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Edman85

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Everything posted by Edman85

  1. They are broken, but people who publicize individual anomalous polls may exaggerate the extent of their disarray by fundamentally misunderstanding their nature.
  2. Abortion is on the ballot in Florida too, which adds another wrinkle. I will quadriannually caution against using individual polls to come to conclusions though. Even though 538 is a fraction of what it was, their polling averages are probably a better measure, factoring in quality and biases of polls.
  3. Is that account affiliated with the Biden campaign? I've seen it a lot lately, but seems like a trolly engagement farmer.
  4. Am I crazy or are they .500 in an era where 85 wins gets you into the playoffs?
  5. Honestly, f innings limits. I am not convinced they are empirically based. Flags fly forever.
  6. Ummmm... I see no reason to sell when you have a 20-23% chance of the playoffs depending on which model you look at.
  7. This tweet encapsulates a peeve I have about Twitter these days. that torkmoil account falls under this category.
  8. Can Kennedy play shortstop? When your starting shortstop is Javy Baez, you need a second guy on the roster who can play there. That's why McKinstry is still on the roster. His time is running low with Kreidler off the Toledo IL though.
  9. Jason Grilli outgha worry about Jason Grilli.
  10. I don't write off any Republican because in my districts that is the only choice and sometimes I just have to pick the non-crazy one.
  11. He hasn't exactly set the world on fire.
  12. Scouting in 2020 was a challenge. But man, there have been a lot of similar flops the last 5 years or so.
  13. I mean if he was there in 2 on a par 5 and holed out from the schmutz, yeah, it's a birdie.
  14. 04: Bush 08: McCain 12: Romney 16: #FeelTheJohnson 20: Biden 24: Biden
  15. I enjoyed his show, Bull****. He's not right on all issues (for example smoking bans in restaurants), but some were good and I find the Youtube from time to time.
  16. Bear in mind stress fractures are basically small cracks that don't sever the bone, and they tend to heal. Lucas Duda had this injury in 2016, came back and had a pretty decent 2017 before declining in 2018-19. He was a 30-something 1B/DH, so that decline is within reason for his age. Jazz Chisholm had this injury in 2022, and really hasn't fallen off the map since coming back. The key with stress fractures is to rest up, don't rush it, and let them heal.
  17. BP Recovery dashboard has an N of 6-8 ppl with similar injuries (lumbar stress fracture, lower back stress fracture, etc.), all in the 4 month range.
  18. Two hitters, I'm an idiot and forgot Ohtani.
  19. I don't know that magic bullet was available this offseason. There only of the top 40 position players in 2024 fWAR who was a free agent this past offseason was Jurickson Profar.
  20. 12/11, 12:10 pm text from @microline133 "I'd kind of like to see Fetter get a shot with Jack Flaherty." December 20: Jack Flaherty signs with the Tigers. First two months: Flaherty looks like an ace.
  21. Especially because we know this guy would jump through every loophole he could to set him free...
  22. The media's going to give him free air time airing his unhinged presser later today aren't they?
  23. He's got an upward mobility clause he can trigger on Saturday.
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