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gehringer_2

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Everything posted by gehringer_2

  1. Brady has no-one that can make a catch.
  2. I think non-competes depend more on the illusion that they are enforceable than the degree to which they are.
  3. Well, I have no beef with Carlos getting paid. I am skeptical it will be by Detroit so it's purely a rooting interest.
  4. well it's an interesting question. You'd think at 100. 200 billion, you wouldn't care about the $, but it never seems to go that way. Maybe it's just the competiveness about not being a 'loser', and Musk is potentially a huge loser on Tesla stock, which I really have a hard time believing is not going to drop another 75% before it's done. So I still tend to think that somehow he wants to turn Twitter into a win financially. Which is not to say it might not be a totally different product once he's done with it.
  5. It's the model. Owners are strongly copy-cat to what is currently producing winners. Houston's success is an example of letting guys walk/not over paying and still winning. Also interesting that on balance on the the board, Avila's obsession with building through pitching seems in disrepute, but again, Houston is a strongly pitching first franchise. That doesn't absolve Avila for not doing a very good job, but it's alway important to keep the evalution of strategy and execution in their separate lanes.
  6. He's got a ring from the Dodgers in '81, thought that was not a full season. Great team though.
  7. what makes teams anymore likely to an offer this year that no-one made last year? Not a snide question, but seriously - something would have to be different for the outcome to be different? Maybe that Correa played a full season. OTOH, it can't help his case that the team that wouldn't pay him just won a WS with his rookie replacement.
  8. doesn't matter what he thinks his audience is, it doesn't change that advertisers pay his bills. He can certainly change that but he can't change it and maintain more than a fraction of the media presence Twitter has now.
  9. It's the draft and the Pistons.
  10. I know the personnel is better, but they are so much more aggressive to the puck than last year you'd hardly know you were watching the same team. That said, Husso kept this one from being about 6-3 Islanders.
  11. RSV is a currenlty a nationwilde story. NYT last week: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/27/nyregion/nyc-hospitalizations-covid-flu-rsv.html?searchResultPosition=1
  12. Nate must be so burned by his previous misses he can't bring himself to see anything but red.
  13. Kubelik has been quite the pick-up so far.
  14. Parise with bonehead play of the game taking out his own goalie.
  15. why would I dream about a guy playing for the Lakers?
  16. it makes no sense. His social media 'audience' does not pay his bills. I certainly don't care if he burns down Twitter and loses tens of $billions in the process, other than the inconvenience of waiting for another platform for real time news aggregation to arise I have no dog in Elon's fight.
  17. He asked a question, he got an answer. Case closed.
  18. You never know - some guys are big and yet have pretty 'normal' physiology - thinking about Chamberlain for example, who was a track and field star even at his size in HS. You are talking real super outliers in the population to find that though.
  19. her star is fading with Trump's? (hoping anyway!)
  20. Maybe I just saw an outlier sample but didn't Hayes have a couple decent performances in the pre-season? Guess that goes to show what that's worth!
  21. I didn't know they were selling cars that did not allow you to disable it. Ick. Then again, we rented a kia recently with start/stop and it tuned out all you had to do was have the AC turned on and it was disabled. Go figure.
  22. and ours is gnerally lower than most places.
  23. good point. And I would guess there is a difference between pitchers and hitters in this regard. A hitter's performance on almost any hitting metric (except maybe RBI) is not very much limited by the quality of his team. A pitcher's is. Even something like FIP does not exist in a vaccuum to team performance because there are real effects of longer innings, extra outs given up, more time in the stretch, contstantly being under the pressure of being behind, that are very real for pitchers and don't really show up in any metric. It is harder for a pitcher to excel on a bad team - Steve Carlton being the exception I suppose!
  24. There are three things actually - immunity, vax, and the removal from the population of the most susceptible individuals. Crass way to put it but it's the cold scientific truth. And it's not really so much 'herd' immunity now as individual immunity. The first exposure is going to be most severe, once that has happened and you have survived, your individual immunity is boosted (same effect as being vaxxed of course) regardless of whether immunity in the community is high enough to stop transmission or not (i.e. herd immunity). We will probably learn that any of the various coronaviruses that already circulate in the population might also be far more dangerous to adults or older adults if we hadn't all had them many times as children when they weren't dangerous to us. and of coure it hasn't really been 'stopped' in any sense of disappearing (as noted above!), it's simply dropped into 'endemic' status. If it had emerged 200 years ago, the net result would have been the same in form, high early fatalities and a drop off to endemic status. The difference would have been that the number of fatalities before 'endemic' was reached would have been orders of magnitude higher. The difference is general medical tech, the vaccines plus the emergence of some effective therapuetics like monoclonals and paxlovid. There is still a LOT of COVID out there. In places were we are still testing a lot, like at UM, there are still plenty of cases, but very few are getting very sick. I'm certain we are at the point today were only a small percentage of cases are even being reported anymore because they are trivial or people don't even bother testing themselves.
  25. I don't know how polished Correa is so this may not apply, and you can't generalize with much accuracy, but I think it is more true for Latin players who are transplanted to the US to play ball, that they see their careers in workman like terms and are less 'romantic' about their teams. They are less likely to get endorsement and media gigs in the US post career so going for money and security can rank higher for them than a slick anglo like say - Verlander who probably figures after retirement he will make as much out of baseball as he has in.
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