Take the term of the contract you want to offer Skubal.
Divide that by 2.
Go back that many years and see who the top pitchers were.
How are they doing now?
I'm not necessarily saying let him walk, but between comp pick for him (maybe Mize too?), Competitive Balance A round (if revenues don't boot us from that round), the 2027 draft could be pretty lucrative even with a playoff appearance next year.