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Everything posted by gehringer_2
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that is works fine is likely the problem - because to the degree it may be demonstrating that you can use open source programming on cloud, or worse by extension it also implies crowd sourced computational power, to achieve your ends it undercuts the economic model for huge dedicated AI infrastructure, which is the market aspiration driving NVidia share prices. If you have open source programming you could use a model like SETI/FoldingAtHome to harness the computational power already out there in millions of existing high performance video cards and make it available in the public domain to anyone who wants to join the consortium and donate their computer's idle time. I have no idea if could happen, but it would be both ironic and quite hilarious if the Chinese blew up Western capitalist profit hopes by developing open source solutions.
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But what does Trump want - and could Powell give it to him even if he wanted to? We are already at the point where lowering short term rates is just going to steepen the yield curve and drive long term rates higher. Is it possible Trump actually doesn't understand how the dynamic works? For the sake of his presidency, Trump needs long term rates to fall, but there is not much the Fed can do directly to affect long term rates. Long term rates come down when the market stops expecting inflation. If Trump needs to let the Fed fight inflation he may need to let them raise or at least hold rates constant, but it doesn't seem likely that's what Trump is going to demand. The Fed could accede to his demands, lower rates short term rates, have inflation increase again, and let Trump's presidency suffer the consequences, but to do that would violate their charter to do what they understand is best to keep prices stable and employment strong. I suppose if you are Trump, what you should want to be able to send all kinds of heat the Fed's way but hope the Fed actually doesn't buckle so he can get the PR benefit of deflecting and blaming conditions on the Fed without the downside of them actually doing what he claims he wants.
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LOL - that's sort of the flip side of when I've joked about society needing to get more shame back. If the only reason you'll do the right thing is you be shamed if you didn't, I'll still take the result!
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But it's not marriage that matters, it's commitment - whether a couple stays together. I have increasingly seen couples stay together for decades and raise children without benefit of formal sanction - so I wouldn't mistake cause vs effect. We used to use the ritual and dogma as the commitment markers, but in an era when the purveyors of ritual and dogma have so debased themselves, it shouldn't be unexpected that people reject the ritual and dogmas. I'd also rather see it be otherwise, but the I'm afraid the institutions will have to clean their own houses before the kids are going to care about them again. The purely civil marriage has never been that popular in the US, but maybe it will catch on.
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I'd imagine a good part of the reason for that is that they don't feel like being profiteered on by the social expectations of the modern wedding. I can't blame them for that - and another good part is that both the Church and the State have so damaged their credibility with most young people that they don't particularly care to ask either for its blessing.
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2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
Beck interview with Jace Jung - he's very excited that his wrist doesn't hurt - was told he would be working out at 3rd and 2nd in ST, which he described as "just like last year" -
And of course, who doesn't look to the CIA for top level bio-medical expertise?
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I have a hard time understanding why the NHL won't clean up its house on dirty plays. If you want to let guys drop the gloves and go at it, that's one thing I could live without but OK, the players know the score there, but that still doesn't justify letting guys get away with so much crap during play. On thing though, if Kasper, Edvinsson, Johansson and Soderblom all stick this season and the Wings finish at least at the euqivalent of 500, suddenly the development pipeline looks a lot less futile than it did 2 months ago. Now I have to believe Lalonde was part of the reluctance to bring up/play the young guys and not just Yzerman.
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However this ends the Wings deserve to win this game - but Vasilevskiy.
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is this the same rehash we got a couple of years(?) ago that didn't have anything solid to it.?
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I wouldn't say the signs are completely unambiguous yet, but the preponderance are indicating the Fed may had taken the foot off the brake a little too early. I don't blame them for that, they are always guessing where things are, but the problem is that in this environment, if the Fed decides the best policy is to push short term rates back up 100 basis points, the Trump administration with go absolutely kamikaze on the Federal Reserve. The outcome of that could be far worse for us long term than the Fed just holding tight, and if they do that we may be looking at 3-4% inflation for a while, which the public isn't going to like. Hopefully they take that wrath out on the GOP in 2 yrs.
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No doubt Ozzie had his moments - I suppose the basic knock is that when you are only facing 15 shots a night you should be sharp on those. That may not really be fair but I think it's not an uncommon view among non-Wing hockey viewers from Ozzie's era.-
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Goalie hasn't been that strong a position on the Wings since almost forever - Sawchuck I guess. Hasek was a great goalie but the Wings were too small a part of his career to claim him as theirs. In Osgood's best years the rest of the team was so good he didn't have work very hard so he's hard to compare to goalies from more 'normal' teams. We thought Crozier would be HOF after his rookie year.
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the national leader in wind power generation is dead red Texas. Let that sink in if you think Trumps speaks for conservatives about windmills.
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why do you want to go and introduce facts in place of a perfectly happy RW narrative.
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A point that bears repeating. There is no connection.
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The numbers are what they are. Ozzie certainly played for some better teams than Howard but for whatever reason I was just never impressed with Howard's play - he just never struck me as a 'great' goalie. I suppose the way the selection is put you can put him there because there was only one goalie through much of that period and it was him. Taking a more general window, he wouldn't be on my list of great Wings at all.
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There is a lot of basic business blindness going on here because of the bright light reflecting off the shiny new toy. Energy has never been free, will never be free. Even if the marginal kiloWatt can be genated for next to nothing (as per solar or even fusion) the capital input, transmission cost, and maintenance of power systems are and will remain substantial. If AI answers continue to cost a lot of energy, then they will have cost associated with them and people will use other ways to get the same information. Right now the IA you are getting is coming to you subsidized by the suppliers as market investment, but if the cost doesn't come down, they eventually have to make money and the cost will go up and the free stuff will go away and the market will narrow. The energy consumption will have to fall to get the kind of application rates they are dreaming about.
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2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
I guess it depends what you look at. I pulled the current rosters a few years ago and at the time the age histogram for pitchers showed more proportionally more pitchers into the middle 30 than the histogram for hitters. That didn't look at performance, just rosters. Maybe teams are just more willing to keep older less effective pitchers around than hitters! -
True enough for Hasek, not so much for Ozzie. Osgood appeared in 565 games for the Wings, Howard in 543.
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looked like a completely different team from the flyers game. Raymond playing at another level. Thought Edvinsson, Johansson and Soderblom all played well. So the the Wings that much better or was Montreal just flat? Tune in Saturday for the next installment of "how high can the Wings fly!"
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2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
For me the thing is that I'm a lot less confident in all the supposed pitching depth we have. I see a lot of downside risks with a lot of the young guys that people seem to be assuming will just step up and dominate. I hope they will too but I don't see the credentials to persuade me to believe it. -
2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
and pitchers suffer slower age related decline than hitters. They have no requirement for millisecond reaction time. OTOH they are do get injured more so you have to evaluate the trade off on the years. The age related risk between a 27 and 30 hitter is probably greater than between a 27 and 30 yr old pitcher, but the basic injury risk over a any given contract length is going to be higher for all pitchers. -
Or something. Losing the handle is one thing, but sometimes he tries passes that he should be able to see just aren't there - I have a harder time understanding how you fix that.
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Lysenkoism come to America. What a country!