Edman85
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Everything posted by Edman85
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WaPo has three scathing op-eds on their opinion page right now, for what it's worth.
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SI aggregating paywall material is fascinating.
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Outrage machines can often drown out context. https://noahveltman.com/endorsements/
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Every transition since 2010, it says in the article. Not exactly a long-standing norm.
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LWTEC is BACK, baby!
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With a blue checkmark. Probably has some bills to pay.
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I have always found Newspaper endorsements to be meaningless and self-important. Good on them.
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It's Krassenstein so probably BS. I really do wish there was a way to mute/block accounts in here I have muted/blocked on Twitter. Remember again. Blue checkmarks these days means they are paid for impressions not truth.
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That map got fixed since yesterday. I'm in the medium blue zip code that looks like a faucet filling a bucket. There's some wealthy pockets but also a college campus.
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If Kamala campaigning in Florida and Texas means they are in play, what does this mean?
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They seemed perfectly okay with COVID spreading if it meant short term profit.
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Leaving a job over it may be, particularly if you are involved in designing weapons that Trump could use against the American People or our allies.
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I've lost sleep over this exact fact.
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https://www.jacksonville.com/story/news/politics/2024/10/24/unf-polls-finds-tighter-race-for-u-s-rep-aaron-bean-re-election-bid/75816073007/ Lends some credence to Florida maybe being in play...
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Misinformation like this plays into his hands.
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Blue checkmarks on twitter in the Elon era are paid for clicks, not for truth.
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Pooring cold water as I am wont to do, beware coming to overly positive conclusions here. The hitting environment at AFL is extreme before factoring in that teams are largely not sending their top pitchers.
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Agree, but i think that uncertainty is why they are showing 50/50
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It's also possible Harris is trying to pick off Texas or Florida on a hail mary in case there is systematic rust belt polling error in Trump's favor for the third time.
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Dodging the NFL on Sunday
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Silver's polling average. There is certainly convergence. This is 2020 for comparison:
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With Nevada trending toward Trump, a 270-268 Harris win is in play... Which means we are a faithless elector away from chaos.
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Silver had Obama >90 % in 2012. I can't find his precise model and the polling input, but I can guarantee this year and 2012 aren't similar from a polling standpoint.
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That was indeed good. I listened this morning. Which brings me to this tangential point. The NYTimes Audio paywall has not seemed to hit Pocketcasts yet.
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I highly recommend following Jason Garcia and his free newsletter/podcast if Florida corruption is something that tickles your fury fancy.
