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Everything posted by gehringer_2
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It may also mean that if you are already sitting on a hot video card you don't have to pay some one else at all. If a centralized compute model can give you an answer in 10msec with 100K chips, then can I get my answer in a minute with a hot video card, of which there are already millions out there? There is a constant push and pull in computer tech between centralized and distributed computing models, and it's always cost that decides where the division ends up. We see a lot simple applications types like word processing moving increasingly to cloud models, but other more compute intensive apps like cad and math (e.g. solidwork and MatLab) still run mostly on local dedicated processing power. While yet other tasks like protein folding run on distributed computing models. It seems each compute type has an optimum and possibly unique solution model. So I agree, the implications are not that bad for NVidia, because the processing is still going to be done, but before this week the projections might have been over optimistic to the degree that some part of AI gets done with chips that are already being sold into their established console computing market. The bad news is for MS/Amazon/Google etc who thought that only they would have the scale to exploit the potential market.
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2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
I'm sure he's trying, but I wonder how effective the old ploys are? I think teams are coming around to realize that with expanded playoffs, you only need to get into the 85 win range to have a competitive season and reasonable playoff hopes for your fans, and once in the playoffs, anything can happen. OTOH, you only have a very few teams like the Dodgers that are so stacked they are looking for that last increment to improve their odds once in the playoffs and make a WS win more than a crapshoot. Those are the teams more willing to ante up for the one player they think might get them to the top of the mountain. So with two tiers operating like that, if you are a FA and you don't happen to fit that the Dodgers (or maybe Yankees etc.) are looking for, then suddenly it's a big drop to what the rest of the league is willing spend. -
Stock twit doesn't understand the real implication. It's not the HW, it's the open source SW. If it was on GitHub, there are probably already hundreds of thousands of downloads.
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2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
right. Paredes isn't much an IF either but at least he is younger and might get worse less fast than Altuve. 🤷♂️ -
The thing that is so stupid is that it was pointless. In that situation, even if the trip had prevented the goal, by rule it would have been awarded anyway - we just had one of those the other night. A penalty shot foul committed on an empty net becomes an awarded goal.
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2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
But he hasn't been any worse recently than he always was (at least by Rdrs). I guess a couple of Houston's top prospects are IF's. -
2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
Don't follow that. Why would a 2B move to LF because a team resigns their current 3B? -
of course removal numbers to Mexico are a bit meaningless because there is a constant back and forth - with Mexico you have to get at the net inflow-outgo, which is more complicated than just repatriations.
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if you want to get really freaked about AI, read a book entitled "Nexus." I think the guy who wrote is a little over the edge with a lot his worst case scenarios, but it is stuff people better start thinking about.
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2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
No, certainly not for several years. They hit $200M in 2016 but payroll started dropping after that and they certainly haven't been under anything close to luxury tax pressure since then. They may felt or claimed they were held back if internally they had picked a numbers they didn't want to go beyond in any particular year, but as a fan I don't care about that, that's just another way of saying "we don't want to spend the money." -
that is works fine is likely the problem - because to the degree it may be demonstrating that you can use open source programming on cloud, or worse by extension it also implies crowd sourced computational power, to achieve your ends it undercuts the economic model for huge dedicated AI infrastructure, which is the market aspiration driving NVidia share prices. If you have open source programming you could use a model like SETI/FoldingAtHome to harness the computational power already out there in millions of existing high performance video cards and make it available in the public domain to anyone who wants to join the consortium and donate their computer's idle time. I have no idea if could happen, but it would be both ironic and quite hilarious if the Chinese blew up Western capitalist profit hopes by developing open source solutions.
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But what does Trump want - and could Powell give it to him even if he wanted to? We are already at the point where lowering short term rates is just going to steepen the yield curve and drive long term rates higher. Is it possible Trump actually doesn't understand how the dynamic works? For the sake of his presidency, Trump needs long term rates to fall, but there is not much the Fed can do directly to affect long term rates. Long term rates come down when the market stops expecting inflation. If Trump needs to let the Fed fight inflation he may need to let them raise or at least hold rates constant, but it doesn't seem likely that's what Trump is going to demand. The Fed could accede to his demands, lower rates short term rates, have inflation increase again, and let Trump's presidency suffer the consequences, but to do that would violate their charter to do what they understand is best to keep prices stable and employment strong. I suppose if you are Trump, what you should want to be able to send all kinds of heat the Fed's way but hope the Fed actually doesn't buckle so he can get the PR benefit of deflecting and blaming conditions on the Fed without the downside of them actually doing what he claims he wants.
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LOL - that's sort of the flip side of when I've joked about society needing to get more shame back. If the only reason you'll do the right thing is you be shamed if you didn't, I'll still take the result!
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But it's not marriage that matters, it's commitment - whether a couple stays together. I have increasingly seen couples stay together for decades and raise children without benefit of formal sanction - so I wouldn't mistake cause vs effect. We used to use the ritual and dogma as the commitment markers, but in an era when the purveyors of ritual and dogma have so debased themselves, it shouldn't be unexpected that people reject the ritual and dogmas. I'd also rather see it be otherwise, but the I'm afraid the institutions will have to clean their own houses before the kids are going to care about them again. The purely civil marriage has never been that popular in the US, but maybe it will catch on.
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I'd imagine a good part of the reason for that is that they don't feel like being profiteered on by the social expectations of the modern wedding. I can't blame them for that - and another good part is that both the Church and the State have so damaged their credibility with most young people that they don't particularly care to ask either for its blessing.
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2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
Beck interview with Jace Jung - he's very excited that his wrist doesn't hurt - was told he would be working out at 3rd and 2nd in ST, which he described as "just like last year" -
And of course, who doesn't look to the CIA for top level bio-medical expertise?
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I have a hard time understanding why the NHL won't clean up its house on dirty plays. If you want to let guys drop the gloves and go at it, that's one thing I could live without but OK, the players know the score there, but that still doesn't justify letting guys get away with so much crap during play. On thing though, if Kasper, Edvinsson, Johansson and Soderblom all stick this season and the Wings finish at least at the euqivalent of 500, suddenly the development pipeline looks a lot less futile than it did 2 months ago. Now I have to believe Lalonde was part of the reluctance to bring up/play the young guys and not just Yzerman.
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However this ends the Wings deserve to win this game - but Vasilevskiy.
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is this the same rehash we got a couple of years(?) ago that didn't have anything solid to it.?
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I wouldn't say the signs are completely unambiguous yet, but the preponderance are indicating the Fed may had taken the foot off the brake a little too early. I don't blame them for that, they are always guessing where things are, but the problem is that in this environment, if the Fed decides the best policy is to push short term rates back up 100 basis points, the Trump administration with go absolutely kamikaze on the Federal Reserve. The outcome of that could be far worse for us long term than the Fed just holding tight, and if they do that we may be looking at 3-4% inflation for a while, which the public isn't going to like. Hopefully they take that wrath out on the GOP in 2 yrs.
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No doubt Ozzie had his moments - I suppose the basic knock is that when you are only facing 15 shots a night you should be sharp on those. That may not really be fair but I think it's not an uncommon view among non-Wing hockey viewers from Ozzie's era.-
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Goalie hasn't been that strong a position on the Wings since almost forever - Sawchuck I guess. Hasek was a great goalie but the Wings were too small a part of his career to claim him as theirs. In Osgood's best years the rest of the team was so good he didn't have work very hard so he's hard to compare to goalies from more 'normal' teams. We thought Crozier would be HOF after his rookie year.
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the national leader in wind power generation is dead red Texas. Let that sink in if you think Trumps speaks for conservatives about windmills.
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why do you want to go and introduce facts in place of a perfectly happy RW narrative.