I think because of his recent two Cy Youngs, there’s a recency bias for writers to cast votes for Skubal, so I would think a season that garners him a, say, sixth-place finish for the Cy Young would garner the average non-award-winning pitcher a tenth-place finish in award voting. IOW, if he were to drop to sixth, I would think his season would be worse than the typical sixth-place CYA finisher.