Edman85

I also caution against using Party ID for anything in a closed primary state where party identification can be bourn out of pragmatism more than anything. I change mine every primary season just so I can vote in the most competitive elections.

And then a **** load right wingers from blue states moved here in 2021-2022 to get away from COVID restrictions and Desantis increased his margin of victory from 0.4% in 2018 to 19% in 2022. And the standard caveats about using early voter party ID to extrapolate that you have routinely dismissed apply.

I'd be more inclined to subscribe to MLBTR if they calculated Baddoo and Lange's service time right 😄 Somewhat tongue-in-cheek, but attention to detail is important.

Also, if they have some kind of table set up handing out paper, joke's on them. It's off-and-on 30-40 mph winds here today.

There were some people setting up some kinda Trump stand in the Publix parking lot this morning. I yelled at them at the top of my lungs "TRUMP IS A FASCIST." It didn't accomplish anything, but it was cathartic.

Is that Lunetta's (Director, Minor League Operations) role? Or is it a backfill for Garko after his promotion?

You realize if a right leaning poll is added to the mix they adjust, right? Like if they have Rasmussen +3R and Rasmussen comes in +5R, the model adjusts the input to +2R and reduces its overall weighting on top of that.

Well, I was cherry picking back, looking at two high quality pollsters though. Here's Silver's page for recent Wisconsin polls. This doesn't look like a "rest easy" situation. Noting that the right wing polls are filtered out. He actually ran a sim this week without those polls which showed better for Trump, showing that the partisan adjustment is doing its job.

The models that have Trump as a very slight favorite at the moment have partisan lean adjustments for polls an devalue low quality polls. Quinnipiac and Emerson College had Trump up in Wisconsin this week. Emerson had Trump up in Pennsylvania. Quinnipiac had Trump up 3.5 in Michigan. Quinnipiac had Trump up 6 in Georgia. I could keep going. It's not just right wing polls. My theory is the misinformation on hurricanes is gaining traction, which is a little ****ed up if so.

I'm troubled by the polls the last week or two. Despite the cherry picked ones here telling another story.

As somebody with a family member going through dementia it was triggering when the right was flippantly playing the dementia card earlier this year, making jokes about it. Same is true of the left right now.

That someone already dove in the comments.

I mean Bally is a Casino, so this is basically the same thing.

I heard my new favorite columnist was on CNN last night. The way she stuck to facts while being barraged by smug from O'Leary and that Jennings character. Oh, and Bunk is on this panel for some reason? https://youtu.be/OwignVX4loI?feature=shared

Detroiters is on Netflix.

Buehler has Flaherty 2.0 written all over him.

I think the Tigers #3 starter next year is pitching tonight.

Repeat after me. Akil Baddoo and Alex Lange are not eligible for arbitration (unless they mysteriously got days of service for days in the minor leagues). Akil Baddoo and Alex Lange are not eligible for arbitration (unless they mysteriously got days of service for days in the minor leagues). Akil Baddoo and Alex Lange are not eligible for arbitration (unless they mysteriously got days of service for days in the minor leagues). Akil Baddoo and Alex Lange are not eligible for arbitration (unless they mysteriously got days of service for days in the minor leagues).

11M, $1M assignment bonus to be paid by the acquiring team.

Rates and Barrells threw out Yandy Diaz as a Tigers trade candidate...

If you don't have 43 minutes, take 53 to read this tweet.

My quick and dirty 40 man math...

I came across something recently that suggest players who rely on speed and athleticism but have recurring soft tissue leg/core issues are more likely to age faster. I think it was BA.

I just can't help but notice the team went on its best run in 40 years after it shed about $60M in salary (full year, not prorated; including IL-ing Baez).