gehringer_2

L'état, c'est moi meets Idee Fixe

exactly, and that's the clear press bias for sensationalism and doomsaying. For years, that same report would be have been given as: "prices in August increased 0.1 from those in July for a 1.2% annual rate." That was *always* the standard language used on those numbers - until the last two months that is.

12 months ago I don't think anyone would have even given odds against Xi's reappointment, but it hasn't been a good year for him. Not that you'd still get many takers on those odds, but whatever they are, they have to be worse than they were.

Somebody's gonna need a lot of clean fill.

Putie's body language in the video looks like a 5th grader trying to explain why he doesn't have his assignments done.

this is going to split one of two ways and I don't think we have any way to know until the votes get counted - either the dem over estimates in 2016 and 2020 were purely the result of GOP turnout energy from Trump himself being on the ballot, in which case the Dems are golden, or the dem overestimate repeats and it's going to be a dark two years.

it would be better if they spent the weapons and didn't kill the civilians!

the Fed wants a slowdown, that is how they get it.

I get the rationale that the US doesn't want to supply things like ATACMS to Ulraine, but they are going to need to supply better anti-missile defense and quickly because at this point the Russians appear to be committed to doing as much domestic mayhem in Ulraine as they can.

Yup - PEDs have to be considered and with latin players of that era it's hard to be confident their ages are correct, but even that said, some guys do get older quicker. You see it start more at 33-34 but there is always a lot variation in the human population.

True, but higher interests rates are going to lower the stock market and higher interest rates following a period of FED zero interest rates and QE were inevitable even without inflation compressing the timescale for the increases. The die was cast for equities to see a future period of pain a long time ago.

that looks pretty close to my experience - maybe a little high, but things like down payments and credit ratings mean there is never just a single numbers for any date.

But consumers don't really experience the year to date inflation number, they experience the month to month change, which was 0.1%. It basically takes a year for the year to year number to come back down even after inflation cools. I don't know if people don't understand the math or maybe they expect prices to go back down (which usually won't happen much except for raw commodities), but lets say in May of 2020 prices rise 10% then stop going up. You will still get a 10% year to year inflation rate report every month until May of 21 even with no prices increases over 11 of those months.

my recollection is for a long stretch in the 50-60's early 70's, mortgages were sort of stable in the 4-6% range. In those days the Fed's mandate was constant interest rates so rates didn't change as much as they do now, and the prime rate target was something like 3-4% I think. My folks had a 5.5% mortgage in 1972, I took a 7.5% mortgage in 1979. Things got stupid high for a while after that and a lot of folks went to adjustables because it was clear things had to start back down. By '87 things were falling again I and got 8 1/4%. From about there on refi's moved pretty much consistently downward to as low ~3.5%. Then the crash and central banks going to ZIRP kept them low until this year.

Handled Chlorine a lot early in my career. Weird stuff - it makes no sense for a gas to be green.

Curious he didn't seem as clear on the value of spin on his FB but worked on it anyway. If he can hit 19" vertical he'll do fine with it.

Best deal the Tigers never made.

Not sure what so many American's are so afriad of. In a nation of 350 million with a fertility rate of 1.70 and a million XS COVID deaths in the last 2 yrs, that might still be short of replacement. Heck immigrants from South and Central America don't even worship strange Gods or anything.....

railroad tankcars are amazingly robust though. It always amazes me when you see derailments and the tankecars are all strewn around like a kid got mad at his Lionel, but most are perfectly intact.

yeah, the 390 LF power alley was too much. But is that is what they fixed.

I just don't get these corporate managements who think they need to create working conditions they wouldn't live with themselves for 10 minutes. If you can't create an environment your workers wouldn't rather quit than stay in (RR workers have been quitting in droves) you are, quite simply, incompetent managers. "But look at our profits!" It doesn't take any particular talent to squeeze more profit out a business by putting it on a path to an eventual reckoning or collapse.

this is pretty huge if it holds

California may also have the most vibrant economy in the nation, but no way that could be related......

I might have been nice to see if Parker could have sustained his success at AAA at the end of this season - but OTOH maybe it's also good for him to experience some sustained success with the bat after what has to have been a frustrating MiLB career prior to this year.

True. Of course the question is can the West do any better job than the 'help' offered after the Soviet Union fell apart?