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gehringer_2

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Everything posted by gehringer_2

  1. You know he is still Teeter's boss. He stays in FLA now and runs the training staffs across the system.
  2. "Market economy" is just range of idealizations of a whole universe of economic activity. Like any intellectual construct, never fully maps reality - it captures some of it, and misses some of it.
  3. I don't remember which justice I heard talk about this once, maybe Breyer because I've a few of his lectures - whatever, he was talking about the fact that there is a view that it doesn't matter what Congress meant to do, only what they actually did/wrote. Breyer (and as I think about it I think it was him) said that the other view is that it's reasonable and efficient for the court to 'fix' language that is vague or incorrect based on the understanding of Congressional intent, but that the view that that is a proper role of court is not shared by all justices - though he implied without saying directly that he held it. The other side is that while the congressional record does record what certain lawmakers meant, in the end the vote was for the language that passed and maybe the people who put their thoughts into the record didn't actually speak for all the votes needed to pass the bill.
  4. Who knows? I would think that Brieske with the good swing and miss FB could slide into a relief role with some success and we know Wily is pitching near to his best form. I guess one possible answer is they have already pulled the plug on the season and care more about working Brieske through developing his breaking stuff even on MLB time than about the results.
  5. now 5-1. I dropped in on that one for a few minutes. Suter has put some kind of charge into his team. I don't know how long any team can play that fast but it's like it's not even fair.
  6. had not heard the term before either. Looks like a reasonable summary of the idea here - I was able to get the gist from the intro but haven't waded into any of the math! https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8107247/ Part of the idea I picked up was that it guides you to size or cut your study off as soon as it reaches significance instead of working through a bigger sample than you needed.
  7. yeah, there was a point a number of years ago when I was doing a lot of work in a very narrow and esoteric separations process and got to where I probably knew as much about it as anyone in the world at least for that short stretch. I found out there was a lot of garbage in the peer reviewed literature without doubt. However in medicine, people who look at the overall issue often talk about an even more serious problem in the lack of support for confirmation/negative results testing. At alpha=.95, 5% of all *honest* results may be actually chasing ghosts, and there is no money, glory, or Ph.D dissertations to be gained to find them.
  8. the rotation for the Cleveland series is already listed as Skubal/Faedo/Brieske, so they are just skipping the 5th starter spot on the open day tomorrow. Can Brieske refine a breaking ball in 5 days?
  9. Sure, Android = FOSS at some level, but not the implementation on your android phone, which has been pretty well doctored up by the distrib, right? I mean IF you wanted to take the time to jail break your android phone you probably could kill facebook on it, but how much time is it worth to you if someone in Cupertino is willing to do it for you?
  10. actually the accusation is not against the methodology of meta-data review, it's a charge that the data in two of the studies used in the meta analysis contain bad data, which in turn, through no fault of their own, casts doubt on the result of the meta-analysis. GIGO.
  11. that's fine, as long as no-one is using it as an excuse not to get vaccinated, where we have a 200 million size statistical pool that proved it's worth, or pass on a prescription for Paxlovid if your doc tells you to take it.
  12. there is also this https://journals.lww.com/americantherapeutics/Fulltext/2022/04000/Expression_of_Concern_for_Bryant_a,_Lawrie_TA,.11.aspx
  13. On his WIKI it's reported that he's a fan of some Serbian nationalist types, which often is synonymous with white/aryan racism. If he had any of those tendencies when he was in the NBA that could have been a problem for him!
  14. They had Elvin Rodriguez up once already for a couple of relief innings, but he's been pitching worse than Wentz at Toledo
  15. Non-Covid illness. He got sick with something after appearing in one game I think.
  16. HaHa. I had not noticed before but according to MiLB.com, one Franklin Perez is now on the Mudhen's roster, 7day IL. No games entered.
  17. 3 runs in 5 innings his last start at AAA. I think if they bring him up again he'll just get knocked around again, but if they won't use Peralta or Garcia he's what's left.
  18. Over the years Darko has made it pretty clear he never wanted to play pro basketball. That should have been a pretty big flag if anyone had really paid attention to him as a kid.
  19. Conferences went to divisions to gain a conference championship game, now they can have the game without the divisions. https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/33940028/pac-12-scraps-divisions-ncaa-division-1-council-votes-eliminate-requirements-conference-title-games
  20. I come back to W. Peralta being the obvious candidate to start stretching out, but they haven't managed the roster the way I would have yet this season! 🙄
  21. The best presentation of data around this was posted by someone on the old site who is probably here but I have no recollection of who. It's a chart of the probability of a player having some number of career WAR (It might have been 10) plotted against draft position. IIRC it was fairly flat across about 1st 5 picks than then pretty much tapered gradually down to near zero in a few rounds. Long story short, you have a reasonable shot at picking a successful player near the top of the draft, but after a couple of rounds the rest of the players make it by pretty close to random chance.
  22. as per McCosky: E Rod apparently "left side" which I guess translates as 'oblique'.
  23. Yeah - remember that logic by association proves beyond any doubt that matches cause lung cancer.
  24. If the argument is the greatest return on draft picks, I'd have to count ARod with the 1/1s so that makes 4. And for that matter Barry was also a 1st rounder. Curiously the last two bad 1/1 misses were back to back in '13 and '14 with Aiken and Appel. Since then everyone looks like they have a shot at a career, even if well short of the HOF! Even if Mize ends up under the knife odds would be good on his comeback.
  25. I think business can successfully pass on a cost like labor as long as they are not put at a competitive disadvantage in their market segment to the guy down the street. But higher labor cost can create contraction of the whole market segment - for instance if the entry level labor cost burden is a higher % of cost of sales for in person retail than for on-line (just picking a hypothetical - I have no idea) then that is where the rub would come. But a business like retail is not even at as much risk for that as businesses that cater to discretionary markets. Increases in costs at Starbucks may motivate more people to make their own coffee, and at that point Starbucks is just out of luck along with Caribou and everyone else. In that case I think you have to look at employment levels across the economy to optimize policy. I don't think it's that terrible to put pressure on the creation of low paying jobs *if* higher paying jobs are going begging. Its like anything else really, you can't make good policy in a vacuum, the immediate circumstances always matter. And I absolutely don't believe every business segment has some innate right to low enough labor costs to exist if the economy has some other use for those workers that can pay them more.
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