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gehringer_2

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Everything posted by gehringer_2

  1. AFAIK, post duty titles in the US are nothing more than courtesies. They can be offered or ignored.
  2. Funny thing with Victor is that he seemed to do a decent job of taking pitches until he had 2 strikes, then he sort of gave up and started hacking. I don't know how you get a guy over a mental block like that (and apparently the Tigers didn't either!), but it was a little frustrating because you felt like he should have been able to make that breakthrough. At 27 he probably is never going to. I don't have any experience of what a major league is facing in the box, but as an observer I've always had the impression that many bad hitters are defeated by having too much fear of taking a called third.
  3. Montana did have some legs, but he did not have upper tier arm talent either. Winning QB play is only half about physical talent. It does help if you are tall enough to see easily, and strong enough to be harder to tackle (Brady does have both of those). And that's the thing. You can put a QB with great IQ, good accuracy and management skill into a setting where he doesn't need to make a lot of circus throws or run for a lot of yardage with more predictability than you can put a QB who can make circus plays out there and get enough of those kind of plays and few enough mistakes to win consistently without the rest of the cast around him.
  4. Agreed. I believe in Baseball that should be your approach everywhere. You don't need to spend your time and effort just to find guys to fill out your long term AAA rosters. The odds of any prospect anywhere making the ML if they are not really special is very poor. The big problem is the one Edman points out which is that most of the international kids are signed before they are even full grown so there is really isn't much way of knowing what you are chasing.
  5. Good question! It would be some kind of poetic justice if the GOP succeeds in keeping immigration suppressed for a generation or so and gets a crash in US upper class real estate prices as the reward for their effort.
  6. Because it's full of old people who had enough money to buy in there?
  7. Yes. They need to figure out what they are doing with Ned and Hellberg and get to where they have a working goalie rotation. Right now they don't have any confidence in either of them and are close enough to the playoff spot taat they don't want to risk any games to a 'goaltending loss', but you can't drive Husso into the ground either - so something has to give.
  8. The don't score enough goals and Chariot has some offensive play in his game so Lalonde is willing to live with the rest I guess.
  9. Not sure what people were expecting after they dealt Soto and Jimenez. There are too many spots in a modern BP to try to roll them all over at the same time.
  10. "for" as in for Beck to record, or "about" as in Stevie was amused that Beck was superstitious himself?
  11. The Piston's can't seriously draft another guy in the 1st round whose outside shooting is questionable, can they? Reminds me of the Tigers filling their rosters with DH's years ago.
  12. We seem to be willing to forgive a lot with this team. Winning percentages of .300, 278, 280, 267 over the last 4 yrs isn't much progress, even given an injured Cade.
  13. I was surprised to see Frank Bruni with a column about this on the NYT Op-Ed page, but I didn't know Frank started out as restuarant reviewer! I think the long and short of it is that art of all forms thrives under aristocracy because only they have the money to support it. We've been in a very 1%er world in recent decades which is what makes places like NOMA -at a couple of grand billed per table - possible. Maybe there is at the least the beginnings of a reaction toward a period when we will move toward more equitable distributions, or at least reaching a point where to be so conspicuous about wealth starts to become frowned upon, and a place like NOMA may be the coal mine canary for the leading edge of the trend. Or not.....¯\_(ツ)_/¯
  14. Don't play billiards with that man! I though Berituzzi's play was promising. He was still a day late and a dollar short on his chances but he was playing with a lot of energy - looked more like his old self than before he got hurt.
  15. this is apparently Ono's personal twitter account, not the university account of the Presidents office.
  16. You are completely correct. It's sort of similar people not understanding 'sunk cost' fallacies. Once a price has increased once - it will continue to show up in every year to year comparison for the next 12 months even if it never went up again. The only way to recover the year-to-year numbers inside a year to actually experience *deflation* and economists generally agree you never want to go there.
  17. could be. I've been disappointed in the quality of the logic being applied in this cycle. People, including economists and analysts who should know better, keep fixating on the increase in interest rates and not their absolute value. It is true that when the fed has pushed rates up 5% or more in the past that has braked the economy into recession, but it was never from a starting point of zero. 5% is still not a very high interest rate, not a rate as high as that which would normal slam the economy enough to cause recession, or at least a severe one. When people make decisions about borrowing money - they don't care what the difference is between what rates are and what they were a year ago, all they care about is what they are now. 5% has been enough to put a brake on housing, and it has definitely takien the froth out of the stock market asset bubble, but it's not really a level that's going to choke off much otherwise worthwhile business expansion. Based on that, I've not been expecting there to be any kind of hard crash. It's always possble the FED does goes way overboard from here, but they have been talking like they aren't going much higher.
  18. I think it was on the 'War On The Rocks' podcast - not positive, but at any rate I think it was Michael Kofman who was asked the question about why more heads haven't rolled in the Russian high command as the price of its incompetence. His answer was that in Putin's world, that of a non-hereditary autocrat, loyalty is far more important than competence. Putin will bear failure as long as it's coupled to continued loyalty. Because to start defenestrating loyal commanders it to potentially undercut the loyalty of those remaining, which strikes at the stability of his power, which is ultimately far more important to him than any short term progress of the war.
  19. If that reads true, we'll see if Warde gets forced out. And it wouldn't be surprising to see Ono start to put his own people in place.
  20. if you compare what Cleveland, who were at the same level as the Pistons 3-4 yrs ago, is getting from Garland and Mobley, the Piston's results don't look very good. Now maybe Cunningham getting back on the court with an improved eFG next year puts it all right, but it hasn't happened yet.
  21. LOL - that should read "development staff" !
  22. Sewn together as Siamese twins as each had one arm remaining.
  23. What if Ross loves UM sports but hates the NIL direction it's going in? We all can sit here and it's easy to make a lot of assumptions about other people's money that may or may not be true. The other aspect of this is that you have other constituencies vying for those dollars who want to see them stay where they are. When a donor writes a check to the University pieces of it may go to a lot of recipients inside the institution. If that donor writes a check for NIL none of the people currently on those receiving ends get squat. You don't think that creates an undercurrent of people talking in donor's ears to keep making contributions to the U instead of NIL? Where ever there is a lot of money moving around you can be sure there are more moving parts than meet the eye. I would guess the pressure is to raise NIL from new sources as much as possible. The other assumption that is false it that there is some big untapped reservoir of alumni funds just waiting to start writing checks. A university has a rather large 'deleopment' staff whose job it is to be shaking the bushes 24/7/365. If there were people with money just waiting to give it away, they'd have already been found and contributing to existing programs.
  24. well, maybe. I posed up thread that the amount of NIL money JU Bacon (I think) referenced in a report of his was far short of what OSU was raising (if reports can be believed, which they probably can't). But while it's easy to dump on Warde, you have to go out and raise that money, you can not just appropriate from within the university (which wouldn't go over well with other powerful constituencies within UM anyway.) The UM contribution base is large but does not have much history with systems for funneling booster money (legal booster money is all that NIL really is) so the AD has to build/coordinate pretty much from scratch. Easy for JH to just say 'do it'. Took JH 6 yrs to beat OSU? If Warde has come up with $7M in the first year of having an NIL program is he doing a bad job or not so much?
  25. That would definitely be funny, but Warde is probably too much a straight arrow to be that creative.
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