stitch. The surgery sounded incredibly complex - not for the faint of heart. IIRC the local interest connection was that people were pushing Eichel as a Wings trade target.
  21. Or maybe reorgainzing Tiger management simply wasn't at the top of his to do list when he found himself in charge. I think owners like Stienbrenner and Jerry Jones who keep/kept very high profiles around their teams give the public the idea these owners spend a lot of their time nursing their teams. And for sure owner like to spread this impression so they can also bask in the glow when success does come. But I think the reality is that for most them the teams are the equivalent to an average person's hobby, in the sense that they do not hold anywhere near a primary claim on their time. Chris acted to replace Holland and Avila each when the discomfort level rose to where he had to pay attention. He seemed to be perfectly capable of doing a quality hiring search and finding a hot commodity talent once he decided to so I don't buy the idea he didn't know what to do or how to replace Avila if he'd cared to. So sure, at this point it's hard to argue his laissezz-faire probably didn't cost the team years of rebuilding time, but I'd put it more to the side of immediate change simply not being a priority in Ilitch's world. And TBF, Avila wasn't telling a very different story than Harris is now - he just didn't execute.
  22. Could well be. And if you have a practice pushing a new technique that they are in the forefront of, there is prestige and money and possible position and maybe even better outcomes for patients, to be gained by expanding its use. Maybe it's a great therapy, maybe it's unecessary in 50% of the cases. The point is that at the front end of any new technique no-one really knows because the 'science' or maybe here 'technology' is a more appropriate word, is unproven. 20 yrs ago vertabral fusion was the big thing for disc issues, today my sense is that the consensus is that most of them should never have been done. So far this reads to me like so much of the COVID debate we've been through, where people line up around issues as though certainty is obvious when it isn't even possible. A kid (and family!) who sees their potential payday theatened by a reluctant doc (who maybe isn't much of a sports fan anyway - he was too busy in Med school to be interested....) might be pretty unhappy. But that has little to do with answering the question of whether or which doctors were or weren't acting in good faith.
  23. after watching this team though most of the new century I'm unable to be sanguine about that. When you have guys that get outs, even if they make it too exciting it's easy to forget what it was like when you didn't. It's only been a short number of years from when the refrain "but there's no-one he could have brought in" was seen almost everyday here after a starter was left in well into a shelling.
  24. I don't mind trading one of Soto and Jimenez, but sending both out is probably inadvisable. I want a deep BP on this team even if it's going to lose 100 games, just so Hinch has no excuse for over extending young starters.
  25. I didn't realize there was still an order book on the freighters - it's been a long while since the last passenger version was delivered hasn't it? I wonder if these birds still cut it for frieght but not passengers because in passenger service they could never actually get near their MTOW? IAC - end of an era. also striking contrast in the design of a modern high bypass engine compared to a 1968 power plant.
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