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Everything posted by chasfh
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You can cheer for the death penalty for the worst of the worst, and no one will blame you, and many will attaboy you for it. OTOH, a death penalty that can be used on one is a death penalty that can be used on any. Word to the wise.
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Pence was willfully ignorant of Trump’s worst impulses and behaviors, hoping against hope he could be talked into the mainstream Republican fold. All the mainstream Republicans were equally willfully ignorant, with the same hopes. Pence was in the position of not being able to publicly abandon that hope at any point because of his unique position, which I think is why he stayed silent until well after the end.
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I think the difference is that Russia’s disinformation machine thrives in conditions of peace, during which their target market is not attuned to it. Disinformation is at its most insidious when it works on a mind at rest. A mind heightened by crisis is far less likely to fall for the bullshit.
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Suppose Putin announces that he will agree to peace talks immediately only if Trump is involved in the talks as a lead representative on the Allied side, or else Russia continues to shell Ukrainian civilians with promises to up the ante to missiles and nukes. That’s a condition that would sorely tempt the Allies to agree to the demand, just to stop the killing. Putin’s goal would be to strengthen Trump’s position here at home to assure his election in 2024, after which Trump could create the conditions necessary for Putin to get Russia back up to better than previous full strengthen. That would be the plan, anyway. God, what a revolting idea.
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I agree, although in Pence’s defense, he will be expelled from party-backed public speaking engagements if he does drop the T-bomb during these. So this might be as much as he can say at all.
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LOCKOUT '22: When will we see baseball again?
chasfh replied to Motor City Sonics's topic in Detroit Tigers
I believe you did answer your own question. Fear of the home run is why pitchers put 100% into every pitch from pitch one of the ballgame, because every single batter in 2022 can take them out of the ballpark. So instead of trying to throw heat past most hitters on the regular, they twist their shoulders and elbows into ungodly contortions trying to get swing and miss. No wonder pitchers are wiped out by the time the 19th batter of the game steps to the plate, and also why they seem to be getting hurt in historically record numbers. How can this very necessary pitching approach not take a toll? Deaden the ball and pitchers won’t have to do that, except to the heart of the order. They can just serve up their four-seamers (and two-seamers, if those exist anymore) to down-the-order hitters and say here you go, hit it and get yourself out. Allow for this, and pitchers can go deeper into games, deeper into seasons, and even deeper into their careers. I can’t believe no one at Baseball hasn’t figured this out. I gotta believe they know this, but they prefer the current state of affairs because of (a) the desirability of the video highlight homer for their state media’s nightly marketing vid … er, recap show; and (2) the attractiveness of will-he-or-won’t-he-homer, which I wouldn’t doubt is the #1 prop bet being made at the books. I also wonder whether Baseball also prefers the parade of AAAA pitchers on rosters, since that increases the chances for home runs on mistake pitches, and also because fewer of them will get far enough in their careers to force owners to pay them good and proper before they retire.- 1,851 replies
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LOCKOUT '22: When will we see baseball again?
chasfh replied to Motor City Sonics's topic in Detroit Tigers
This is, in part, what made Mariano Riviera, and really any other modern closer who could throw one devastating pitch even for a little while, so effective. Riviera was famous for throwing one and only pitch, basically, but no one could hit it because no one could ever dig in and get comfortable against it. No one ever faced Riviera more than six times in a single season, not even David Ortiz, and never twice in the same game. No wonder no one could hit him. Contrast that to Joe DiMaggio, who faced Bob Feller as many as 34 times in a single season, sometimes four or more times in a single game, and you can understand how he could figure out how to slash .342/.415/.643 against even Rapid Robert.- 1,851 replies
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LOCKOUT '22: When will we see baseball again?
chasfh replied to Motor City Sonics's topic in Detroit Tigers
Well, I did say “let’s pretend”! 😝- 1,851 replies
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LOCKOUT '22: When will we see baseball again?
chasfh replied to Motor City Sonics's topic in Detroit Tigers
I'm sympathetic to the potential problem of dramatically reducing offense if they deaden the ball. I do think it would have that immediate effect as long as players do not going to change their approach in response to the ball right away afterwards, which they wouldn't. That's basically 2014. If Baseball were going to seriously undertake deadening the ball to reduce homers/strikeouts and get more batted balls into the field of play—I don't think they would ever, but let's pretend—I was wondering about the idea of announcing a year in advance that this was going to happen. For example, announce on Opening Day 2023 that the new ball is going into effect for 2024. Give players an entire season to talk about it and get used to the idea. Then, after the season, send batches of the new ball to every player on every team's 40-man roster and encourage them to work with it during the winter. (Maybe even pay them a stipend for doing work in the offseason.) A lot of these guys have hitting and pitching cages in their neighborhoods or even at their McMansions. They can work with the new ball there. Then, during Spring Training, everyone would have six weeks of working and playing with the new ball exclusively, working out approaches to succeed with the it such as pitching to contact more, hitters spraying the ball more around the field, etc., so that by the time Opening Day comes around, they will be far more comfortable working with the new ball than if it were just sprung on them unannounced, as Baseball typically has done with changes to the ball. They could also put the ball in play in the minors immediately (and adjust the MLEs for analysis), so all the rookies coming in would have experience with it. Not everyone would come through such a change OK. Some players would lose their careers over it. But, then they would be replaced by players who do work well with the ball, some of whom would never make the majors under today's conditions. IOW, the game would adjust. It always does. I don't think there's any way to introduce a deadened ball without creating any friction at all, but this might be a way to do so with as little friction as possible.- 1,851 replies
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LOCKOUT '22: When will we see baseball again?
chasfh replied to Motor City Sonics's topic in Detroit Tigers
Personally, I wouldn't enforce it at all. The shift was an organic solution to a particular opportunity, so I think there should be a similar opportunity created that would basically eliminate the need for the shift. That opportunity is deadening the ball.- 1,851 replies
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LOCKOUT '22: When will we see baseball again?
chasfh replied to Motor City Sonics's topic in Detroit Tigers
Sometimes between pitches, too. On lots of shifts, players go into a dramatically different configuration for two-strike counts.- 1,851 replies
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LOCKOUT '22: When will we see baseball again?
chasfh replied to Motor City Sonics's topic in Detroit Tigers
I just reviewed an article for the Fall BRJ about the effect of increased foul balls on additional time of game, and the author's conclusion was, basically none.- 1,851 replies
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LOCKOUT '22: When will we see baseball again?
chasfh replied to Motor City Sonics's topic in Detroit Tigers
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LOCKOUT '22: When will we see baseball again?
chasfh replied to Motor City Sonics's topic in Detroit Tigers
This is a great gesture and kudos to Players for coming up with it, but also, a tacit admission that this is going to go on for a long while.- 1,851 replies
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Hey, Bunker! Glad you made it back here! Last we left things you had posted that the time to stop Putin was before the invasion even started, that the US was way too weak to do that, and that Putin took advantage of that. And then I asked you, twice actually, what could have been done prior to the invasion to stop Putin from invading. You avoided the question both times by whining about Biden and fluffing Putin. So once more, I'm a give you one more chance: What specific actions do you think any American President, no matter who that might be, could have taken to effectively prevent Putin from invading Ukraine and avoiding war? Since you're convinced that what we did before the invasion was wrong, you clearly have ideas about what we could have done right. So, tell us. What?
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How could this possibly be, you might ask? Apparently because, since it was Kamala the administration sent to Europe in a diplomatic mission prior to the invasion, Tucker (and by extension the rest of us, I presume) thought the situation could not possibly have been serious because, after all, Kamala. Therefore, Biden's fault. Makes sense to a weak mind.
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While I think some points mts made were fairly cogent (Georgia/Crimea may have been considered within each as more liberation than invasion; Ukraine is larger and thus that much more strategically important), I think what you say here may be a smidge closer to some of the true underlying causes. As you basically say, Ukraine is considered a white country, fitting comfortably into what the ethnographers of antiquity considered the Aryan world. People respond especially viscerally when they see other people who look like they could be family getting invaded, and that includes America, which still run by Western-European-descended white people despite its multiethnicity. Ukraine borders a NATO country, which sets up a potential domino effect that you don't get with Georgia. Because of its location and ethnic makeup, Ukraine is considered to be within the European orbit. Georgia is in Asia, and is considered more like the Middle East. Ukrainians have also emigrated well as a people. There are over a million Ukrainian ethnics or descendants in America, plus probably another million and a half diaspora in Europe. This, versus only about 15,000 to 20,000 Georgian ethnics or descendants in America, and probably not many more anywhere else outside of Russia. Also, not for nothing, Trump publicly tried to strong-arm Ukraine on behalf of Russia, and most of the world hate Trump. I think it all adds up.
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LOCKOUT '22: When will we see baseball again?
chasfh replied to Motor City Sonics's topic in Detroit Tigers
Is "slick base" related to base size, or material composition? I'm trying to imagine how a larger base, everything else held equal, reduces base slickness.- 1,851 replies
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I'm not sure I can see it that way at all. There is nothing Putin can say in public that I would dare take at face value, so if we were to hear Putin announcing to international leaders through some public forum that he is looking for a return to some pre-invasion normalcy of "no ill will toward neighbors" and "international cooperation" and "normalized relations", I'm thinking that what he really means is just about anything but.
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LOCKOUT '22: When will we see baseball again?
chasfh replied to Motor City Sonics's topic in Detroit Tigers
Theyhad it in AAA last year, I believe. They widened it a couple inches to incentivize more stealing, since second base would now be an three inches closer to first, and thus more excitement. That's the story I thought I heard, anyway.- 1,851 replies
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Great sign how? Are you still taking Putin at his word? Why? Based on what?
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Why do we think the world is reacting so firmly against the invasion of Ukraine when, as pointed out, Russia invaded Georgia and Crimea, and there was barely a peep. What are some of the differences this time?
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Whoa, wait, I'm sorry ... Russia lost the war? Is that what this guy is saying? What does he know?
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Maybe she thinks the only good soldier is a dead soldier. Or at least the only useful one.
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LOCKOUT '22: When will we see baseball again?
chasfh replied to Motor City Sonics's topic in Detroit Tigers
Maybe Isaac Paraedes could float Schoop a loan, since he earned more money in 42 days than most american families make in 2 years.- 1,851 replies
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