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mtutiger

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Everything posted by mtutiger

  1. His struggles in the suburbs aren't going to get any easier either.
  2. Sure. He drives turnout in a way that the likely voter models don't capture. I get it. In and of itself, though, that doesn't mean that there isn't 53% of GOP voters who would prefer a different candidate. And even if it was off, most polling misses are off by 5-10%, not 40. (ie. He'd still only be at 57% or so with primary voters) My only point is that while I believe the poll may very well be accurate, its functionally meaningless in a primary process with "winner take all" contests and with an electorate who will still suck it up and vote for him if he's on the ballot against a D
  3. Fox "News"
  4. There are a lot of people who voted for Trump who did not like him but felt that he was the lesser of two evils. I suspect that has not changed in the last 8 mos or so. I'm not sure that a poll asking GOP voters if who they would like to see be nominated in 2024 is predictive of elections. Just as polls on approval alone aren't necessarily predictive either.
  5. You'll have to take that up with the judge.
  6. I would be fine with Seager or Story.... 9r even Semien if the contract isn't too long. The reality is that they need a Plan B. Even if they go hard at Correa, there's no guarantee they reel him in.
  7. The truth is, a lot of folks will not try if he declares. Whether the polling is accurate or not, the end result of a Trump run, given how heavy the GOP Primary process is with "winner-take-all" contests, is a resounding victory for the former guy. The political media (ie. Folks like Jonathan Martin) are trying to sell papers and draw eyeballs so they are kinda hanging on this poll result... but even if he's at 47% or whatever among GOP voters, it doesn't challenge the reality that he wipes the field in an open primary. He'd have to get down to around 20-25% before any drama starts unfolding.
  8. As I alluded above, primary support =/= general election support. I absolutely believe that there's a sizeable contingent in the GOP that would love to see Trump pass the torch of trumpism to someone else. But that those same people will still, push comes to shove, support him in a general election against Biden or any other D
  9. I believe the polling... Trump's hardcore is only about 30% or so of the GOP. His act has wore thin in a lot of places. The issue is that, even if the polling is accurate and he garners 45-50% support in a hypothetical primary, he still wins, and the remaining 55% or so will fall in line and vote for him anyway
  10. Don't love the stance on the bathroom bill, but Dems need to be better about running candidates who can win in particular districts. Particularly in a state like NC which will likely end up with a tougher map coming out of redistricting.
  11. Simmons would be OK, but ideally they'd find another bat if they go with someone like him. Maybe an OF bat
  12. Am I the only one who feel like they've flown under the radar all season? Don't get me wrong, all the AL East teams and NL West teams are impressive and deserve the coverage they have gotten, but the Astros are still kinda sitting there and they seem as well built to win the pennant and make a WS run as anyone
  13. I'd be OK with an occasional road alternative (either based on 1984 or the 60s). But they had better not mess with the home unis any more than they did a couple of years ago.
  14. Man, the White Sox are really getting exposed in this series....
  15. Former Tiger Steve Sparks sighting.... doing color commentary on Astros Radio.../.
  16. It may be an assumption that may not find a better opportunity elsewhere? Either way, he did a really good job eating innings and was invaluable down the stretch, but he's still more of a mop up/spot starter type, not rotation
  17. Chris Taylor walk off jack!
  18. This game is a lot more entertaining than last night's 💣
  19. I guess I dont get why his comment was bad PR. As fans, we have talked over and over about the impact past contracts have had on payroll and how it impacts being able to make additions to the ballclub. I dont mind the fact that he's acknowledging that. And that a goal of his going forward is to avoid being put into a similar situation in the future. If anything, I appreciate his candor on that. Not making excuses for any bad decisions he has made as GM, but I understand where he is coming from with his comments and didn't have a negative view of them.
  20. I just took Avila's comment to mean that he desires to build a roster that is successful and financially sustainable. Which, IMO, is a reflection of the constraints that, as a GM, he has had to live with as the Tigers have been working through past deals. However one feels about his abilities as a GM, no doubt, payroll constraints have probably been a source of frustration and haven't made the job any easier. I don't think it was meant as a deliberate shot at Mike I or DD or anyone else. Nor is it necessarily an excuse for how bad things got at points in the rebuild. But perhaps a window to a source of frustration for him over the past few years.
  21. The question I have is "why now?"... is this a long term five year plan or just some sort of philosophical change for Avila that he wasn't practicing earlier on? And while some changes were made pre-AJ, how much influence has AJ had?
  22. I'm the rare non Dodger fan rooting for the Dodgers tonight. I like Scherzer, I loathe the Cardinals, and I don't have the same level of dislike for the Dodgers as I do the Yanks or Sox
  23. About 15 mins from the house...
  24. Al's body language with that comment wasn't great for Willi going forward, no doubt
  25. Can you elaborate? I enjoyed it as well, just curious your takeaways
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