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gehringer_2

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Everything posted by gehringer_2

  1. Sun Tzu would tell you the easiest enemy to defeat is the one that is not self-aware.
  2. Pretty much past that already for some of us.(🤔) but TBF, if the Bronco's wanted an 'after action' interview, maybe just to talk to Jim about how he saw how their process was being conducted, I wouldn't see any problem with that. I think the headline writer was pretty strongly click baiting in talking 'no deal'. He doesn't know if 'deal' was even a topic in the discussion given what was actually reported about the meeting in the story about Harbaugh having 'taken himself' out of consideration.
  3. Yeah, I do think Tork was picking it up at the end, but things like hard hit rate suffer from small sample size issues - he only had 21 hits in Sept so one or two events can drive that a lot. He also hit 3 HR which helped his stats a lot, but is 3 HR real or noise? Hope it's real but as evidence it's not like a couple hundred AB at a higher OBP! Since K and walk rate are based right off PA with gives you a larger sample for those I think the you have stronger evidence with what we are looking for in Geene's case - which is all about K rate. Maybe not a whole lot more, but statistically speaking I think the evidence is better because K and walk rate are probably the fastest stats to stabilize and it was K rate that Lee, and the rest of us, worry about with Greene. OTOH,Torkelson's calling card has always been a good K and walk rates - Spencer "just" needs to hit the ball for safeties a lot more when he hits it. Barrel's are great but it at some point it has to translate to making fewer outs. Maybe he's was getting there and the results are just lagging because of noise. Just saying I don't think he got enough AB to prove much in that regard at the end of last season.
  4. His highest K rate in a month was his 2nd month - Aug at 34%, but in Sept it dropped to 27% and his August walk rate of 5% doubled to 11%. (about 125 PA in each month so not a great SS but enough to be more than pure noise for K rate I think). So the good part is that his zone control managed to finish the season on a rising, or at least non-falling trajectory, which I think is generally a good sign for a 1st year player. Of course, since it wasn't a full season he maybe didn't have to deal with as much end season fatigue as he might otherwise have had to absent the injury. And I know we aren't supposed to be swayed by the visuals, but the other thing is that if you compared Riley to Torkelson, Riley appeared to compete pretty consistently in his ABs, you couldn't say that for Spencer - who often appeared tentative/overmatched.
  5. Haven't seen that mount - but LOL - I feel your pain because I have the *same* issue - want to move the one set between two different rooms seasonally, and yes it would be ideal to just pop the set out of one quick release mount and into the other. My existing mount with the quick drop-in is a Sanus, which is a standard enough brand, but it came from Costco and was apparently a one time special build for Costco and there is no record of it ever being in their catalog. I have no hope of getting a 2nd with the matching mount.....😢
  6. or he is just less aggressive on the road because officials call more fouls on the visiting team?
  7. Greene is a quality CF. If he grows into an 800 OPS we should be more than happy. If Tork does't get to 900 as a 1B it will be a major disappointment. So there is that.
  8. maybe - or you just make them more embattled. The job sucks. We fix that and maybe we draw a different set of people into the job? For about 100 yrs now we've tried to police America's underclasses into submission. Pretty abject failure. Maybe we just start making a serious attempt to get people out of the underclasses?
  9. I think another thing that come into play is how much time people are willing to spend doing the kind of shopping the current market mess requires. I don't think this is a factor that is accounted for when various kinds of market analysis get done to support capital expenditures, but I think 'shopping' fatigue is a real thing when it comes to video services. I don't think many people actually enjoy the time they have to spend to stay on top of the constantly moving purchase choices they have, and that friction may have as much to do with how and how fast the market evolves as the individuall choices that services engineer to sell in it.
  10. The sad part for Mario is that I think he could have become a lot more loved in Det if he had gotten out from under working with Rod. The big knock on Mario was that he seemed like such a cold fish, but I have a feeling that was only because he was sitting next to a guy he didn't like or want to talk to about anything more than the game. On the few occasions when people had to fill in for an Allen absence, Mario was a much more personable guy. Blame that on Allen or blame it on Mario from not getting past himself to be better, but it was what it was. At some point Mario probably should have realized the Tigers weren't going to dump Allen and moved on for the sake of his own career.
  11. but that's just it isn't it? Most streaming services don't carry the RSNs - ergo they don't pay them.
  12. I"m wondering how long Putin can allow Prigozhin to keep building out Wagner. One day he may find he has waited too long and wake up to find Wagner tanks surrounding his dacha.
  13. The sports media revenue model existed on the basis of being subsidized by a lot of people would not have paid for the service if given the chance to opt out. As the move to streaming gives people that exact option to opt out of a global cable package and tailor what they pay for, you have the irresistable force meeting the immovable object. When I do the back of the envelop math I don't see an obvious replacement model that works. So when we all had cable, the cable companies were forking over maybe $2-5/month per customer to the RSNs, but I would guess only 10% of cable viewers were viewing fans of any particular sport. So you split that out and now you are charging the people who are willing to subscribe to a single service >$ 20/month to raise the same revenue? I'm a pretty hard core baseball and hockey fan, *I* won't pay $20/month for the Tigers or the Wings, let alone if they try to bill for each. Certainly could be enough people out there that will but I wouldn't take the wager. IDK, maybe PPV pricing could raise more?
  14. I'm sure Sinclair would be thrilled with this option - their creditors maybe not so much.
  15. I don't think you have to wonder at all.
  16. so back in the day - around the early 90's or so when Microsoft was being the world's primary corporate Satan, the tech writers/press really picked up on "sowing FUD" as the description for Microsoft's primary strategy for freezing other actors out of markets that they still were not ready to compete in themselves. I don't know if it goes back further than that or not but that's where I first remember seeing it used.
  17. yeah - you understand what Lalonde is trying to do to get Bertuzzi going, but you have to let him work back where he's not killing the top line. But this was a little bit of a 'take it' game for the Islanders all the way around with Husso sitting and Lalonde also letting Erne and Lindstrom get a game in before the break.
  18. I've been tempted to write off Intel a couple of times in the past when it looked like their management had gone stale and their tech fallen behind, but they are such a deep organization they seem to be able to flip the switch when they need to.
  19. 🙈🙉🙊 Short term market movement is all about momentum and technical investing - it's all perceptions and the animal spirts, along with the added dose deliberate manipulations, fraud and FUD distribution.
  20. right, and even then you have to differentiate between continuous flows and one time flows. The government threw a lot of fiscal dollars into the economy when the pandemic hit, but much of it was one time appropriation. Those are things which will inflate the money supply at a point and cause what is basically a step change increment in the general price level, but they are not drivers of continuing inflation the way an overly expansive Federal Reserve would be for instance. The effect of the big fiscal dump was transient in the same way the supply chain issues have been, they are not things the Fed needs long term response to 'wring out'. Now, all that said, as I've said before, the thing that may yet save us from any possible overreach by zealous money hawks is that since we started at zero, they have been able to push a lot of rate hike through, which makes them feel they are being effective, while still not hitting rates that I think are likey to crash the economy - as long as they have sense to stop soon.
  21. PC sales have cratered and that's still a big driver for their business. Computer sales were one of the big beneficiaries of the work at home transisiton, but with that swinging back they are in the dumps. The Pandemic gaveth, and its passing is taking it away..
  22. The risk that I see is mostly with the Fed. They have a playbook they are working from that says you *have* to have an increase in unemployment that reaches some kind of pain level to bring prices under control. And that has been true enough in previous bouts of inflation, but while I generally have little sympathy for people who look at some economic situation and say 'this is different' when it really isn't, this is different - or at least different enough for any previous bout of inflation since the Federal Reserve system has developed the playbook they are currently reading from. The fact is that prior to the pandemic, the economy constantly under-inflated the Fed's targets, and as all the short term dislocations of the pandemic work their way through, that is the status quo the economy is going to tend back to by itself, which is not the situation of 1958 or 1980 or 1990 or 2001 or 2008 experiences that the Fed draws it playbook from. So the risk I see is that Fed is going to overshoot. The one confounding factor that makes things even more complicated is that the boomer retirement wave does have an effect driving up labor costs. But politically, progressives should be pushing the Fed to allow enough inflation to let working class wage rates go up, because that is the way you want to increase social equity in a market economy - give the market scope to reapportion a bigger share of total corporate income to workers.
  23. He certainly seems to be showing signs of turning into a much better player than we had resigned ourselves to. His play last night was approaching what could almost be called 'dominant' . OK - maybe he's not quite there yet, but I'm certainly beginning to re-consider that he may have still unrealized upside. He wouldn't be the 1st big man that took a little longer to grow into his body.
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