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Yes, they're projecting. That's all anybody can do, even the professionals. I'd bet they have taken all your contingencies into account, plus several you haven't even thought of. Nothing is certain. That's why they play the games. If it fails, you can write to Scott Harris and tell him you knew it all along. sharris@tigers.com ... that should get there. 😉

He probably doesn't have more value at second base than Gleyber Torres does.

Here we go! Wheeeee!

Found an interesting article on mlb.com, of all places, discussing teams' player turnover from last year to this. https://www.mlb.com/news/mlb-teams-with-most-roster-turnover-in-2025 So many teams have made moves toward contending in 2025. But which clubs have done the most? Let’s take a look at the teams that have changed the most since last season -- whether for better or for worse. Using FanGraphs depth charts projections through March 5, we calculated what percentage of each club’s 2025 plate appearances (for hitters) and batters faced (for pitchers) will go to players who did not appear for that team in 2024 (represented as "turnover rate" below). Here’s the full list of turnover rates from 2024 to 2025. 1. White Sox: 42.3% 2. Angels: 36.5% 3. Red Sox: 35.6% 4. Marlins: 35.2% 5. Nationals: 34.5% 6. Cubs: 34.5% 7. Pirates: 32.7% 8. Dodgers: 32.5% 9. Reds: 31.1% 10. Astros: 30.5% 11-T. Athletics: 29.9% 11-T. Rangers: 29.9% 13. Yankees: 29.6% 14. Mets: 29.2% 15. Guardians: 27.3% 16. Rays: 25.9% 17. Brewers: 25.9% 18. Orioles: 25.6% 19. Blue Jays: 24.4% 20. Padres: 22.7% 21. Braves: 21.1% 22. Phillies: 20.3% 23. D-backs: 19.0% 24. Rockies: 18.0% 25. Giants: 17.2% 26. Tigers: 16.1% 27. Mariners: 16.0% 28. Royals: 15.9% 29. Twins: 13.9% 30. Cardinals: 10.3%

Right, but I also think Democrats give him that kind of pass as well, because they are not doing an effective job of leading us to believe any different.

Defensive stats are notoriously inconsistent, as you know, and the default answer is not necessarily whichever stats show him to be better at the position. Whatever analytics the Tigers use tell them that a combination of 2B Gleyber Torres and 1B Colt Keith projects to be worth more wins, taking their combined defense and Keith's reduced offensive value at first into account, than a combination of 2B Colt and 1B Spencer Torkelson would be, considering their combined defense and Colt's elevated offensive value at second. I'm willing to give the front office the chance to prove they know what they're doing in cases like these, until they demonstrate to me that they don't.

Trump’s established reputation lowered the bar in some ways and disintegrated it in others, so he is never going to be hurt by saying the most outrageous things possible. If he publicly dropped an N-bomb today, it would recede into the background and, if not forgotten, then considered relatively unimportant by next Friday.

It depends in part on how his defense at first compares with his defense at second. If he can be an average first baseman versus a minus-one-win second baseman defensively, that would probably wash out the hitting.

Well, I certainly wouldn’t want Tork to turn into Nyjer Morgan.

I could see it. He’s a former 1/1 waiting to be unlocked and help a team start winning right now. I think there are any number of organizations that believe they could unlock him and would gamble with giving up uncertain futures from “prospects” for that.

Vierling going down really did throw a monkey wrench into the thing, didnt it?

My thing since I started seeing them last year was to point at them and laugh. They’re so ****ing ridiculous-looking. How pathetic do you have to be to think they look cool?

To be clear, once Trump makes any move against Greenland, that is a de facto withdrawal from NATO, which Greenland is part of.

It’s almost as though we need a parliamentary system, since Electoral College rules practically preclude any permanent third party from taking root in this country.

I think this is a closer representation of AOC than is anyone's convenient characterization of a hate-all-Jews AOC. https://www.timesofisrael.com/rep-ocasio-cortez-slams-antisemitism-on-left-but-says-term-weaponized/ Washington, DC, on November 14, 2023. (Stefani Reynolds/AFP) New York Jewish Week via JTA — Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez condemned antisemitism but accused her critics of “weaponizing” the term in a rare public discussion with two Jewish activists who have shined a spotlight on bigotry against Jews in the pro-Palestinian movement. “Antisemitism, hate and violence against Jews because of their identity is real and it is dangerous,” the New York City Democratic congresswoman said at the start of the virtual discussion on Monday. She added, “When the Jewish community is threatened, the progressive movement is undermined.” ... But later, she said, “It is also true that accusations and false accusations of antisemitism are wielded against people of color and women of color by bad-faith political actors, and weaponizing antisemitism is used to divide us.” This sounds like a very reasonable position to me.

AIPAC is not "the Jews" They are a radical political organization which does not fairly represent American Jews who support Israel, as they themselves support only right-wing Israeli policy and viewpoints, which is why MAGA and the Red Hats profess to love them so much. By way of example, AIPAC lobbied Congress to invade Iraq in 2003, and then spent time and treasure for the next several years defending their lobbying of that. They were also a principle player in the Lawrence Franklin espionage scandal in which the DoD employee passed classified intelligence about Iran to them, which they turned around and gave to the state of Israel. More recently, they publicly backed dozens of racist, homophobic, QAnon-drenched election deniers during the past few elections, including Elise Stefanik, Scott Perry, Buddy Carter, Kat Cammack, and Burgess Owens. I don't think "the Jews" should be held responsible for the actions of AIPAC any more than they should be held responsible for controlling the world's banking system. You can equate Zionist extremists as "the Jews" if you like, and that's your privilege in a still-free-for-the-moment America. But I will continue to reject that idea.

Maybe AOC is better looking than this one ... We can have a debate about whether she's better-looking this one ...

You mean based on this? https://nypost.com/2024/11/18/us-news/aoc-blames-pro-israel-group-for-democrats-2024-election-losses/ I don't buy NY Post spin.

FWIW, I don't think AOC is the Gaza Jane some make her out to be.

Schumer is an institutionalst at his core, and despite that the foxes are ravaging the chickens in the henhouse, he still believes in Institution writ large. That's what he's trying to protect with his caution. He appears to be trying to shape the direction of Democrats' response, albeit in the most feeble way possible, and it's getting away from him, so he's reteating into institutionalism. He is too calcified to realize we are way, way beyond the point of the institution healing its own wounds.

FWIW, I don't think AOC is anywhere near the Gaza Jane some think she is.

I don't like the idea of something like this changing the face of the shutdown to that of Democrats.

It seems really unprecedented how relatively benign the American occupations of Europe and east Asia were.

Now we know for a fact "woke" means literally nothing.

I don't think we have the manufacturing base in this country to generate pollution anywhere near this level. I don't think we'll get back there until wages for factory workers are driven to south Asian levels.