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gehringer_2

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Everything posted by gehringer_2

  1. I don't why the Tigers have suddenly come down with this virus that has them believing you don't need to play major league fielders in major league games. That's a sac fly, one run.
  2. Really hard to decide if that throw was even worse than Haase's.
  3. maybe that's why they are keeping Garneau. The other two can't play their position.
  4. are two singles worth 3 misplays in the field? Asking for a friend named Harold
  5. I just looked up and there is a 1 next the DET in the box score. What does it mean? Not sure I remember seeing numbers in that spot before.....
  6. well at least Skubal will not have to beat himself up if the Tigers get shut out anyway
  7. This kind of bad luck is actually pretty funny - but sadly loses are loses and you can't get them back.
  8. Unfreaking believable. Can team be any more snake bitten than the Tigers are now? And of course, the other fact is that no matter where you put Harold, the ball is going to find him.
  9. No wonder Jack is in the Hall of Fame. He could pick which IF his pitchers would be hit to.
  10. ...aaaand right on cue, the Tiger D rears its ugly head....
  11. this is where your pitcher can't help but start thinking, "I'm gonna have to be perfect here, aren't I?" Prolly doesn't help.
  12. It's not like the Twins aren't trying to be good hosts in this series. You can't complain they aren't giving the Tigers every chance to get a win.
  13. Are three great starts in a row from the Kid too much to ask? Not really fair to him, but it is what it is - we need him to come through.
  14. You don't really want to know what's gaining on you anyway.... Oddly enough I did remove the RVM in a Jetta I owned some years back. It stuck down into the field of view at road level without much in the way of adjustment and after the third time I almost hit someone coming from the right behind the mirror, I took it out. I check for that in cars I've bought since.
  15. Right - That could be true and still only come into play more seriously in terms of the choice to walk away earlier than another guy might. Thinking along Hank Greenberg lines. His outside interests never affected how hard he worked to be a great player, but they did motivate his decision to leave the game before he would otherwise have been forced to. Of course in football where careers are so short anyway, guy walking away even a couple years early could set a team back.
  16. right. It's 100% musical chairs/greater fool at this point. Keep riding as long as possible but woe to the last man off. History has shown that sometimes you can keep this going a lot longer than than anyone would ever think, but like I said, you need a certain level of mystery or uniqueness or something on which people can hang their belief that 'this is something different, the old valuation rules don't apply." You could do that as long as Tesla was a unique product. It would certainly be a new thing if they can keep that valuation ball in the air once the uniqueness is gone.
  17. And just to note, the underlying assumption here that Musk cares if Twitter is profitable, or is even buying it as business vs a vanity play, is tenuous at best. Musk is in a odd place. His wealth is based on largely on Tesla, but he's stuck. He can't cash out much of Tesla because it will crater the stock value. But the truth is, and Musk must know it as well as anyone, is that Tesla's valuation can't sustain. And it's way worse for Tesla than for other tech companies about which this has been said but which still don't some down because very soon, Tesla is not going to have anything unique about its product, nor unexplored about its market. There are hundreds of thousand of competitive E-vehicles starting to roll off non-tesla production lines even as I type this and the revenue to valuation ratios of the companies making those cars is nothing like Tesla's. So something has to give - and it isn't going to be Ford or GM or VW stock going to $500/share. Telsa is like Bitcoin but with no way to keep the mystery that feeds the overvaluation going.
  18. so really, it comes back full circle. Is this a job for Elon Musk or better for a Mitt Romney? The question mark, and it's a fair one, is that Musk has no previously demonstrated competence is this particular business skill. It's a known unknown. So as an investor (or user), there are a lot of question marks - of course if he buys everyone out and takes twitter private there won't be any more investors and that will be that! 🤔
  19. MI GOP also forming up a circular firing squad in the wake of their convention.
  20. I think launch angle will be a more complicated analysis for Cabrera. When you inside out the ball the way Cabrera does, you tend to hit it in the air more. At this point in his career, this is his preference as he has more time (ball can travel deeper and that other analyst drivel). To combat that, they are pitching him inside more now, on the theory (and it's the conventional one for any older hitter) that he can't get around and take the ball to left as well. But when you go to the pull field you don't get the loft you get going to right as naturally. When he goes to right, he drops the bat head under the path of the ball. Going to left, he tends to swing level or down on it more. Observationally, I would agree that it looks like Cabrera has stung a good number of hard grounders to short and 3rd so far this season. Long story short, I would bet that with Cabrera his launch angle will correlate with his R/L field %. You can see the evidence for this in that teams often shift Cabrera to the pull side on the IF and the opposite side in the OF. Though when Cabrera is 'on' he can beat that on the ground to right anyway. Which, BTW, can get you to the HOF.
  21. The fact that employee costs are high doesn't necessarily mean there are too many, they may just be well paid - esp near the top (as you already noted). That's a bit more complex to manage than just firing 20%! Not clear exactly what that $3 billion includes but if it's the ordinary Cost of Sales number, for a non-manufacturer you might actually expect direct labor to be half of it so that's $200/k per year per employee, (we were were using $100k in project estimates over 10 yrs ago). So maybe high, but it also depends some on what the employee skill profile is. Flip the analysis around - the issue is that revenue is low and it's not clear where any growth comes from, which is no doubt why the board was so quick to bail. Like many business that create a new field, the question of whether income ever reaches a competitive ROI on the application of labor and capital required isn't answered until the business model actually succeeds or fails. It's quite possible - maybe likely - that Twitter as currently structured is not a sufficiently profitable business. Maybe you can solve that by finding a way to keep doing what you do at much lower cost. That is the standard US Business school hammer to every struggling business nail. Sometimes it works, sometimes it just proves the business model wasn't sustainable to begin with and the business has to morph into doing something different or die.
  22. he'll have to be quick though. An extended period of firings will paralyze an organization (I remember I had friends at Ford when management at went to a forced termination system meant to remove low performers, it put the company into a productivity stasis and forced WCJ jr to step in and fire the CEO that had put it in place..)
  23. I know it's old news now when we see the lights finally go on inside the head of ex-GOP intellectuals, but this is still a spot on bit of analysis by Jennifer Rubin even if she is nearly a decade late in getting there.... https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/04/27/gop-no-longer-a-party-movement-impose-christian-nationalism/
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