Edman85

This is scary.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/2024/10/29/poll-close-times/ Good summary of close times within. If it's close at all, we likely won't know Tuesday night.

Whoops, missed Nevada.

Assuming all 270 of her electors are faithful and she gets NE-2, yes.

This from Rampell's latest column... I'm just gonna let it stew for a bit. That's where we are.

I went googling for other nerds pushing back on the "statistical tie" and came across a left leaning website explaining it well. https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2024/9/18/2271324/-The-Great-Statistical-Tie-Fallacy

Within the margin of error is not a statistical tie. This needs to be a Bart Simpson Chalkboard meme.

This just seems akin to a sports radio host saying Riley Greene isn't a good player because he hasn't heard of him. That department was all over Jan 6 and its aftermath, and their reporting was top notch.

Where is Sandusky incarcerated? Send him there.

Watch as he wrote himself in.

Wapo has already done that. They have a "democracy" desk.

I watched the Brady roast a few months ago and remember an unfunny comedian who tried too hard to be offensive. I assume it was this guy.

Didn't drive on 75/40 west of Knoxville I take it.

Mine did that in 2020 or 16, I forget which. This year I have noticed these signs are closer to houses out of Ernie's range.

If a statistician says x has a 75% chance of happening four times, is he more correct if it happens three times or four times?

It seems like the Barstool Bros are the target audience of this whole deal. I'm worried about how activated that type is.

I didn't realize until just hearing it on the WaPo 7 podcast that Pennsylvania has a significant Puerto Rican population.

Hasn't that district been redone since 2020? Not sure that 7 vs 12 comparison is apples to apples and don't trust partisan twitter accounts to parse that.

Have they busted into Springtime for Hitler yet?

I will dispute that McKinstry provides no value to the roster. 0.8 bWAR, 1.1 fWAR last year. Perfectly fine for a role player. This may not show up in the raw batting stats, but he was a plus plus baserunner and plus fielder. And the last time I deep dived WAR metrics, versatility wasn't really factored in. The fact that you can bounce him between 3-4 positions in a single game allows you to maximize matchups elsewhere. I'm not sure if there is a place for him on the 2025 team. The bar could be higher, and his modest raise in arbitration could play a role. But to say he has no value is not true.

When I talk about pushing back on the extreme left not being both sidesing... I thought this from the comment section of a very good NYT Article on the Springfield situation was a good example of that. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/27/us/politics/springfield-ohio-family-trump-haitian-immigrants.html Granted, I know I got a little angry and hostile yesterday, and it's tough to resist that. Which is another reason I want Trump to go away. He evokes the worst of all of us.

I stumbled upon Bogle after I put together my current plan after a late 2022 deep dive, and in general I see eye to eye with the Bogle philosophy. Most brokers have similar low fund accounts, and the fees are going to be cheaper on their platform. As much as I would prefer Fidelity or Vanguard funds across the board, I'm (errr... was) forced onto Schwab/TD for my HSA, and took the discounted funds there rather than pay fees for those preferred funds.

Yes. Take for example "defund the police." And the Dems would be rightfully winning the border battles if the extreme voices on the left pushing for wide open borders 3-5 years ago hadn't given soundbites and fuel.

I feel seen. My take on the far left is not that it is nearly as bad as the far right these days, but it does fuel the extremists and can lead to a chicken little effect when not properly checked.

Oh, I don't disagree at all. And frankly, any major scaling back of defense right now given the rise of authoritarianism across the globe would be a mistake. Extreme isolationism at this point would increase the chances of WW3 and drag us in.