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chasfh

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Everything posted by chasfh

  1. We always knew it would come to this. And we know it won’t stop there. Gulags were filled to overflowing with ordinary people like those who make up your neighbors.
  2. Just checking in to see whether the fall has happened yet?
  3. I didn’t call you any names. It’s uncool.
  4. No need to get personal here. That said, your characterization is lazy.
  5. Unless you already know, I would guess that catch rated as a 4-star.
  6. I think I’d be surprised if Tork went anywhere else and became a perennial All-Star. He just seems resistant to coaching to me. No evidence that could stand up in court, just a strong feeling.
  7. I guess the other thing I might add here is that it’s not as though xBA and catch probability are randomly correlated. It might not be 1:1 necessarily, but I would bet there is a fairly strong statistical correlation between them. Maybe I’ll look for that sometime.
  8. I think Tork has value, but he’s a guy another team is going to have to ask about, rather than Harris shopping him around, to get much more than a lottery ticket for him.
  9. The other main difference is that xBA was easily available to me for the play, and catch probability was not. 😁
  10. Ask Sports Freak. He’s shopping for center fielders. He might end up with a gimpy utility guy instead. 😁
  11. Maybe we can pick one up on Amazon Prime Day next month! 😉
  12. xBA on that hit was .380, but that's probably also in part because it would have been a homer in seven other parks.
  13. Throw in Carlos Cabrera and you got a deal! No ... wait ... uhh ...
  14. We don't need wins at Toledo. Besides, I don't think we'd be in a hurry to trade a perfectly good young league-average who's controllable through 2030. I can see why you'd like that, though.
  15. Maybe, although I wouldn't think Harris would rush to flip him for the first guy we're offered who can fog a mirror.
  16. Pass. What else ya got?
  17. It seemed to glance off his glove as he was pulling up short at the wall. It was a legitimately difficult major league catch, but an average right fielder probably makes that play, and a good RF definitely makes it.
  18. Who are you salivating over, and what'll give in return?
  19. Seeing how players have done across the past two seasons, I thought it was fair for Harris to gamble on mostly internal development, as so many of our young players became a year older and presumably a year better. Now our 20-20 hindsight lets us see it isn't working out for all of them—at least as of today. That's one of the reasons I'm wondering whether we have the right development people in place throughout the system.
  20. In the 70s, he threw in the 90s; and in the 90s, he threw in the 70s.
  21. I didn't think Wenceel would get even this far!
  22. Two DL stints before the Tigers: DL-15 Left thumb contusion from a headfirst slide into 1B, April 2016; and IL-10 Back spasms for "wear and tear" with the Mets in August 2021. With the Tigers? Four stints across 2022, 2024, and this year. Maybe it was that "wear and tear" stint that might have scared off the smarter and/or less desperate GMs.
  23. Any one of those marginal one-out-of-two-games misses would cost us an out at minimum, and could reasonably be feared to result in multiple runs that would never have happened otherwise which could cost us a win. Add enough of those across a season and we are talking about costing us wins, with an "s".
  24. We can confirm the injury info at The Baseball Cube. I took both the majors and minors list, up there as of today, and determined projected WAR for each player on both lists who has a ZIPS WAR projection, added them all up by team, and lo and behold: Team MLB Players MLB IL WAR Minors Players Minors IL WAR Total Players Total IL WAR Detroit Tigers 14 19.7 36 6.2 50 25.9 New York Mets 12 23.5 38 1.5 50 25.0 Boston Red Sox 9 17.8 26 1.9 35 19.6 Houston Astros 12 18.0 29 1.4 41 19.4 Baltimore Orioles 11 13.1 42 4.7 53 17.9 Toronto Blue Jays 13 17.9 43 -0.1 56 17.7 Atlanta Braves 9 12.5 13 1.6 22 14.2 Chicago White Sox 11 11.2 33 2.8 44 14.0 San Francisco Giants 8 11.7 22 2.2 30 13.9 Texas Rangers 9 15.2 28 -1.4 37 13.9 Chicago Cubs 11 12.1 34 1.0 45 13.2 Seattle Mariners 6 12.2 15 0.9 21 13.1 Los Angeles Dodgers 13 12.7 44 -0.2 57 12.4 Arizona Diamondbacks 12 10.6 25 1.2 37 11.8 Minnesota Twins 6 6.2 32 5.6 38 11.8 San Diego Padres 8 10.2 28 0.8 36 11.0 Athletics 6 7.0 13 3.8 19 10.8 Kansas City Royals 8 10.1 23 0.3 31 10.4 Tampa Bay Rays 11 9.3 34 0.9 45 10.2 Colorado Rockies 13 9.3 29 0.5 42 9.8 Milwaukee Brewers 7 8.8 24 0.8 31 9.6 Cincinnati Reds 6 8.7 29 0.7 35 9.4 New York Yankees 5 7.3 35 1.7 40 9.0 Miami Marlins 5 6.0 38 2.9 43 9.0 Los Angeles Angels 7 5.1 22 0.6 29 5.7 Washington Nationals 7 2.8 34 1.9 41 4.8 St. Louis Cardinals 5 4.3 22 -1.2 27 3.1 Pittsburgh Pirates 3 2.7 27 0.3 30 3.0 Philadelphia Phillies 3 0.0 35 1.6 38 1.6 Cleveland Guardians 2 1.8 28 -0.4 30 1.4 The Tigers are second highest in just majors players, and highest in just minors players. Only the Mets have a credible claim to having worse injury luck up and down their system than we.
  25. Well, I wouldn't say no one is saying Harris and Hinch are stupid people ... 😏 But seriously, I can hardly imagine what kind of doghouse Jace Jung must be in that he's not considered a better alternative to Gage Workman or Zack Short.
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