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The Gaza War


gehringer_2

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13 minutes ago, 1776 said:

Speaking of complete chaos, how do think Russia and its allies would respond to your scenario? How do you think the US would respond? This is where it would get really interesting. Likely, too interesting. 

I don't think Russia would do much.  Russia appreciates Iran being disruptive, but my guess is they'd prefer to be friendly with Saudi Arabia over Iran anyway. 

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“War all the time”

North Korea has sent hundreds of special forces to eastern Russia for training in recent weeks, according to South Korea’s main intelligence agency, as Moscow relies on Pyongyang and other partners, including Iran, to support its war effort in Ukraine.

Russian naval vessels transported around 1,500 North Korean special-forces troops to Russia this month, and Pyongyang has plans eventually to send as many as 12,000 soldiers to assist Russia, according to South Korea’s National Intelligence Service.
 

WSJ 10/22/2024

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Israel’s top cease-fire negotiator made a new offer to Hamas leaders: Enjoy safe passage to another country if you lay down your arms and release the hostages.

The proposal from Israeli spy chief David Barnea, made in a meeting with Egyptian officials this past week to break the impasse, was swiftly rejected by the U.S.-designated terrorist group, Arab mediators said.  

Khalil al-Hayya, Hamas’s top cease-fire negotiator, said the offer showed how Israel was still misreading the group and warned it could continue fighting for months, if not years, the mediators said.

Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu “has reiterated that we are willing to give them safe passage if they lay down their arms and release the hostages,” said Ophir Falk, the prime minister’s foreign-policy adviser. “At the same time, anyone who will hurt the hostages will be hunted down.” 

Hamas didn’t respond to a request for comment.

-WSJ 10/25/2024

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Best take away from the IDF raid in Iran: Iran is completely defenseless against Israeli (or US) air power. Their Russian AD systems failed to take down a single IDF aircraft over the course of IDF attacks on at least 4 separate sites. In fact the IDF deliberately took out air defenses around critical Iranian facilities while leaving the facilities just to make the point about what happens next time.

Unless they are completely delusional, that should give the Mullahs more pause than the damage the IDF actually did.

Edited by gehringer_2
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