Edman85

Weren't there a couple days he cancelled some appearances?

She should be locked in the same holding cell as Biden for the next 5 days.

https://www.natesilver.net/p/the-early-vote-doesnt-reliably-predict

Interesting premise I hadn't thought of in this "deportation" debate: https://wapo.st/3YHAfJg

What if that is the Barstool Bros? Trump turns a lot of people out that sit out midterms.

This is scary.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/2024/10/29/poll-close-times/ Good summary of close times within. If it's close at all, we likely won't know Tuesday night.

Whoops, missed Nevada.

Assuming all 270 of her electors are faithful and she gets NE-2, yes.

This from Rampell's latest column... I'm just gonna let it stew for a bit. That's where we are.

I went googling for other nerds pushing back on the "statistical tie" and came across a left leaning website explaining it well. https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2024/9/18/2271324/-The-Great-Statistical-Tie-Fallacy

Within the margin of error is not a statistical tie. This needs to be a Bart Simpson Chalkboard meme.

This just seems akin to a sports radio host saying Riley Greene isn't a good player because he hasn't heard of him. That department was all over Jan 6 and its aftermath, and their reporting was top notch.

Where is Sandusky incarcerated? Send him there.

Watch as he wrote himself in.

Wapo has already done that. They have a "democracy" desk.

I watched the Brady roast a few months ago and remember an unfunny comedian who tried too hard to be offensive. I assume it was this guy.

Didn't drive on 75/40 west of Knoxville I take it.

Mine did that in 2020 or 16, I forget which. This year I have noticed these signs are closer to houses out of Ernie's range.

If a statistician says x has a 75% chance of happening four times, is he more correct if it happens three times or four times?

It seems like the Barstool Bros are the target audience of this whole deal. I'm worried about how activated that type is.

I didn't realize until just hearing it on the WaPo 7 podcast that Pennsylvania has a significant Puerto Rican population.

Hasn't that district been redone since 2020? Not sure that 7 vs 12 comparison is apples to apples and don't trust partisan twitter accounts to parse that.

Have they busted into Springtime for Hitler yet?

I will dispute that McKinstry provides no value to the roster. 0.8 bWAR, 1.1 fWAR last year. Perfectly fine for a role player. This may not show up in the raw batting stats, but he was a plus plus baserunner and plus fielder. And the last time I deep dived WAR metrics, versatility wasn't really factored in. The fact that you can bounce him between 3-4 positions in a single game allows you to maximize matchups elsewhere. I'm not sure if there is a place for him on the 2025 team. The bar could be higher, and his modest raise in arbitration could play a role. But to say he has no value is not true.